Wednesday, May 19, 2021

PGA Championship

PGA ·157 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Phil Mickelson	-6	70	69	70	73	282.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-4	71	68	72	73	284.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-4	69	71	70	74	284.0
—	Padraig Harrington	-2	71	73	73	69	286.0
—	Shane Lowry	-2	73	71	73	69	286.0
—	Harry Higgs	-2	72	71	73	70	286.0
—	Paul Casey	-2	71	71	73	71	286.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-1	74	72	76	65	287.0
—	Justin Rose	-1	72	75	73	67	287.0
—	Jon Rahm	-1	72	75	72	68	287.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-1	70	75	74	68	287.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-1	72	74	71	70	287.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-1	71	74	72	70	287.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-1	71	76	69	71	287.0
—	Tony Finau	-1	74	72	70	71	287.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-1	70	72	70	75	287.0
—	Aaron Wise	E	69	79	72	68	288.0
—	Patrick Reed	E	74	75	69	70	288.0
—	Keegan Bradley	E	69	75	72	72	288.0
—	Charley Hoffman	E	73	70	73	72	288.0
—	Corey Conners	E	67	75	73	73	288.0
—	Sungjae Im	E	70	72	73	73	288.0
—	Sam Burns	E	—	—	—	—	—
—	Chan Kim	+1	75	74	73	67	289.0
—	Jason Scrivener	+1	73	75	72	69	289.0
—	Billy Horschel	+1	77	72	68	72	289.0
—	Martin Laird	+1	70	73	74	72	289.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+1	73	68	76	72	289.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+1	73	73	70	73	289.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+1	73	71	72	73	289.0
—	Matt Jones	+2	73	75	74	68	290.0
—	Stewart Cink	+2	71	76	74	69	290.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+2	69	75	75	71	290.0
—	Webb Simpson	+2	75	74	69	72	290.0
—	Ian Poulter	+2	74	70	73	73	290.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+2	73	75	68	74	290.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+2	71	72	71	76	290.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+2	71	70	72	77	290.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+3	77	72	72	70	291.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+3	71	75	73	72	291.0
—	Richy Werenski	+3	71	72	73	75	291.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	+3	72	71	71	77	291.0
—	Gary Woodland	+3	70	72	72	77	291.0
—	Branden Grace	+3	70	71	72	78	291.0
—	Jason Day	+4	74	75	72	71	292.0
—	Talor Gooch	+4	71	78	70	73	292.0
—	Daniel van Tonder	+4	75	70	74	73	292.0
—	Ben Cook	+4	72	77	69	74	292.0
—	Steve Stricker	+4	76	71	70	75	292.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+5	73	75	77	68	293.0
—	Sam Horsfield	+5	69	80	73	71	293.0
—	Rory McIlroy	+5	75	72	74	72	293.0
—	Harold Varner III	+5	73	76	71	73	293.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+5	75	73	72	73	293.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+5	71	72	73	77	293.0
—	Matt Wallace	+6	73	73	77	71	294.0
—	Alex Noren	+6	77	72	70	75	294.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+6	73	74	71	76	294.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+6	74	73	70	77	294.0
—	Antoine Rozner	+6	79	71	—	—	150.0
—	Adam Scott	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Peter Malnati	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Victor Perez	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Chez Reavie	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Sergio García	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Justin Thomas	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Brian Harman	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Marc Leishman	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Xander Schauffele	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Andy Sullivan	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Robert Streb	+7	77	72	74	72	295.0
—	Cam Davis	+7	69	78	76	72	295.0
—	Dean Burmester	+7	74	74	74	73	295.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+7	73	76	72	74	295.0
—	Cameron Smith	+7	72	73	73	77	295.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+7	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Thomas Detry	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Rich Beem	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Brendon Todd	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+8	73	76	78	69	296.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+8	73	76	76	71	296.0
—	Harris English	+8	75	74	75	72	296.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+8	77	71	76	72	296.0
—	Tom Hoge	+8	74	75	74	73	296.0
—	Danny Willett	+8	77	71	74	74	296.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+8	73	74	75	74	296.0
—	Danny Balin	+8	79	73	—	—	152.0
—	Chris Kirk	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Martin Kaymer	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Zach Johnson	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+8	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Jason Dufner	+8	71	81	—	—	152.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+8	70	82	—	—	152.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+9	76	72	77	72	297.0
—	Russell Henley	+9	78	70	74	75	297.0
—	Tom Lewis	+9	71	74	76	76	297.0
—	Lee Westwood	+9	73	72	75	77	297.0
—	Bernd Wiesberger	+9	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Jim Herman	+9	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Greg Koch	+9	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	J.T. Poston	+9	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+9	72	81	—	—	153.0
—	Daniel Berger	+10	79	69	74	76	298.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+10	75	74	72	77	298.0
—	Sami Välimäki	+10	78	76	—	—	154.0
—	Max Homa	+10	78	76	—	—	154.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Brett Thomas Walker	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	George Coetzee	+10	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	John Catlin	+10	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Kalle Samooja	+10	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Adam Long	+10	72	82	—	—	154.0
—	Brendan Steele	+11	75	74	77	73	299.0
—	Pete Ballo	+11	80	75	—	—	155.0
—	K.H. Lee	+11	78	77	—	—	155.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+11	76	79	—	—	155.0
—	Brad Marek	+12	73	73	78	76	300.0
—	Aaron Rai	+12	81	75	—	—	156.0
—	Tim Pearce	+12	79	77	—	—	156.0
—	Ben Polland	+12	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Mark Geddes	+12	75	81	—	—	156.0
—	Rasmus Højgaard	+13	71	76	79	75	301.0
—	Kevin Na	+13	79	78	—	—	157.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+13	77	80	—	—	157.0
—	Jazz Janewattananond	+13	77	80	—	—	157.0
—	Rob Labritz	+13	76	81	—	—	157.0
—	Bubba Watson	+14	72	73	77	80	302.0
—	Y.E. Yang	+14	75	83	—	—	158.0
—	Cameron Champ	+15	82	77	—	—	159.0
—	Stuart Smith	+15	82	77	—	—	159.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	+15	76	83	—	—	159.0
—	Thomas Pieters	+16	76	84	—	—	160.0
—	Shaun Micheel	+17	81	80	—	—	161.0
—	Brandon Stone	+17	78	83	—	—	161.0
—	Alex Beach	+17	75	86	—	—	161.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	+17	75	86	—	—	161.0
—	Brian Gay	+18	77	71	80	78	306.0
—	Patrick Rada	+18	76	86	—	—	162.0
—	Sonny Skinner	+19	85	78	—	—	163.0
—	Larkin Gross	+20	80	84	—	—	164.0
—	Frank Bensel Jr.	+21	86	79	—	—	165.0
—	Omar Uresti	+21	82	83	—	—	165.0
—	Joseph Summerhays	+21	81	84	—	—	165.0
—	Derek Holmes	+21	79	86	—	—	165.0
—	Tyler Collet	+26	88	82	—	—	170.0
—	John Daly	+27	85	86	—	—	171.0
—	Francesco Molinari	—	—	—	—	—	—

