Wednesday, June 16, 2021

U.S. Open

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Jon Rahm	-6	69	70	72	67	278.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-5	67	71	70	71	279.0
—	Harris English	-3	72	70	71	68	281.0
—	Guido Migliozzi	-2	71	70	73	68	282.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-2	69	73	71	69	282.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-2	75	67	70	70	282.0
—	Branden Grace	-1	72	70	74	67	283.0
—	Daniel Berger	-1	71	72	72	68	283.0
—	Paul Casey	-1	71	75	67	70	283.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-1	69	71	72	71	283.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-1	72	69	70	72	283.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-1	70	73	67	73	283.0
—	Francesco Molinari	E	68	76	69	71	284.0
—	Russell Henley	E	67	70	71	76	284.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+1	70	75	71	69	285.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+1	71	69	72	73	285.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+1	70	68	73	74	285.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+1	73	67	68	77	285.0
—	Patrick Reed	+2	72	73	74	67	286.0
—	Sergio García	+2	71	74	73	68	286.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+2	71	74	71	70	286.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+2	77	69	68	72	286.0
—	Brian Harman	+2	72	71	71	72	286.0
—	Justin Thomas	+2	73	69	71	73	286.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+2	71	73	68	74	286.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+3	69	76	74	68	287.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	+3	69	74	73	71	287.0
—	Chris Baker	+3	74	71	69	73	287.0
—	Martin Kaymer	+3	77	68	69	73	287.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	+3	73	69	68	77	287.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+4	70	71	77	70	288.0
—	Dylan Wu	+4	70	73	74	71	288.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+4	75	69	71	73	288.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+4	72	70	70	76	288.0
—	Edoardo Molinari	+5	70	76	72	71	289.0
—	Adam Scott	+5	70	75	71	73	289.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+5	71	73	72	73	289.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+5	76	69	69	75	289.0
—	Sungjae Im	+5	72	72	69	76	289.0
—	Sam Ryder	+5	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Zach Zaback	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Bernd Wiesberger	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Brendan Steele	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Sam Burns	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Cameron Smith	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Thomas Detry	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Marcus Armitage	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Andrew Kozan	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Wade Ormsby	+6	72	74	73	71	290.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+6	70	72	75	73	290.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+6	71	75	70	74	290.0
—	J.T. Poston	+6	72	73	71	74	290.0
—	Chez Reavie	+6	76	68	72	74	290.0
—	Ian Poulter	+6	74	71	68	77	290.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Charles Osborne	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Zach Johnson	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Spencer Ralston	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Corey Conners	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Matt Wallace	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Johannes Veerman	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+6	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+6	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Rick Lamb	+7	71	75	74	71	291.0
—	Tom Hoge	+7	72	71	76	72	291.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+7	73	72	72	74	291.0
—	Lee Westwood	+7	71	72	71	77	291.0
—	Brendon Todd	+7	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Jordan Smith	+7	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Joe Highsmith	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Max Homa	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Zack Sucher	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Michael Johnson	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Billy Horschel	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+8	72	73	74	73	292.0
—	Gary Woodland	+8	74	71	73	74	292.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+8	68	76	74	74	292.0
—	Bubba Watson	+8	72	67	77	76	292.0
—	Richard Bland	+8	70	67	77	78	292.0
