Wednesday, June 2, 2021

the Memorial Tournament pres. by Nationwide

PGA ·120 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Jon Rahm	-18	69	65	64	—	198.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-13	69	67	68	71	279.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-13	66	72	66	71	275.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-11	67	71	69	70	277.0
—	Branden Grace	-10	68	72	67	71	278.0
—	Patrick Reed	-8	71	71	69	69	280.0
—	Jimmy Walker	-6	74	69	74	65	282.0
—	Shane Lowry	-6	69	71	72	70	282.0
—	Max Homa	-6	69	69	72	72	282.0
—	Aaron Wise	-5	72	70	70	71	283.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-5	73	70	68	72	283.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-4	69	70	75	70	284.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-4	68	70	74	72	284.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-3	72	72	73	68	285.0
—	Alex Noren	-3	73	69	75	68	285.0
—	Bo Hoag	-3	68	73	72	72	285.0
—	Adam Scott	-2	74	68	71	73	286.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-2	71	68	72	75	286.0
—	Talor Gooch	-1	74	71	71	71	287.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-1	71	72	73	71	287.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-1	72	72	71	72	287.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-1	72	71	72	72	287.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-1	76	67	71	73	287.0
—	Antoine Rozner	-1	72	72	69	74	287.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	-1	69	72	71	75	287.0
—	Lucas Herbert	-1	71	69	71	76	287.0
—	Cameron Tringale	E	70	76	73	69	288.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	E	73	68	75	72	288.0
—	Danny Willett	E	75	71	69	73	288.0
—	Adam Long	E	67	77	71	73	288.0
—	Chris Kirk	E	67	74	74	73	288.0
—	Jim Herman	E	72	68	72	76	288.0
—	Matt Kuchar	E	65	—	—	—	65.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+1	69	76	73	71	289.0
—	Sung Kang	+1	70	72	74	73	289.0
—	Tony Finau	+1	72	68	76	73	289.0
—	Robby Shelton	+1	71	71	73	74	289.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+1	68	73	73	75	289.0
—	Jason Dufner	+2	70	73	77	70	290.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+2	69	77	72	72	290.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+2	68	72	78	72	290.0
—	Brendan Steele	+2	69	73	75	73	290.0
—	Lucas Glover	+2	72	70	72	76	290.0
—	Doc Redman	+3	75	71	74	71	291.0
—	Nick Taylor	+3	68	74	77	72	291.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+3	73	72	72	74	291.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+3	70	71	75	75	291.0
—	Justin Thomas	+3	69	72	75	75	291.0
—	Tyler McCumber	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+3	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	K.J. Choi	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Cameron Smith	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	James Hahn	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Chase Johnson	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Matt Wallace	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Sungjae Im	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Stewart Cink	+4	70	74	77	71	292.0
—	Harold Varner III	+4	72	73	75	72	292.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+4	72	70	76	74	292.0
—	Luke List	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Gary Woodland	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	David Lingmerth	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	William McGirt	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Brian Gay	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Russell Henley	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+5	76	70	77	70	293.0
—	Sam Burns	+5	71	71	75	76	293.0
—	Troy Merritt	+5	74	70	71	78	293.0
—	Matt Jones	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Charles Howell III	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+5	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+5	76	29	—	—	105.0
—	Martin Laird	+6	74	72	74	74	294.0
—	Brendon Todd	+6	72	72	74	76	294.0
—	Corey Conners	+6	74	69	74	77	294.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+6	70	72	75	77	294.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Victor Perez	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Tyler Strafaci	+7	74	71	78	72	295.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+7	72	71	80	72	295.0
—	Russell Knox	+7	72	73	75	75	295.0
—	Marc Leishman	+7	69	75	75	76	295.0
—	C.T. Pan	+7	74	70	74	77	295.0
—	Robert Streb	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Doug Ghim	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Richy Werenski	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+8	72	73	78	73	296.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+8	73	68	79	76	296.0
—	Peter Malnati	+8	81	71	—	—	152.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Michael Thompson	+9	70	73	73	81	297.0
—	Joe Long	+9	81	72	—	—	153.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+9	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Tom Hoge	+9	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Sepp Straka	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Cam Davis	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Haotong Li	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	K.H. Lee	+10	74	71	79	74	298.0
—	J.T. Poston	+10	69	74	78	77	298.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+10	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Bubba Watson	+10	77	61	—	—	138.0
—	Danny Lee	+11	80	75	—	—	155.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+11	78	77	—	—	155.0
—	Jamie Lovemark	+12	81	75	—	—	156.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+12	77	79	—	—	156.0
—	Billy Horschel	+13	76	70	82	73	301.0
—	Cameron Champ	+14	82	60	—	—	142.0
—	Harry Higgs	+17	76	69	76	84	305.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Tyler Strafaci	66.15	2%	0%	73.75	—
2	J.B. Holmes	66.60	3%	0%	35.00	—
3	Russell Knox	67.26	7%	0%	73.75	—
4	Aaron Wise	67.44	7%	0%	70.75	—
5	Jamie Lovemark	67.60	3%	0%	78.00	—
6	Martin Laird	67.78	6%	0%	73.50	—
7	Michael Thompson	67.82	9%	1%	74.25	—
8	Robert Streb	67.83	6%	0%	75.50	—
9	Cam Davis	67.92	6%	0%	76.50	—
10	Doug Ghim	67.92	7%	0%	75.50	—
11	Richy Werenski	67.96	8%	0%	75.50	—
12	Camilo Villegas	67.97	6%	0%	74.00	—
13	Kyle Stanley	67.99	7%	1%	72.75	—
14	Tyler McCumber	68.14	6%	0%	73.50	—
15	Chris Kirk	68.26	12%	1%	72.00	—
16	Adam Scott	68.29	12%	2%	71.50	—
17	Cameron Tringale	68.54	13%	2%	72.00	—
18	Russell Henley	68.61	10%	1%	74.00	—
19	Takumi Kanaya	68.64	3%	0%	74.50	—
20	Charley Hoffman	68.69	21%	2%	73.75	—
21	Matt Jones	68.74	13%	2%	74.50	—
22	K.H. Lee	68.94	9%	1%	74.50	—
23	James Hahn	68.95	4%	0%	73.50	—
24	Patton Kizzire	68.96	13%	1%	74.50	—
25	Jon Rahm	69.05	22%	1%	49.50	—
26	Danny Lee	69.08	4%	0%	77.50	—
27	Padraig Harrington	69.15	5%	0%	77.50	—
28	Sahith Theegala	69.20	4%	0%	72.25	—
29	Robby Shelton	69.27	3%	0%	72.25	—
30	Sam Burns	69.32	9%	0%	73.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.