Wednesday, October 27, 2021

Butterfield Bermuda Championship

PGA ·126 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Lucas Herbert	-15	70	65	65	69	269.0
—	Patrick Reed	-14	68	69	68	65	270.0
—	Danny Lee	-14	67	67	65	71	270.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-13	68	64	69	70	271.0
—	Scott Stallings	-12	74	68	68	62	272.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-12	70	61	65	76	272.0
—	Davis Riley	-11	71	66	69	67	273.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-11	73	65	67	68	273.0
—	Curtis Thompson	-11	69	67	67	70	273.0
—	Peter Malnati	-11	70	65	67	71	273.0
—	Vince Whaley	-11	66	67	68	72	273.0
—	Russell Knox	-10	72	68	67	67	274.0
—	Séamus Power	-10	67	70	70	67	274.0
—	Brian Gay	-10	75	67	64	68	274.0
—	Alex Smalley	-10	69	67	70	68	274.0
—	Graeme McDowell	-10	70	67	67	70	274.0
—	Chad Ramey	-9	65	71	68	71	275.0
—	Patrick Flavin	-9	69	66	68	72	275.0
—	Justin Lower	-9	67	68	67	73	275.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	-8	72	68	65	71	276.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-8	72	67	66	71	276.0
—	Sean O'Hair	-7	69	68	73	67	277.0
—	Austin Eckroat	-7	68	71	69	69	277.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-7	68	70	70	69	277.0
—	Chase Seiffert	-7	71	65	72	69	277.0
—	Thomas Detry	-7	73	66	68	70	277.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-7	74	63	69	71	277.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-7	68	71	66	72	277.0
—	Adam Svensson	-7	68	68	68	73	277.0
—	S.Y. Noh	-6	73	69	67	69	278.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-6	70	68	71	69	278.0
—	Mito Pereira	-6	73	68	65	72	278.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-6	71	68	67	72	278.0
—	Camilo Villegas	-5	77	65	69	68	279.0
—	Brandon Wu	-5	70	70	66	73	279.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-5	67	72	65	75	279.0
—	Peter Uihlein	-5	71	65	68	75	279.0
—	David Skinns	-5	67	67	70	75	279.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-4	72	68	71	69	280.0
—	David Hearn	-4	69	72	69	70	280.0
—	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	-4	67	72	71	70	280.0
—	Scott Brown	-4	71	69	69	71	280.0
—	Scott Gutschewski	-4	69	70	69	72	280.0
—	Brett Drewitt	-4	72	66	69	73	280.0
—	Ben Kohles	-4	74	68	64	74	280.0
—	Nick Watney	-3	70	72	71	68	281.0
—	Robert Garrigus	-3	72	67	72	70	281.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-3	74	66	68	73	281.0
—	Luke Donald	-3	72	66	68	75	281.0
—	Dylan Wu	-3	69	69	66	77	281.0
—	Ben Martin	-2	71	70	72	69	282.0
—	Sepp Straka	-2	74	67	71	70	282.0
—	Brandon Hagy	-2	65	72	73	72	282.0
—	Matthias Schwab	-2	74	63	72	73	282.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-2	68	68	73	73	282.0
—	Johnson Wagner	-2	74	67	66	75	282.0
—	Jim Knous	-1	76	66	69	72	283.0
—	David Lingmerth	-1	75	67	69	72	283.0
—	Seth Reeves	-1	69	72	70	72	283.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-1	71	68	70	74	283.0
—	Guido Migliozzi	-1	72	65	69	77	283.0
—	Kyle Wilshire	E	73	67	72	72	284.0
—	Aaron Rai	E	71	69	71	73	284.0
—	Max McGreevy	E	73	65	73	73	284.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+1	74	68	70	73	285.0
—	Sangmoon Bae	+1	71	69	68	77	285.0
—	Austin Smotherman	+1	76	67	—	—	143.0
—	Nick Hardy	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Chris Stroud	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Brian Stuard	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	J.J. Henry	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew Novak	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Olin Browne	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Michael Kim	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Jason Dufner	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Daniel Chopra	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Harry Hall	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Bo Hoag	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Cameron Percy	+2	76	68	—	—	144.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	+2	76	68	—	—	144.0
