Wednesday, May 5, 2021

Wells Fargo Championship

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Rory McIlroy	-10	72	66	68	68	274.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-9	69	70	70	66	275.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-8	69	72	68	67	276.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-8	67	71	66	72	276.0
—	Gary Woodland	-7	67	69	70	71	277.0
—	Patrick Reed	-5	71	69	69	70	279.0
—	Matt Wallace	-5	69	67	73	70	279.0
—	Luke List	-5	67	72	68	72	279.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-4	70	74	68	68	280.0
—	Aaron Wise	-4	72	71	68	69	280.0
—	Ben Martin	-3	69	71	72	69	281.0
—	Scott Piercy	-3	70	68	73	70	281.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	-3	68	72	68	73	281.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-2	67	75	70	70	282.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	-2	71	71	70	70	282.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-2	74	66	72	70	282.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-2	72	71	68	71	282.0
—	C.T. Pan	-1	74	69	72	68	283.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-1	69	75	69	70	283.0
—	Brian Harman	-1	68	72	73	70	283.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	-1	71	71	70	71	283.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-1	66	75	71	71	283.0
—	Russell Knox	-1	70	71	70	72	283.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-1	68	72	71	72	283.0
—	Bubba Watson	-1	70	69	71	73	283.0
—	Nick Taylor	E	74	67	74	69	284.0
—	J.T. Poston	E	72	70	71	71	284.0
—	Justin Thomas	E	69	73	71	71	284.0
—	Pat Perez	E	69	72	72	71	284.0
—	Lanto Griffin	E	75	68	69	72	284.0
—	Brandon Hagy	E	73	69	70	72	284.0
—	Talor Gooch	E	70	71	71	72	284.0
—	Kevin Streelman	E	69	72	71	72	284.0
—	Vince Whaley	E	72	68	71	73	284.0
—	Cam Davis	E	70	71	69	74	284.0
—	Kyle Stanley	E	67	74	68	75	284.0
—	Danny Lee	E	—	—	—	—	—
—	Brian Stuard	+1	68	73	76	68	285.0
—	Sean O'Hair	+1	70	73	72	70	285.0
—	Stewart Cink	+1	71	69	75	70	285.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+1	68	68	79	70	285.0
—	Matt Jones	+1	69	71	73	72	285.0
—	Richy Werenski	+1	70	73	67	75	285.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+2	71	72	73	70	286.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+2	70	72	74	70	286.0
—	Corey Conners	+2	69	72	73	72	286.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+2	70	71	73	72	286.0
—	Peter Malnati	+2	67	74	72	73	286.0
—	Harris English	+2	72	69	71	74	286.0
—	Jason Dufner	+2	71	71	67	77	286.0
—	Scott Stallings	+2	69	69	70	78	286.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+3	72	71	77	67	287.0
—	Zach Johnson	+3	69	75	72	71	287.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+3	68	69	76	74	287.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Harry Higgs	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Lucas Glover	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Jason Day	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Luke Donald	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Harold Varner III	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Robert Streb	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Ryan Armour	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Troy Merritt	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Jamie Lovemark	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Nate Lashley	+3	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Séamus Power	+4	71	72	75	70	288.0
—	Ryan Moore	+4	69	72	73	74	288.0
—	Sepp Straka	+4	69	74	70	75	288.0
—	Hunter Mahan	+4	68	75	69	76	288.0
—	Jon Rahm	+4	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Brice Garnett	+4	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Tom Lewis	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Adam Schenk	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Kris Ventura	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Tony Finau	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Doc Redman	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Ian Poulter	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	James Hahn	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Michael Thompson	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Rob Oppenheim	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Bo Hoag	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Chase Seiffert	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Tom Hoge	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Tim Wilkinson	+5	74	68	78	69	289.0
