Wednesday, March 31, 2021

Valero Texas Open

PGA ·144 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Jordan Spieth	-18	67	70	67	66	270.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-16	75	66	65	66	272.0
—	Matt Wallace	-14	69	68	67	70	274.0
—	Lucas Glover	-12	73	67	70	66	276.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	-10	71	69	69	69	278.0
—	Chris Kirk	-9	72	72	67	68	279.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	-9	72	67	72	68	279.0
—	Gary Woodland	-9	71	72	67	69	279.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-8	71	74	70	65	280.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-8	68	74	69	69	280.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-8	66	69	73	72	280.0
—	Tom Hoge	-7	68	76	66	71	281.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-7	70	70	70	71	281.0
—	Corey Conners	-6	71	74	67	70	282.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-6	71	68	72	71	282.0
—	Kyle Stanley	-6	71	68	72	71	282.0
—	Luke List	-5	73	71	70	69	283.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-5	76	68	69	70	283.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-5	72	71	70	70	283.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-5	72	69	71	71	283.0
—	Brandon Hagy	-5	70	70	72	71	283.0
—	Camilo Villegas	-5	64	76	71	72	283.0
—	Branden Grace	-4	75	71	70	68	284.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-4	72	73	69	70	284.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-4	72	72	70	70	284.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-4	71	73	70	70	284.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-4	70	73	71	70	284.0
—	K.H. Lee	-4	70	73	70	71	284.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-4	73	72	66	73	284.0
—	Martin Laird	-3	72	73	72	68	285.0
—	K.J. Choi	-3	72	74	69	70	285.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-3	71	70	74	70	285.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-3	67	74	73	71	285.0
—	Cameron Champ	-2	77	69	73	67	286.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	-2	74	72	73	67	286.0
—	Ben Martin	-2	73	73	72	68	286.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-2	71	74	71	70	286.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-2	73	71	72	70	286.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-2	75	71	69	71	286.0
—	Vince Whaley	-2	69	76	70	71	286.0
—	Rafael Campos	-2	72	74	68	72	286.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-2	72	73	69	72	286.0
—	Troy Merritt	-2	76	69	68	73	286.0
—	Aaron Wise	-1	75	70	75	67	287.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	-1	70	71	78	68	287.0
—	Doug Ghim	-1	74	72	72	69	287.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-1	73	71	73	70	287.0
—	Sam Fidone	-1	74	72	70	71	287.0
—	Chase Seiffert	-1	72	70	74	71	287.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	-1	71	74	70	72	287.0
—	Kelly Kraft	-1	75	71	68	73	287.0
—	Martin Trainer	-1	70	74	70	73	287.0
—	Doc Redman	-1	72	68	73	74	287.0
—	Tom Lewis	E	73	72	74	69	288.0
—	S.Y. Noh	E	67	76	74	71	288.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	E	68	78	69	73	288.0
—	Graeme McDowell	E	74	71	69	74	288.0
—	Kevin Stadler	E	69	70	73	76	288.0
—	D.J. Trahan	+1	74	71	74	70	289.0
—	Scott Stallings	+1	77	69	72	71	289.0
—	Tain Lee	+1	73	73	72	71	289.0
—	Sebastian Cappelen	+1	74	71	73	71	289.0
—	Nick Taylor	+1	73	70	74	72	289.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+1	73	72	70	74	289.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+1	72	72	70	75	289.0
—	Sung Kang	+1	66	76	72	75	289.0
—	Sepp Straka	+2	71	72	74	73	290.0
—	Pat Perez	+2	70	73	72	75	290.0
—	Beau Hossler	+3	74	72	73	72	291.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+3	71	73	74	73	291.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+3	70	74	74	73	291.0
—	John Huh	+3	72	73	71	75	291.0
—	Cam Davis	+3	71	71	73	76	291.0
—	Bo Hoag	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Nate Lashley	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Armour	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Harry Higgs	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Russell Knox	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Danny Willett	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Harrington	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Harold Varner III	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Tony Finau	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Adam Long	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Brice Garnett	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Roger Sloan	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Zach Johnson	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+4	74	72	73	73	292.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+4	79	69	—	—	148.0
—	Austin Cook	+4	78	70	—	—	148.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+4	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Andrew Landry	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Kevin Chappell	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Bernd Wiesberger	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Peter Malnati	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Kris Ventura	+5	74	72	77	70	293.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Scott Brown	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Sam Burns	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Davis Love III	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Hunter Mahan	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Charles Howell III	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Ryan Moore	+6	71	72	78	73	294.0
—	JJ Killeen	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Rob Oppenheim	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Michael Kim	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Robby Shelton	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	David Hearn	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Michael Gligic	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Brian Stuard	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Brendan Steele	+7	70	76	76	73	295.0
—	Luke Donald	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Mac Meissner	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Rhein Gibson	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Adam Schenk	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Will Gordon	+8	72	74	77	73	296.0
—	Sam Bennett	+8	80	72	—	—	152.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+8	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Jim Furyk	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Brian Gay	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+8	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+8	71	81	—	—	152.0
—	Nick Watney	+9	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	+9	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+9	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+9	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	D.A. Points	+9	73	80	—	—	153.0
—	Jason Dufner	+9	72	81	—	—	153.0
—	Sam Ryder	+10	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Danny Lee	+10	77	41	—	—	118.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+12	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Cameron Percy	+12	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Sean O'Hair	+13	83	74	—	—	157.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	+13	76	81	—	—	157.0
—	Carlos Sainz Jr.	+13	75	82	—	—	157.0
—	Patrick Grimes	+21	85	80	—	—	165.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Sung Kang	65.35	3%	0%	72.25	—
2	Kris Ventura	65.70	3%	0%	73.25	—
3	Rhein Gibson	66.00	3%	0%	75.50	—
4	Xinjun Zhang	66.34	4%	0%	76.50	—
5	Bo Van Pelt	66.74	5%	0%	71.50	—
6	Hunter Mahan	66.76	2%	0%	74.50	—
7	Davis Love III	66.83	2%	0%	74.50	—
8	Brandt Snedeker	66.99	4%	0%	69.75	—
9	Jason Dufner	66.99	5%	0%	76.50	—
10	Nick Watney	67.02	3%	0%	76.50	—
11	Patrick Rodgers	67.11	6%	0%	74.00	—
12	Satoshi Kodaira	67.18	5%	0%	76.50	—
13	Beau Hossler	67.21	3%	0%	72.75	—
14	Austin Cook	67.24	4%	0%	74.00	—
15	Denny McCarthy	67.33	7%	0%	71.50	—
16	Charl Schwartzel	67.39	6%	0%	72.75	—
17	Adam Schenk	67.51	4%	0%	75.50	—
18	Ted Potter Jr.	67.51	5%	0%	78.50	—
19	Anirban Lahiri	67.54	6%	0%	69.50	—
20	Vince Whaley	67.57	6%	0%	71.50	—
21	D.J. Trahan	67.59	6%	0%	72.25	—
22	Russell Knox	67.61	7%	0%	73.50	—
23	Rickie Fowler	67.67	6%	0%	70.75	—
24	Will Gordon	67.68	6%	0%	74.00	—
25	Sebastián Muñoz	67.71	7%	0%	70.00	—
26	Tom Hoge	67.72	7%	0%	70.25	—
27	Scott Harrington	67.73	4%	0%	73.50	—
28	Tom Lewis	67.78	5%	0%	72.00	—
29	Matt Wallace	67.80	9%	1%	68.50	—
30	Troy Merritt	67.80	6%	0%	71.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.