Wednesday, November 17, 2021

The RSM Classic

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Talor Gooch	-22	64	65	67	64	260.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-19	63	68	70	62	263.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-18	60	70	69	65	264.0
—	Tyler McCumber	-15	69	68	70	60	267.0
—	Cameron Smith	-15	64	71	68	64	267.0
—	Tom Hoge	-15	65	68	67	67	267.0
—	Séamus Power	-15	63	69	67	68	267.0
—	Webb Simpson	-14	69	67	66	66	268.0
—	Taylor Moore	-14	66	65	71	66	268.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-13	66	72	65	66	269.0
—	Luke List	-13	68	67	66	68	269.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-12	68	67	70	65	270.0
—	Justin Rose	-12	67	68	70	65	270.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-12	64	72	67	67	270.0
—	John Huh	-12	63	67	72	68	270.0
—	Charles Howell III	-11	68	70	67	66	271.0
—	Adam Long	-11	67	71	67	66	271.0
—	Zach Johnson	-11	61	71	73	66	271.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-11	64	71	69	67	271.0
—	Max McGreevy	-11	66	69	69	67	271.0
—	Aaron Rai	-11	68	67	68	68	271.0
—	Matthias Schwab	-10	67	68	73	64	272.0
—	Troy Merritt	-10	66	71	70	65	272.0
—	Corey Conners	-10	62	71	72	67	272.0
—	Russell Henley	-10	64	70	70	68	272.0
—	Chez Reavie	-9	63	72	72	66	273.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-9	68	69	69	67	273.0
—	Andrew Novak	-9	67	70	69	67	273.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-8	67	69	73	65	274.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-8	66	72	70	66	274.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-8	65	73	70	66	274.0
—	Cameron Young	-8	65	71	71	67	274.0
—	Michael Gligic	-8	65	72	69	68	274.0
—	Mito Pereira	-8	67	70	67	70	274.0
—	David Skinns	-8	64	69	69	72	274.0
—	Scott Stallings	-8	63	69	69	73	274.0
—	Adam Scott	-7	67	71	70	67	275.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-7	65	71	70	69	275.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	-7	64	72	70	69	275.0
—	Doug Ghim	-6	66	71	74	65	276.0
—	Austin Smotherman	-6	65	73	72	66	276.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-6	65	70	75	66	276.0
—	Peter Malnati	-6	68	70	70	68	276.0
—	Brian Gay	-6	64	73	70	69	276.0
—	Russell Knox	-6	67	68	72	69	276.0
—	Joshua Creel	-6	68	70	68	70	276.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	-5	68	70	73	66	277.0
—	Jim Herman	-5	65	69	76	67	277.0
—	Mickey DeMorat	-5	63	75	69	70	277.0
—	Bill Haas	-5	65	71	71	70	277.0
—	Nate Lashley	-4	63	74	73	68	278.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-4	67	68	75	68	278.0
—	Brendan Steele	-4	66	69	74	69	278.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-4	68	69	71	70	278.0
—	Dylan Wu	-4	66	72	68	72	278.0
—	William McGirt	-4	66	69	71	72	278.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-4	68	—	—	—	68.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-3	63	73	75	68	279.0
—	Michael Thompson	-3	66	71	73	69	279.0
—	Lee Hodges	-3	65	69	73	72	279.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-3	64	72	70	73	279.0
—	D.J. Trahan	-3	71	68	—	—	139.0
—	Adam Svensson	-3	71	68	—	—	139.0
—	Jason Day	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Harris English	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Brian Stuard	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	David Lipsky	-3	67	72	—	—	139.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	-3	67	72	—	—	139.0
—	Alex Smalley	-3	67	72	—	—	139.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-3	67	72	—	—	139.0
—	Robert Streb	-3	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-3	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Brice Garnett	-3	66	73	—	—	139.0
—	Brendon Todd	-3	66	73	—	—	139.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-3	67	72	—	—	139.0
—	Justin Lower	-3	67	72	—	—	139.0
—	Brandon Hagy	-3	64	75	—	—	139.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-3	64	75	—	—	139.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-3	63	76	—	—	139.0
—	Roger Sloan	-2	67	71	74	68	280.0
—	Brian Harman	-2	66	72	70	72	280.0
—	Lucas Glover	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-2	68	72	—	—	140.0
—	Danny Lee	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Davis Riley	-2	67	73	—	—	140.0
—	Doc Redman	-2	65	75	—	—	140.0
—	Nick Hardy	-1	69	69	76	67	281.0
—	Sung Kang	-1	67	68	76	70	281.0
—	Jared Wolfe	-1	68	70	72	71	281.0
—	Vince Whaley	-1	65	73	71	72	281.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	-1	73	68	—	—	141.0
