Wednesday, February 3, 2021

Waste Management Phoenix Open

PGA ·132 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Brooks Koepka	-19	68	66	66	65	265.0
—	K.H. Lee	-18	66	66	66	68	266.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-18	66	64	65	71	266.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-17	67	67	69	64	267.0
—	Steve Stricker	-17	65	66	69	67	267.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-17	67	67	61	72	267.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-16	67	69	67	65	268.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-16	63	71	68	66	268.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-16	67	65	66	70	268.0
—	James Hahn	-15	67	67	66	69	269.0
—	J.T. Poston	-14	68	66	67	69	270.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-14	69	67	63	71	270.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-13	70	67	70	64	271.0
—	Jon Rahm	-13	68	69	66	68	271.0
—	Harold Varner III	-13	68	68	67	68	271.0
—	Justin Thomas	-13	70	65	64	72	271.0
—	Sungjae Im	-12	72	67	68	65	272.0
—	Corey Conners	-12	69	68	68	67	272.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-12	71	64	69	68	272.0
—	Nate Lashley	-12	64	69	69	70	272.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-12	71	66	64	71	272.0
—	Richy Werenski	-11	69	69	71	64	273.0
—	Bubba Watson	-11	71	68	69	65	273.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-11	69	70	67	67	273.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-11	68	71	67	67	273.0
—	Sam Burns	-11	64	68	73	68	273.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-11	68	67	69	69	273.0
—	Brendon Todd	-11	68	69	65	71	273.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-11	66	65	70	72	273.0
—	Luke List	-10	72	67	68	67	274.0
—	Brendan Steele	-10	70	67	70	67	274.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-10	63	73	71	67	274.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	-10	69	67	71	67	274.0
—	Matt Jones	-10	68	69	69	68	274.0
—	Russell Henley	-10	71	67	65	71	274.0
—	Bo Hoag	-9	67	71	71	66	275.0
—	Matthew Wolff	-9	68	71	69	67	275.0
—	Brian Harman	-9	71	68	69	67	275.0
—	Kyle Stanley	-9	71	67	70	67	275.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-9	72	67	67	69	275.0
—	Scott Stallings	-9	67	70	66	72	275.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-8	70	68	71	67	276.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-8	69	67	73	67	276.0
—	Webb Simpson	-8	73	65	69	69	276.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-8	71	67	69	69	276.0
—	Zach Johnson	-8	68	70	69	69	276.0
—	Max Homa	-8	69	69	68	70	276.0
—	Grayson Murray	-8	70	68	68	70	276.0
—	Nick Hardy	-8	68	67	71	70	276.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-7	67	70	73	67	277.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-7	71	66	70	70	277.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-7	69	65	69	74	277.0
—	Robby Shelton	-6	72	66	70	70	278.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-6	69	69	70	70	278.0
—	Russell Knox	-6	68	69	69	72	278.0
—	Billy Horschel	-6	66	68	71	73	278.0
—	Sam Ryder	-5	70	67	72	70	279.0
—	Michael Kim	-4	67	71	74	68	280.0
—	Stewart Cink	-4	69	70	71	70	280.0
—	Brian Stuard	-4	70	68	72	70	280.0
—	Davis Riley	-4	72	66	71	71	280.0
—	Lucas Glover	-4	72	63	74	71	280.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	-3	68	71	68	74	281.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	-2	66	71	71	74	282.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-2	75	65	—	—	140.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-2	73	67	—	—	140.0
—	Adam Long	-2	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Doc Redman	-2	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Kelly Kraft	-2	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Jesse Mueller	-2	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Jerry Kelly	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Sepp Straka	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Nick Taylor	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Beau Hossler	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Brice Garnett	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Daniel Berger	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Pat Perez	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Ryan Armour	-2	68	72	—	—	140.0
—	Tom Hoge	-2	66	74	—	—	140.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	-1	70	69	73	71	283.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-1	77	64	—	—	141.0
—	Danny Lee	-1	74	67	—	—	141.0
—	Kevin Tway	-1	73	68	—	—	141.0
—	Jason Dufner	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Harris English	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Jason Day	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Austin Cook	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	C.T. Pan	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Michael Thompson	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Tom Lewis	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Talor Gooch	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Aaron Wise	E	74	65	73	72	284.0
—	Rickie Fowler	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Luke Donald	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Scott Brown	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Adam Schenk	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Robert Streb	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Mark Anguiano	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Chez Reavie	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Cameron Champ	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	John Huh	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Gary Woodland	+1	76	67	—	—	143.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Harry Higgs	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Troy Merritt	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Martin Laird	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Scott Harrington	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Will Gordon	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Chris Kirk	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Sung Kang	+3	77	68	—	—	145.0
—	William McGirt	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Jamie Lovemark	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Vince Whaley	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Brian Gay	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Stadler	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Ryan Moore	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Martin Trainer	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Hunter Mahan	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+9	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	John Augenstein	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Martin Trainer	66.72	2%	0%	74.00	—
2	Jason Dufner	67.13	6%	0%	70.50	—
3	Richy Werenski	67.63	7%	0%	68.25	—
4	Pat Perez	68.12	5%	0%	70.00	—
5	Vince Whaley	68.16	4%	0%	73.00	—
6	Hunter Mahan	68.16	2%	0%	74.00	—
7	Bo Hoag	68.19	10%	0%	68.75	—
8	Rory McIlroy	68.25	23%	1%	67.75	—
9	William McGirt	68.42	3%	0%	72.50	—
10	Padraig Harrington	68.44	3%	0%	72.00	—
11	Michael Thompson	68.60	12%	1%	70.50	—
12	Michael Kim	68.67	2%	0%	70.00	—
13	Nate Lashley	68.70	3%	0%	68.00	—
14	Matt NeSmith	68.71	5%	0%	67.00	—
15	Brooks Koepka	68.74	10%	2%	66.25	—
16	Scott Stallings	68.78	6%	0%	68.75	—
17	Louis Oosthuizen	68.79	23%	2%	67.50	—
18	Jon Rahm	68.84	40%	2%	67.75	—
19	Xander Schauffele	68.89	52%	3%	66.50	—
20	Scott Brown	68.91	5%	0%	71.00	—
21	Jason Day	68.92	10%	1%	70.50	—
22	Lucas Glover	68.92	8%	0%	70.00	—
23	Webb Simpson	68.92	20%	4%	69.00	—
24	Joel Dahmen	68.92	9%	1%	70.00	—
25	Kevin Tway	68.96	3%	0%	70.50	—
26	Sungjae Im	69.00	18%	2%	68.00	—
27	Justin Thomas	69.00	35%	2%	67.75	—
28	Bubba Watson	69.02	16%	1%	68.25	—
29	Will Gordon	69.04	6%	0%	72.00	—
30	Luke List	69.05	5%	0%	68.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.