—	Robby Shelton	+8	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Eric Cole	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Cole Hammer	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Kevin Na	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Hayden Springer	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Victor Perez	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Luis Gagne	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Tony Finau	+8	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Martin Laird	+8	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Cameron Young	+8	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+9	73	73	72	75	293.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+9	70	75	72	76	293.0
—	Brian Stuard	+9	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Yosuke Asaji	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Cameron Champ	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Peter Malnati	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Matthew Southgate	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Matt Sharpstene	+9	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Pierceson Coody	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Paul Barjon	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Adrian Meronk	+9	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+9	69	82	—	—	151.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+9	74	46	—	—	120.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+10	70	76	74	74	294.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+10	73	73	73	75	294.0
—	Stewart Cink	+10	73	72	74	75	294.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+10	75	69	74	76	294.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+10	72	71	75	76	294.0
—	Webb Simpson	+10	79	73	—	—	152.0
—	Justin Suh	+10	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+10	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Matti Schmid	+10	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+10	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Davis Shore	+10	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Brad Kennedy	+10	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+11	71	74	75	75	295.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+11	75	69	76	75	295.0
—	Thomas Aiken	+11	80	73	—	—	153.0
—	Ryo Ishikawa	+11	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Joe Long	+11	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Chan Kim	+11	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Andy Pope	+11	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Roy Martin Cootes	+11	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Sung Kang	+11	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Marc Leishman	+12	74	70	75	77	296.0
—	Dave Coupland	+12	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Matt Jones	+13	72	71	79	75	297.0
—	Troy Merritt	+13	75	71	73	78	297.0
—	Shane Lowry	+13	72	74	72	79	297.0
—	Justin Rose	+13	78	77	—	—	155.0
—	Carson Schaake	+13	76	79	—	—	155.0
—	Chris Crawford	+13	76	79	—	—	155.0
—	K.H. Lee	+13	76	79	—	—	155.0
—	Wilco Nienaber	+14	72	74	80	72	298.0
—	Kyle Westmoreland	+14	71	73	78	76	298.0
—	Bo Hoag	+14	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Tyler Strafaci	+14	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Dylan Meyer	+14	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Luis Fernando Fernando Barco	+14	77	79	—	—	156.0
—	Alvaro Ortiz	+15	82	75	—	—	157.0
—	John Huh	+15	80	77	—	—	157.0
—	Mario Carmona	+15	77	80	—	—	157.0
—	Steve Allan	+17	80	79	—	—	159.0
—	Wilson Furr	+17	77	82	—	—	159.0
—	James Paul Hervol	+18	79	81	—	—	160.0
—	Fabián Gómez	+19	70	76	78	79	303.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+19	74	72	77	80	303.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Patrick Rodgers	66.65	4%	0%	72.00	—
2	Justin Suh	66.81	3%	0%	76.00	—
3	Robby Shelton	66.98	4%	0%	75.00	—
4	Brendan Steele	67.04	12%	1%	73.50	—
5	Tom Hoge	67.06	4%	0%	72.75	—
6	Scottie Scheffler	67.08	18%	1%	70.75	—
7	Dylan Frittelli	67.09	5%	0%	72.75	—
8	Wyndham Clark	67.33	6%	0%	73.50	—
9	Carlos Ortiz	67.42	8%	1%	74.00	—
10	Brian Stuard	67.55	5%	0%	75.50	—
11	John Huh	67.69	4%	0%	78.50	—
12	Russell Henley	67.79	8%	0%	71.00	—
13	Chris Baker	67.84	4%	0%	71.75	—
14	Charley Hoffman	68.00	18%	3%	73.50	—
15	Fabián Gómez	68.07	4%	0%	75.75	—
16	Martin Laird	68.19	6%	0%	75.00	—
17	Bo Hoag	68.25	5%	0%	78.00	—
18	Sam Ryder	68.27	5%	0%	73.50	—
19	J.J. Spaun	68.55	4%	0%	76.00	—
20	Akshay Bhatia	68.87	5%	0%	73.50	—
21	Stewart Cink	68.94	13%	1%	73.50	—
22	Jhonattan Vegas	68.96	19%	2%	73.50	—
23	Bryson DeChambeau	69.10	24%	1%	71.75	—
24	Sahith Theegala	69.14	4%	0%	74.50	—
25	K.H. Lee	69.15	9%	1%	77.50	—
26	Matthew Wolff	69.17	8%	0%	71.25	—
27	Brooks Koepka	69.20	9%	0%	70.50	—
28	Francesco Molinari	69.25	7%	1%	71.00	—
29	Sam Burns	69.26	8%	0%	73.50	—
30	Tyler Strafaci	69.43	2%	0%	78.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.