Wednesday, January 20, 2021

The American Express

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Si Woo Kim	-23	66	68	67	64	265.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-22	69	71	65	61	266.0
—	Cam Davis	-20	68	70	66	64	268.0
—	Tony Finau	-19	68	66	67	68	269.0
—	Michael Thompson	-15	67	72	68	66	273.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-15	69	65	73	66	273.0
—	Doug Ghim	-15	67	68	69	69	273.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-14	65	73	67	69	274.0
—	Paul Casey	-14	72	65	68	69	274.0
—	Francesco Molinari	-14	69	66	69	70	274.0
—	Brian Harman	-14	68	68	67	71	274.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-13	71	68	70	66	275.0
—	Sungjae Im	-13	68	65	73	69	275.0
—	Chase Seiffert	-13	72	67	65	71	275.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-13	68	69	67	71	275.0
—	Ryan Armour	-12	70	67	73	66	276.0
—	Bo Hoag	-12	71	69	68	68	276.0
—	Chris Kirk	-12	68	70	70	68	276.0
—	Gary Woodland	-12	70	68	68	70	276.0
—	Russell Knox	-12	69	70	64	73	276.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-11	73	66	70	68	277.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-11	70	69	69	69	277.0
—	Brendan Steele	-11	68	68	72	69	277.0
—	John Huh	-11	68	68	70	71	277.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-11	67	69	70	71	277.0
—	Brandon Hagy	-11	64	70	72	71	277.0
—	Talor Gooch	-11	74	66	65	72	277.0
—	Matt Jones	-11	70	68	67	72	277.0
—	Luke List	-11	69	68	68	72	277.0
—	Richy Werenski	-11	69	68	65	75	277.0
—	Max Homa	-11	66	70	65	76	277.0
—	Austin Cook	-10	68	70	74	66	278.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-10	72	66	74	66	278.0
—	K.H. Lee	-10	68	71	71	68	278.0
—	Kyle Stanley	-10	70	68	70	70	278.0
—	James Hahn	-10	68	69	70	71	278.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	-9	71	68	70	70	279.0
—	Adam Schenk	-9	68	68	71	72	279.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-9	69	66	68	76	279.0
—	Tyler McCumber	-8	69	70	73	68	280.0
—	Matthew Wolff	-8	72	67	71	70	280.0
—	Rhein Gibson	-8	70	70	69	71	280.0
—	Jamie Lovemark	-8	68	71	70	71	280.0
—	Alex Noren	-8	67	71	70	72	280.0
—	Josh Teater	-8	68	69	71	72	280.0
—	Roger Sloan	-8	69	67	69	75	280.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-8	70	66	8	—	144.0
—	Harry Hall	-7	70	70	72	69	281.0
—	Brian Stuard	-7	74	65	72	70	281.0
—	Martin Laird	-7	66	74	69	72	281.0
—	Sam Ryder	-7	67	70	72	72	281.0
—	Nick Taylor	-7	68	66	74	73	281.0
—	Rob Oppenheim	-7	69	71	67	74	281.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-6	69	70	70	73	282.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-5	70	70	73	70	283.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	-5	67	72	72	72	283.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-4	70	69	76	69	284.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-4	68	72	72	72	284.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-4	67	72	73	72	284.0
—	Ben Martin	-4	67	71	69	77	284.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	-3	73	67	74	71	285.0
—	Jimmy Walker	-3	69	70	70	76	285.0
—	Scott Stallings	-3	74	67	—	—	141.0
—	Chez Reavie	-3	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Ryan Moore	-3	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-3	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	C.T. Pan	-3	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Pat Perez	-3	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Tim Wilkinson	-3	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Bill Haas	-3	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Vince Whaley	-3	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	-3	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Zach Johnson	-2	72	68	71	75	286.0
—	Hank Lebioda	-2	69	71	70	76	286.0
—	Brian Gay	-2	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Jason Dufner	-2	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Charles Howell III	-2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Luke Donald	-2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	-2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Danny Lee	-2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	-2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Fabián Gómez	-2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Troy Merritt	-2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Tom Kim	-2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Sebastian Cappelen	-1	70	70	78	69	287.0
—	Will Gordon	-1	72	68	75	72	287.0
—	David Hearn	-1	68	71	75	73	287.0
—	Andrew Landry	-1	70	69	74	74	287.0