—	Dawie van der Walt	+2	76	68	—	—	144.0
—	Austin Cook	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Fabián Gómez	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Jordan Gumberg	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Ryan Armour	+3	73	69	72	73	287.0
—	John Senden	+3	72	70	72	73	287.0
—	Ben Crane	+3	71	68	71	77	287.0
—	D.A. Points	+3	69	69	71	78	287.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+3	77	68	—	—	145.0
—	John Pak	+3	77	68	—	—	145.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Erik Barnes	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	David Lipsky	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Greg Chalmers	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Matt Every	+3	76	38	—	—	114.0
—	Arjun Atwal	+4	70	72	75	71	288.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+4	71	68	75	74	288.0
—	Lee Hodges	+4	72	70	70	76	288.0
—	Beau Hossler	+4	78	68	—	—	146.0
—	Martin Trainer	+4	77	69	—	—	146.0
—	Jason Bohn	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Matt Hill	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Ricky Barnes	+5	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Tommy Gainey	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Nick Taylor	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Danny Willett	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Andres Romero	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Callum Tarren	+6	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Jay McLuen	+7	79	70	—	—	149.0
—	Ted Purdy	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+8	74	66	72	80	292.0
—	Camiko Smith	+8	80	70	—	—	150.0
—	Michael Sims	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Kevin Stadler	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	John Rollins	+9	80	71	—	—	151.0
—	Greg Koch	+9	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Richard S. Johnson	+9	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Brendon de Jonge	+9	80	—	—	—	80.0
—	John Merrick	+10	72	68	76	78	294.0
—	Damian Palanyandi	+10	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Parker McLachlin	+13	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Chaka DeSilva	+14	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Brian Morris	+39	89	92	—	—	181.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Matt Every	63.96	1%	0%	38.00	—
2	Ted Potter Jr.	66.42	3%	0%	72.00	—
3	Brandon Wu	67.10	4%	0%	69.75	—
4	Peter Malnati	67.19	4%	0%	68.25	—
5	Patrick Reed	67.35	12%	1%	67.50	—
6	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	67.43	3%	0%	70.00	—
7	David Hearn	67.69	5%	0%	70.00	—
8	Matthias Schwab	67.78	3%	0%	70.50	—
9	Dylan Frittelli	67.96	6%	0%	69.25	—
10	Adam Svensson	68.00	3%	0%	69.25	—
11	Curtis Thompson	68.02	4%	0%	68.25	—
12	Aaron Rai	68.04	5%	0%	71.00	—
13	Dylan Wu	68.06	6%	0%	70.25	—
14	Sepp Straka	68.07	4%	1%	70.50	—
15	J.J. Spaun	68.07	5%	0%	68.25	—
16	Kramer Hickok	68.07	6%	0%	69.50	—
17	Peter Uihlein	68.17	6%	0%	69.75	—
18	David Lipsky	68.25	5%	0%	72.50	—
19	Matt Fitzpatrick	68.31	10%	1%	69.50	—
20	Matt NeSmith	68.32	5%	0%	72.50	—
21	Lucas Herbert	68.35	4%	0%	67.25	—
22	Scott Gutschewski	68.36	4%	0%	70.00	—
23	Kurt Kitayama	68.39	4%	0%	71.25	—
24	Graeme McDowell	68.40	5%	0%	68.50	—
25	D.A. Points	68.45	2%	0%	71.75	—
26	Denny McCarthy	68.49	6%	0%	70.00	—
27	Seth Reeves	68.53	5%	0%	70.75	—
28	Hank Lebioda	68.60	10%	1%	72.50	—
29	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	68.61	18%	1%	70.75	—
30	Joseph Bramlett	68.65	5%	0%	72.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.