Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Valspar Championship

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Sam Burns	-17	67	63	69	68	267.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-14	64	66	69	71	270.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-13	69	69	68	65	271.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-13	69	67	67	68	271.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-12	67	70	66	69	272.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	-10	70	67	69	68	274.0
—	Max Homa	-10	66	68	66	74	274.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-9	73	67	66	69	275.0
—	Troy Merritt	-9	68	69	68	70	275.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	-9	68	68	67	72	275.0
—	Camilo Villegas	-8	71	68	69	68	276.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	-8	69	69	67	71	276.0
—	Justin Thomas	-7	69	71	67	70	277.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	-7	71	68	68	70	277.0
—	Jason Kokrak	-7	67	69	70	71	277.0
—	Hank Lebioda	-7	66	69	71	71	277.0
—	Bubba Watson	-7	70	67	68	72	277.0
—	Adam Schenk	-6	71	69	71	67	278.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-6	68	66	70	74	278.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	-6	67	73	63	75	278.0
—	Alex Noren	-5	73	68	70	68	279.0
—	Paul Casey	-5	68	71	72	68	279.0
—	Ian Poulter	-5	69	71	69	70	279.0
—	Russell Knox	-5	69	70	70	70	279.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	-5	70	65	74	70	279.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-5	70	69	69	71	279.0
—	Corey Conners	-5	70	68	70	71	279.0
—	Danny Lee	-5	70	67	70	72	279.0
—	Michael Gligic	-4	69	68	74	69	280.0
—	Jimmy Walker	-4	72	69	69	70	280.0
—	Vince Whaley	-4	69	71	70	70	280.0
—	K.H. Lee	-4	69	69	71	71	280.0
—	Scott Stallings	-4	67	69	73	71	280.0
—	Zach Johnson	-4	68	67	74	71	280.0
—	Sungjae Im	-4	68	67	74	71	280.0
—	Pat Perez	-4	68	68	72	72	280.0
—	Kevin Na	-4	68	69	70	73	280.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-4	73	67	66	74	280.0
—	Beau Hossler	-3	68	72	75	66	281.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-3	70	71	72	68	281.0
—	Doc Redman	-3	68	72	73	68	281.0
—	Ryan Moore	-3	66	74	71	70	281.0
—	Scott Brown	-3	67	72	71	71	281.0
—	Kyle Stanley	-3	68	70	72	71	281.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-3	72	69	68	72	281.0
—	Charles Howell III	-3	70	68	70	73	281.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	-3	71	67	69	74	281.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-2	71	68	74	69	282.0
—	Wesley Bryan	-2	69	71	72	70	282.0
—	Lucas Glover	-2	69	65	77	71	282.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-2	70	69	71	72	282.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-2	69	69	72	72	282.0
—	Tom Lewis	-2	70	65	74	73	282.0
—	Luke Donald	-1	69	72	71	71	283.0
—	Branden Grace	-1	69	68	75	71	283.0
—	J.T. Poston	-1	68	73	70	72	283.0
—	Peter Uihlein	E	73	68	72	71	284.0
—	Kramer Hickok	E	67	74	70	73	284.0
—	Jason Dufner	E	70	71	68	75	284.0
—	Mark Hubbard	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Phil Mickelson	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Rasmus Højgaard	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Jamie Lovemark	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Austin Cook	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Jonas Blixt	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Doug Ghim	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Bo Hoag	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Luke List	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Tim Wilkinson	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Sean O'Hair	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Sam Horsfield	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	William McGirt	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Patrick Reed	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Kevin Kisner	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	E	66	76	—	—	142.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+1	66	75	76	68	285.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+1	74	67	72	72	285.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+1	69	72	68	76	285.0
—	James Hahn	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Robby Shelton	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Rafael Campos	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Nick Watney	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Danny Willett	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Peter Malnati	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	David Hearn	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+2	71	70	74	71	286.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+2	71	70	72	73	286.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+2	70	70	70	76	286.0
—	Chase Koepka	+2	68	70	72	76	286.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Brian Gay	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Michael Kim	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Roger Sloan	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Sam Ryder	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Adam Long	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Tom Hoge	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Sung Kang	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Brian Stuard	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	D.A. Points	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Chris Kirk	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Nick Taylor	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Tway	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Michael Visacki	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Rob Oppenheim	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Kris Ventura	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Andrew Landry	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	K.J. Choi	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+3	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Grayson Murray	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Chez Reavie	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Russell Henley	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Cam Davis	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Cameron Percy	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Martin Laird	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	D.J. Trahan	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+5	70	71	71	77	289.0
—	Richy Werenski	+5	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Justin Rose	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Sebastian Cappelen	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Talor Gooch	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Chase Seiffert	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Hunter Mahan	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Harrington	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	John Huh	+6	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Gary Woodland	+6	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Ryan Armour	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Kevin Stadler	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	John Augenstein	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Martin Trainer	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Daniel Chopra	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Rhein Gibson	+6	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+7	70	71	74	76	291.0
—	Jordan Hahn	+7	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Scott Piercy	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Brad Adamonis	+8	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+9	70	70	71	82	293.0
—	Jim Herman	+9	79	72	—	—	151.0
—	Nelson Ledesma	+10	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Rod Perry	+14	77	79	—	—	156.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Nick Watney	65.45	2%	0%	71.50	—
2	Luke Donald	65.79	3%	0%	70.75	—
3	Hunter Mahan	66.16	2%	0%	73.50	—
4	Patrick Rodgers	66.24	6%	0%	71.00	—
5	Scott Stallings	66.30	5%	0%	70.00	—
6	Tom Hoge	66.66	6%	0%	72.00	—
7	Russell Knox	66.77	6%	0%	69.75	—
8	Beau Hossler	66.80	3%	0%	70.25	—
9	Adam Schenk	66.85	5%	0%	69.50	—
10	Satoshi Kodaira	66.85	4%	0%	71.50	—
11	Troy Merritt	66.86	5%	0%	68.75	—
12	Scott Harrington	66.96	4%	0%	49.00	—
13	Lucas Glover	66.97	10%	1%	70.50	—
14	Chez Reavie	67.02	4%	0%	73.00	—
15	Mark Hubbard	67.07	6%	0%	71.00	—
16	Xinjun Zhang	67.07	4%	0%	71.00	—
17	Kevin Streelman	67.08	10%	1%	72.00	—
18	Denny McCarthy	67.09	10%	1%	70.25	—
19	Bo Van Pelt	67.10	4%	0%	70.25	—
20	Jason Dufner	67.16	5%	0%	71.00	—
21	Pat Perez	67.25	7%	0%	70.00	—
22	Tyler Duncan	67.34	3%	0%	70.25	—
23	Michael Gligic	67.34	5%	0%	70.00	—
24	Ian Poulter	67.34	9%	1%	69.75	—
25	Sungjae Im	67.35	29%	3%	70.00	—
26	Rory Sabbatini	67.40	6%	0%	72.00	—
27	Brian Stuard	67.43	5%	1%	72.00	—
28	Bo Hoag	67.48	8%	1%	71.00	—
29	Scott Brown	67.49	4%	0%	70.25	—
30	J.T. Poston	67.50	6%	1%	70.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.