Wednesday, April 14, 2021

RBC Heritage

PGA ·134 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Stewart Cink	-19	63	63	69	70	265.0
—	Harold Varner III	-15	66	68	69	66	269.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-15	68	64	69	68	269.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-13	71	67	66	67	271.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-13	71	64	68	68	271.0
—	Corey Conners	-13	67	64	72	68	271.0
—	Chris Kirk	-12	70	67	68	67	272.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-12	65	68	67	72	272.0
—	Shane Lowry	-11	70	65	72	66	273.0
—	Cameron Smith	-11	62	71	74	66	273.0
—	Russell Henley	-11	69	70	67	67	273.0
—	Webb Simpson	-11	71	68	64	70	273.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-10	70	67	71	66	274.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-10	73	67	67	67	274.0
—	Daniel Berger	-10	67	71	66	70	274.0
—	Brian Harman	-10	67	70	67	70	274.0
—	Sungjae Im	-10	68	65	69	72	274.0
—	Charles Howell III	-9	66	70	74	65	275.0
—	Danny Willett	-9	68	71	67	69	275.0
—	Brian Stuard	-9	70	68	68	69	275.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-9	70	68	67	70	275.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-9	69	66	70	70	275.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-9	68	69	67	71	275.0
—	Matt Wallace	-9	65	72	65	73	275.0
—	Wesley Bryan	-8	68	66	75	67	276.0
—	Cam Davis	-8	69	69	70	68	276.0
—	Alex Noren	-8	71	68	68	69	276.0
—	Adam Schenk	-8	68	69	70	69	276.0
—	Tom Hoge	-8	67	67	73	69	276.0
—	Tom Lewis	-8	72	67	67	70	276.0
—	Camilo Villegas	-8	69	68	68	71	276.0
—	Billy Horschel	-8	66	67	71	72	276.0
—	Doug Ghim	-7	70	69	72	66	277.0
—	Andrew Landry	-7	70	70	70	67	277.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-7	71	67	71	68	277.0
—	Lucas Glover	-7	67	69	72	69	277.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-7	70	69	65	73	277.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-7	67	71	66	73	277.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-6	73	66	73	66	278.0
—	Sam Burns	-6	72	68	69	69	278.0
—	Brendon Todd	-6	70	70	67	71	278.0
—	Branden Grace	-5	68	69	73	69	279.0
—	Scott Harrington	-5	69	71	68	71	279.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	-5	69	71	68	71	279.0
—	Chase Seiffert	-5	71	68	69	71	279.0
—	Michael Thompson	-5	68	67	72	72	279.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-5	68	67	71	73	279.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-4	68	72	70	70	280.0
—	Kevin Tway	-4	69	71	70	70	280.0
—	Ian Poulter	-4	69	68	73	70	280.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-3	70	69	67	75	281.0
—	Brice Garnett	-2	69	70	75	68	282.0
—	Ryan Moore	-2	70	69	72	71	282.0
—	Robert Streb	-2	68	69	74	71	282.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-2	67	71	71	73	282.0
—	K.H. Lee	-1	67	73	70	73	283.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-1	71	67	71	74	283.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-1	76	65	—	—	141.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Pat Perez	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Jim Furyk	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Hudson Swafford	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Danny Lee	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Austin Cook	-1	67	74	—	—	141.0
—	Luke List	E	74	66	72	72	284.0
—	Paul Casey	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	J.T. Poston	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Hunter Mahan	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Zach Johnson	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Jason Dufner	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Kyle Stanley	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Rafael Campos	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Brian Gay	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Harry Higgs	+1	71	68	72	74	285.0
—	Sepp Straka	+1	70	67	73	75	285.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+1	70	67	70	78	285.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+1	76	67	—	—	143.0
—	Jim Herman	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Ben Martin	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Scott Stallings	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Bill Haas	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Ryan Armour	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Russell Knox	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Nick Taylor	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Sergio García	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Scott Piercy	+2	70	70	72	74	286.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Davis Love III	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Beau Hossler	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Thomas Gibson	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Bo Hoag	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	C.T. Pan	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Troy Merritt	+2	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Lee Westwood	+3	71	68	75	73	287.0
—	Will Gordon	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Long	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Luke Donald	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Peter Malnati	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+4	70	70	71	77	288.0
—	K.J. Choi	+4	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	William McGirt	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Na	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Martin Trainer	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Harris English	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Richy Werenski	+4	69	77	—	—	146.0
—	Sung Kang	+5	68	68	76	77	289.0
—	Michael Gligic	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Brown	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Aaron Wise	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Michael Kim	+5	72	40	—	—	112.0
—	Bryson Nimmer	+6	80	68	—	—	148.0
—	Chez Reavie	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Robby Shelton	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	John Augenstein	+8	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+8	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Doc Redman	+10	81	71	—	—	152.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+10	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Nick Watney	+10	72	80	—	—	152.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Hunter Mahan	63.74	2%	0%	71.00	—
2	Xinjun Zhang	66.15	4%	0%	73.50	—
3	Nick Watney	66.53	6%	0%	76.00	—
4	Satoshi Kodaira	66.97	5%	0%	71.50	—
5	Will Gordon	67.32	8%	1%	72.50	—
6	Michael Kim	67.40	3%	0%	37.33	—
7	Tom Lewis	67.50	5%	0%	69.00	—
8	Chase Seiffert	67.67	9%	2%	69.75	—
9	Bo Hoag	67.76	8%	0%	72.00	—
10	Scott Harrington	67.83	4%	0%	69.75	—
11	Doug Ghim	67.86	10%	1%	69.25	—
12	Beau Hossler	67.90	3%	0%	72.00	—
13	Paul Casey	67.91	14%	1%	71.00	—
14	William McGirt	67.96	3%	0%	73.00	—
15	Anirban Lahiri	67.98	8%	0%	73.00	—
16	Brandon Hagy	68.09	6%	0%	76.00	—
17	Tommy Fleetwood	68.14	11%	1%	70.50	—
18	Tom Hoge	68.43	6%	1%	69.00	—
19	Lucas Glover	68.44	16%	2%	69.25	—
20	Richy Werenski	68.45	8%	1%	73.00	—
21	Nick Taylor	68.50	10%	1%	71.50	—
22	Danny Willett	68.51	6%	1%	68.75	—
23	Sepp Straka	68.54	8%	1%	71.25	—
24	Kevin Na	68.55	16%	2%	73.00	—
25	J.T. Poston	68.64	6%	1%	71.00	—
26	Ben Martin	68.64	6%	0%	71.50	—
27	Russell Knox	68.65	6%	0%	71.50	—
28	Doc Redman	68.65	8%	0%	76.00	—
29	Adam Long	68.66	8%	0%	72.50	—
30	Harry Higgs	68.69	6%	0%	71.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.