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Peter Malnati	66.85	4%	0%	75.00	—
2	Harry Higgs	67.06	6%	0%	71.50	—
3	Cam Davis	67.37	7%	1%	73.75	—
4	Robert Streb	67.61	5%	0%	73.75	—
5	Martin Laird	67.89	5%	0%	72.25	—
6	Si Woo Kim	68.28	9%	1%	75.50	—
7	Tony Finau	68.37	15%	2%	71.75	—
8	Lanto Griffin	68.44	12%	1%	76.00	—
9	Padraig Harrington	68.47	4%	0%	71.50	—
10	Abraham Ancer	68.51	23%	2%	71.75	—
11	Cameron Champ	68.58	4%	0%	79.50	—
12	Patrick Reed	68.61	22%	1%	72.00	—
13	Justin Rose	68.64	16%	0%	71.75	—
14	Brian Gay	68.66	4%	0%	76.50	—
15	Viktor Hovland	68.67	30%	2%	72.50	—
16	Harold Varner III	68.67	11%	2%	73.25	—
17	Kevin Streelman	68.69	8%	1%	71.75	—
18	Brandon Hagy	68.72	8%	0%	78.50	—
19	Rasmus Højgaard	68.73	4%	0%	75.25	—
20	K.H. Lee	68.74	13%	1%	77.50	—
21	Brian Harman	68.83	24%	2%	75.00	—
22	Scottie Scheffler	68.89	16%	2%	71.75	—
23	Denny McCarthy	68.89	8%	1%	73.75	—
24	Stewart Cink	68.90	13%	1%	72.50	—
25	Charley Hoffman	68.96	14%	3%	72.00	—
26	Brendon Todd	68.97	16%	1%	75.50	—
27	Mackenzie Hughes	69.00	7%	1%	75.00	—
28	Bryson DeChambeau	69.00	27%	1%	72.75	—
29	Kevin Kisner	69.03	11%	1%	77.00	—
30	Alex Noren	69.04	12%	2%	73.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.