—	Sam Burns	-1	77	66	—	—	143.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Jim Herman	-1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Kevin Stadler	-1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	-1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Russell Henley	-1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Ben Taylor	-1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	-1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Kris Ventura	-1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Patrick Reed	-1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Nelson Ledesma	E	70	70	79	69	288.0
—	Kevin Na	E	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Cameron Percy	E	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Tway	E	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	John Augenstein	E	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Sean O'Hair	E	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Lucas Glover	E	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Kelly Kraft	E	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Scott Piercy	E	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	E	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Grayson Murray	E	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Streelman	E	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Mark Hubbard	E	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Adam Long	+1	68	70	76	75	289.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	+1	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Beau Hossler	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Peter Malnati	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Aaron Wise	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Mark Anderson	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Doc Redman	+2	70	70	76	74	290.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	S.Y. Noh	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Tom Hoge	+2	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+3	67	73	79	72	291.0
—	Robby Shelton	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Nick Watney	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Michael Block	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Brown	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Martin Trainer	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Chris Baker	+4	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Scott Harrington	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Michael Gligic	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Brice Garnett	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+4	69	79	—	—	148.0
—	Steve Stricker	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Sepp Straka	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	J.T. Poston	+6	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Michael Kim	+7	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Rafael Campos	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Nate Lashley	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Cameron Champ	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Michael Gellerman	+8	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+9	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Hunter Mahan	+9	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Steve Jones	+9	73	80	—	—	153.0
—	Sung Kang	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	John Senden	+11	81	74	—	—	155.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+11	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Matt Every	+12	84	72	—	—	156.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Kevin Stadler	65.46	2%	0%	71.50	—
2	Martin Trainer	66.26	2%	0%	73.50	—
3	Kevin Tway	67.47	2%	0%	72.00	—
4	Bo Van Pelt	67.62	2%	0%	72.50	—
5	C.T. Pan	67.87	8%	0%	70.50	—
6	Satoshi Kodaira	67.98	3%	0%	71.50	—
7	Sung Kang	68.16	4%	0%	77.00	—
8	Mark Anderson	68.46	4%	0%	72.50	—
9	Pat Perez	68.52	5%	0%	70.50	—
10	Jamie Lovemark	68.59	4%	0%	70.00	—
11	Nate Lashley	68.60	3%	0%	75.50	—
12	Si Woo Kim	68.65	18%	23%	66.25	—
13	Patrick Reed	68.68	20%	2%	71.50	—
14	Jimmy Walker	68.73	2%	0%	71.25	—
15	Scottie Scheffler	68.76	26%	2%	70.50	—
16	Tim Wilkinson	68.79	4%	0%	70.50	—
17	Rory Sabbatini	68.86	6%	1%	68.75	—
18	Tony Finau	68.88	26%	1%	67.25	—
19	Emiliano Grillo	68.92	12%	1%	69.75	—
20	David Hearn	68.93	5%	0%	71.75	—
21	Sungjae Im	68.94	16%	1%	68.75	—
22	Matt Jones	68.94	11%	1%	69.25	—
23	Bo Hoag	68.95	11%	2%	69.00	—
24	Andrew Putnam	68.96	4%	0%	69.25	—
25	Sepp Straka	68.97	18%	2%	74.50	—
26	Keegan Bradley	68.98	7%	0%	75.00	—
27	Abraham Ancer	68.98	16%	7%	68.25	—
28	Andrew Landry	69.01	13%	2%	71.75	—
29	Jim Herman	69.06	9%	0%	71.50	—
30	Lanto Griffin	69.10	21%	2%	71.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.