Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Houston Open

PGA ·132 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Jason Kokrak	-10	68	71	66	65	270.0
—	Kevin Tway	-8	67	64	73	68	272.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-8	72	62	69	69	272.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-7	67	67	70	69	273.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-6	70	69	70	65	274.0
—	Martin Trainer	-6	65	65	74	70	274.0
—	Robert Streb	-5	68	71	71	65	275.0
—	Sam Burns	-5	70	67	71	67	275.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-5	69	70	68	68	275.0
—	Russell Henley	-5	65	72	68	70	275.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-4	72	69	71	64	276.0
—	Adam Long	-4	66	67	73	70	276.0
—	Luke List	-4	65	71	69	71	276.0
—	Matthew Wolff	-4	68	67	69	72	276.0
—	Alex Smalley	-3	68	72	69	68	277.0
—	Cameron Smith	-3	71	69	68	69	277.0
—	Hank Lebioda	-3	67	72	69	69	277.0
—	Vince Whaley	-3	69	72	65	71	277.0
—	Sungjae Im	-2	68	70	73	67	278.0
—	Scott Piercy	-2	71	70	69	68	278.0
—	Aaron Rai	-2	71	69	70	68	278.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-2	71	68	70	69	278.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-2	70	68	71	69	278.0
—	Max McGreevy	-2	68	67	72	71	278.0
—	Marc Leishman	-2	65	70	71	72	278.0
—	Aaron Wise	-1	73	66	71	69	279.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-1	71	70	68	70	279.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-1	67	69	68	75	279.0
—	Tyler Duncan	E	69	72	73	66	280.0
—	Mito Pereira	E	69	72	70	69	280.0
—	Davis Riley	E	68	72	69	71	280.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	E	71	69	69	71	280.0
—	Kelly Kraft	E	68	67	72	73	280.0
—	Adam Schenk	E	70	64	72	74	280.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	+1	72	69	71	69	281.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+1	68	72	72	69	281.0
—	Max Homa	+1	72	67	73	69	281.0
—	Chris Stroud	+1	74	67	70	70	281.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+1	70	70	71	70	281.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+1	70	71	68	72	281.0
—	Nick Taylor	+2	68	72	74	68	282.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+2	67	70	74	71	282.0
—	Chez Reavie	+2	70	69	70	73	282.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+2	67	69	73	73	282.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+2	66	69	72	75	282.0
—	James Hahn	+2	76	66	—	—	142.0
—	Paul Barjon	+2	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Sangmoon Bae	+2	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Russell Knox	+2	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+2	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Ian Poulter	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Peter Uihlein	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Sepp Straka	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Peter Malnati	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Shane Lowry	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Tony Finau	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Tyler McCumber	+2	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Jason Dufner	+2	66	76	—	—	142.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+3	72	66	73	72	283.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+3	68	67	76	72	283.0
—	Tom Hoge	+3	68	70	72	73	283.0
—	Lee Hodges	+3	69	72	67	75	283.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+3	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Nick Watney	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Chad Ramey	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew Landry	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Bill Haas	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Taylor Moore	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Cam Davis	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Shawn Stefani	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Dawie van der Walt	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Martin Laird	+3	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+3	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+3	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Brice Garnett	+4	69	70	77	68	284.0
—	Harry Higgs	+4	71	68	73	72	284.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+4	71	69	69	75	284.0
—	Richy Werenski	+4	70	69	70	75	284.0
—	Jared Wolfe	+4	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Doc Redman	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Cameron Sisk	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	C.T. Pan	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Roger Sloan	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Stewart Cink	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Ben Silverman	+4	67	77	—	—	144.0
—	Connor Arendell	+4	71	38	—	—	109.0
—	Jason Day	+5	67	74	74	70	285.0
—	Jim Herman	+5	69	70	76	70	285.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+5	69	70	74	72	285.0
—	Brian Harman	+5	67	74	71	73	285.0
—	Adam Scott	+5	68	73	71	73	285.0
—	Zach Johnson	+5	72	69	70	74	285.0
—	Séamus Power	+5	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	J.T. Poston	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Svensson	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	John Huh	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+5	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	David Lipsky	+5	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Sam Ryder	+5	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+5	72	57	—	—	129.0
—	Talor Gooch	+6	65	74	75	72	286.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Gary Woodland	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Pat Perez	+6	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+6	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Scott Stallings	+7	71	70	70	76	287.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+7	70	71	70	76	287.0
—	Patrick Reed	+7	70	68	72	77	287.0
—	Branden Grace	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Nate Lashley	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+7	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Brian Gay	+7	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+8	68	68	78	74	288.0
—	MJ Daffue	+8	68	73	72	75	288.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+8	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Gilbert Mendez	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Danny Willett	+8	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Brian Stuard	+9	71	70	73	75	289.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Rodolfo Cazaubòn	+9	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+10	71	69	72	78	290.0
—	Harold Varner III	+10	77	60	—	—	137.0
—	Sung Kang	+11	74	42	—	—	116.0
—	Lee Westwood	+14	70	84	—	—	154.0
—	Chase Koepka	+17	77	80	—	—	157.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Kelly Kraft	65.14	2%	0%	70.00	—
2	Henrik Stenson	67.20	3%	0%	73.00	—
3	Peter Uihlein	67.22	7%	0%	71.00	—
4	Stewart Cink	67.29	6%	0%	72.00	—
5	Matt NeSmith	67.38	6%	0%	70.75	—
6	Ryan Palmer	67.41	6%	0%	69.75	—
7	Sangmoon Bae	67.41	2%	0%	71.00	—
8	Peter Malnati	67.58	6%	0%	71.00	—
9	Hudson Swafford	67.67	8%	1%	70.25	—
10	Matthias Schwab	67.69	3%	0%	70.25	—
11	Jason Dufner	67.81	8%	0%	71.00	—
12	Jim Herman	67.90	6%	0%	71.25	—
13	Jason Kokrak	67.92	7%	1%	67.50	—
14	Jason Day	67.94	7%	1%	71.25	—
15	Shane Lowry	67.97	20%	2%	71.00	—
16	Adam Long	67.97	7%	0%	69.00	—
17	James Hahn	67.99	6%	0%	71.00	—
18	Pat Perez	68.01	6%	0%	73.00	—
19	Francesco Molinari	68.07	5%	0%	43.00	—
20	Kramer Hickok	68.11	6%	0%	68.25	—
21	Sepp Straka	68.14	5%	0%	71.00	—
22	Martin Trainer	68.15	2%	0%	68.50	—
23	Kyle Stanley	68.34	4%	0%	71.00	—
24	Danny Willett	68.34	8%	0%	74.00	—
25	Brandon Hagy	68.36	6%	0%	73.50	—
26	Martin Laird	68.37	7%	0%	71.50	—
27	Brian Gay	68.39	4%	0%	73.50	—
28	C.T. Pan	68.41	8%	1%	72.00	—
29	Chris Stroud	68.42	4%	0%	70.25	—
30	Zach Johnson	68.45	4%	0%	71.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.