—	Harry Higgs	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Callum Tarren	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Nick Watney	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Matt Jones	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Paul Barjon	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Chris Kirk	-1	67	74	—	—	141.0
—	Trey Mullinax	-1	67	74	—	—	141.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-1	66	75	—	—	141.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-1	66	75	—	—	141.0
—	Max Homa	-1	66	75	—	—	141.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-1	69	—	—	—	69.0
—	Matt Wallace	E	65	72	73	72	282.0
—	Chad Ramey	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Peter Uihlein	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Kevin Tway	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Tyler Duncan	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Henrik Norlander	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Ryan Armour	E	67	75	—	—	142.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	E	67	75	—	—	142.0
—	David Hearn	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Branden Grace	E	67	75	—	—	142.0
—	Ben Kohles	E	67	75	—	—	142.0
—	Kelly Kraft	E	65	77	—	—	142.0
—	Davis Love III	+1	68	70	78	67	283.0
—	Ben Crane	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Kyle Wilshire	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Cam Davis	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Alex Noren	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Richy Werenski	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Scott Gutschewski	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Sepp Straka	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew Landry	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Luke Donald	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Chris Stroud	+1	67	76	—	—	143.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+2	70	68	78	68	284.0
—	Kevin Yu	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Davis Thompson	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+2	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+2	64	80	—	—	144.0
—	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	+3	66	72	74	73	285.0
—	Scott Piercy	+3	69	68	72	76	285.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+3	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Seth Reeves	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Stewart Cink	+3	68	77	—	—	145.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+3	67	78	—	—	145.0
—	Sam Ryder	+3	65	80	—	—	145.0
—	Austin Cook	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Curtis Thompson	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	J.T. Poston	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Brett Drewitt	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Carl Yuan	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Dawie van der Walt	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Brandon Wu	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	J.P. Griffin	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+6	67	81	—	—	148.0
—	Martin Trainer	+7	70	79	—	—	149.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+7	69	80	—	—	149.0
—	Jonas Blixt	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Kelly Kraft	66.82	3%	0%	71.00	—
2	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	67.00	3%	0%	71.25	—
3	David Skinns	67.37	3%	0%	68.50	—
4	Dylan Wu	67.50	6%	0%	69.50	—
5	Brett Drewitt	67.51	3%	0%	73.00	—
6	Peter Uihlein	67.51	7%	0%	71.00	—
7	Davis Love III	67.73	2%	0%	70.75	—
8	Kurt Kitayama	67.75	3%	0%	72.50	—
9	Kramer Hickok	67.83	6%	0%	69.50	—
10	Matthias Schwab	67.92	4%	0%	68.00	—
11	Brandon Wu	67.93	4%	0%	73.50	—
12	Ben Kohles	68.03	3%	0%	71.00	—
13	Jonas Blixt	68.04	3%	0%	75.00	—
14	Scott Gutschewski	68.07	4%	0%	71.50	—
15	Chris Kirk	68.14	12%	1%	70.50	—
16	Louis Oosthuizen	68.19	26%	2%	23.00	—
17	Doug Ghim	68.26	10%	1%	69.00	—
18	Keegan Bradley	68.35	16%	1%	74.00	—
19	Brian Gay	68.35	4%	0%	69.00	—
20	Danny Lee	68.36	6%	0%	70.00	—
21	Alex Noren	68.38	15%	1%	71.50	—
22	Michael Thompson	68.38	7%	0%	69.75	—
23	Matt Wallace	68.40	10%	1%	70.50	—
24	Patton Kizzire	68.41	7%	1%	69.50	—
25	Charles Howell III	68.42	9%	1%	67.75	—
26	Chris Stroud	68.46	4%	0%	71.50	—
27	Rory Sabbatini	68.47	10%	0%	34.00	—
28	Seth Reeves	68.54	5%	0%	72.50	—
29	Justin Rose	68.60	8%	1%	67.50	—
30	Jason Day	68.63	8%	1%	69.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.