—	Michael Gligic	+5	77	67	73	72	289.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+5	75	68	74	72	289.0
—	K.H. Lee	+5	66	77	70	76	289.0
—	Johnson Wagner	+5	73	68	72	76	289.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+5	69	72	71	77	289.0
—	Roger Sloan	+5	76	64	72	77	289.0
—	John Huh	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Will Gordon	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Robby Shelton	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Martin Trainer	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Brown	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+5	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Shane Lowry	+6	71	73	75	71	290.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	+6	72	72	73	73	290.0
—	Jonas Blixt	+6	71	73	70	76	290.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+6	70	68	73	79	290.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Bill Haas	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Cameron Percy	+6	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Rafael Campos	+6	69	79	—	—	148.0
—	S.Y. Noh	+6	74	66	—	—	140.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+7	64	75	76	76	291.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	+7	79	70	—	—	149.0
—	Tyler McCumber	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	+7	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+7	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	David Hearn	+7	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	K.J. Choi	+8	70	74	73	75	292.0
—	Brendan Steele	+8	72	72	70	78	292.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Patrick Cover	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Sebastian Cappelen	+8	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Grayson Murray	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+8	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Chez Reavie	+8	71	79	—	—	150.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+8	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Sungjae Im	+8	68	82	—	—	150.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+9	72	72	76	73	293.0
—	Kevin Tway	+9	73	71	76	73	293.0
—	Russell Henley	+9	74	70	74	75	293.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	+9	71	71	76	75	293.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+9	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Austin Cook	+9	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+10	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Scott Harrington	+10	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Sam Ryder	+10	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+10	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Adam Long	+11	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Max Homa	+11	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	D.A. Points	+11	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Keenan Huskey	+11	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	D.J. Trahan	+12	74	70	77	75	296.0
—	Sung Kang	+12	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Michael Kim	+12	73	81	—	—	154.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+12	72	82	—	—	154.0
—	Justin Suh	+13	71	84	—	—	155.0
—	Beau Hossler	+14	73	71	75	79	298.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+14	80	76	—	—	156.0
—	Cory Schneider	+19	81	80	—	—	161.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Luke Donald	65.66	3%	0%	72.50	—
2	Sebastian Cappelen	65.72	4%	0%	75.00	—
3	Austin Cook	66.46	4%	0%	75.50	—
4	Satoshi Kodaira	66.47	3%	0%	70.25	—
5	J.J. Spaun	66.56	3%	0%	70.75	—
6	Rafa Cabrera Bello	66.78	4%	0%	73.50	—
7	Beau Hossler	66.93	3%	0%	74.50	—
8	Doc Redman	66.93	3%	0%	73.00	—
9	Scott Stallings	66.94	6%	0%	71.50	—
10	Tyler Duncan	66.94	4%	0%	77.00	—
11	David Hearn	66.94	4%	0%	74.50	—
12	Xinjun Zhang	67.03	4%	0%	72.50	—
13	Hank Lebioda	67.04	5%	0%	71.75	—
14	Patrick Rodgers	67.18	7%	0%	71.25	—
15	D.J. Trahan	67.18	5%	0%	74.00	—
16	Russell Knox	67.21	6%	0%	70.75	—
17	Troy Merritt	67.24	7%	0%	72.50	—
18	Tom Hoge	67.30	6%	0%	73.00	—
19	Tim Wilkinson	67.31	5%	0%	72.25	—
20	Pat Perez	67.32	7%	0%	71.00	—
21	Bo Hoag	67.34	6%	0%	73.00	—
22	Jamie Lovemark	67.36	4%	0%	72.50	—
23	Adam Schenk	67.51	6%	0%	73.00	—
24	Lucas Glover	67.52	11%	1%	72.50	—
25	Hunter Mahan	67.52	2%	0%	72.00	—
26	Talor Gooch	67.54	9%	2%	71.00	—
27	Sebastián Muñoz	67.54	10%	1%	75.00	—
28	Scott Brown	67.55	4%	0%	73.50	—
29	Chez Reavie	67.59	4%	0%	75.00	—
30	Jimmy Walker	67.61	4%	0%	73.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.