Wednesday, January 27, 2021

Farmers Insurance Open

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Patrick Reed	-14	64	72	70	68	274.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-9	73	69	68	69	279.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-9	70	72	68	69	279.0
—	Tony Finau	-9	69	67	74	69	279.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-9	66	70	73	70	279.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-9	70	65	73	71	279.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-8	68	71	70	71	280.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-8	66	70	72	72	280.0
—	Jon Rahm	-8	69	67	72	72	280.0
—	Luke List	-7	66	77	72	66	281.0
—	Francesco Molinari	-7	72	71	72	66	281.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-7	72	67	72	70	281.0
—	Peter Malnati	-7	66	71	73	71	281.0
—	Sam Ryder	-7	71	69	69	72	281.0
—	Adam Scott	-7	67	69	72	73	281.0
—	Robby Shelton	-6	73	64	73	72	282.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-6	68	71	70	73	282.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-5	69	73	74	67	283.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	-5	70	72	73	68	283.0
—	J.T. Poston	-5	69	74	71	69	283.0
—	Marc Leishman	-5	71	70	72	70	283.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-5	72	69	72	70	283.0
—	Kyle Stanley	-5	72	70	70	71	283.0
—	Bo Hoag	-5	72	69	71	71	283.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	-5	71	69	72	71	283.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-5	69	70	73	71	283.0
—	Max Homa	-5	71	68	72	72	283.0
—	Sam Burns	-5	66	72	70	75	283.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-4	72	71	70	71	284.0
—	Jason Kokrak	-4	70	69	74	71	284.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-4	72	68	66	78	284.0
—	Sepp Straka	-3	69	74	77	65	285.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	-3	69	70	77	69	285.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-3	67	73	73	72	285.0
—	Sungjae Im	-3	69	74	69	73	285.0
—	Cam Davis	-3	70	71	71	73	285.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-2	68	75	73	70	286.0
—	Justin Suh	-2	71	72	73	70	286.0
—	Corey Conners	-2	72	71	73	70	286.0
—	Doug Ghim	-2	70	71	73	72	286.0
—	Alex Noren	-2	64	74	75	73	286.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	-1	69	74	74	70	287.0
—	Lucas Glover	-1	68	72	75	72	287.0
—	Tom Lewis	-1	68	75	71	73	287.0
—	Bill Haas	-1	71	71	72	73	287.0
—	Brandon Hagy	-1	66	75	73	73	287.0
—	Will Gordon	-1	67	70	75	75	287.0
—	Matt NeSmith	E	70	73	76	69	288.0
—	Gary Woodland	E	66	75	77	70	288.0
—	Matt Jones	E	70	73	74	71	288.0
—	Talor Gooch	E	66	74	77	71	288.0
—	Cameron Percy	E	71	72	73	72	288.0
—	Hank Lebioda	E	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Doc Redman	E	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Scott Brown	E	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Brian Stuard	E	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	E	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Martin Laird	E	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Ryan Moore	E	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	E	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Jordan Spieth	E	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Scott Stallings	E	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Si Woo Kim	E	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	S.Y. Noh	E	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Robert Streb	E	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Beau Hossler	E	66	78	—	—	144.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	E	65	79	—	—	144.0
—	Roger Sloan	+1	68	73	78	70	289.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+1	71	72	74	72	289.0
—	Michael Kim	+1	69	74	74	72	289.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+1	70	73	73	73	289.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+1	74	68	74	73	289.0
—	Rhein Gibson	+1	66	76	73	74	289.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+1	70	73	71	75	289.0
—	Billy Horschel	+1	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+1	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Russell Knox	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Rafael Campos	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Jared du Toit	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Cameron Smith	+1	66	79	—	—	145.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+2	73	69	79	69	290.0
—	Steve Stricker	+2	72	70	77	71	290.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	+2	70	73	74	73	290.0
—	Chase Seiffert	+2	72	68	76	74	290.0
—	Richy Werenski	+2	69	69	73	79	290.0
—	Matt Every	+2	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+2	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Adam Schenk	+2	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Cameron Young	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	K.H. Lee	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Michael Gellerman	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+2	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+2	68	78	—	—	146.0
—	Kyle Mendoza	+3	73	69	77	72	291.0
—	John Huh	+3	69	72	76	74	291.0
—	Danny Lee	+3	74	67	76	74	291.0
—	Harry Higgs	+3	71	69	76	75	291.0
—	Charles Howell III	+3	80	67	—	—	147.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Hunter Mahan	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Ben Taylor	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Kris Ventura	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Chris Baker	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Bubba Watson	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Cameron Champ	+3	68	79	—	—	147.0
—	K.J. Choi	+4	66	76	77	73	292.0
—	Tain Lee	+4	71	72	75	74	292.0
—	Pat Perez	+4	71	70	77	74	292.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+4	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Jason Day	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Scott Harrington	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Tom Hoge	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Troy Merritt	+5	71	72	76	74	293.0
—	Jamie Lovemark	+5	79	70	—	—	149.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+5	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Mark Anderson	+5	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Willie Mack III	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Andy Ogletree	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	James Hahn	+5	70	79	—	—	149.0
—	Sebastian Cappelen	+5	70	79	—	—	149.0
—	Kevin Tway	+5	69	80	—	—	149.0
—	Fabián Gómez	+5	71	66	—	—	137.0
—	Martin Trainer	+5	77	—	—	—	77.0
—	Tim Wilkinson	+6	67	76	80	71	294.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+6	67	75	73	79	294.0
—	Harris English	+6	79	71	—	—	150.0
—	Harold Varner III	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Nick Watney	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Nelson Ledesma	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Jim Knous	+6	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+6	75	63	—	—	138.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+6	78	—	—	—	78.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	David Hearn	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Rob Oppenheim	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Tyler McCumber	+8	76	67	78	75	296.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+8	72	71	75	78	296.0
—	Tyler Strafaci	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+8	80	—	—	—	80.0
—	Jason Dufner	+9	74	69	78	76	297.0
—	Kevin Stadler	+9	71	72	77	77	297.0
—	Séamus Power	+9	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Vince Whaley	+9	72	81	—	—	153.0
—	Grayson Murray	+10	69	73	81	75	298.0
—	Michael Gligic	+12	79	77	—	—	156.0
—	Andres Gonzales	+13	70	87	—	—	157.0
—	John Senden	+15	76	83	—	—	159.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Martin Trainer	63.54	2%	0%	25.67	—
2	Andy Ogletree	66.60	3%	0%	74.50	—
3	Adam Schenk	66.95	6%	0%	73.00	—
4	David Hearn	67.85	5%	0%	75.50	—
5	Matt Every	68.07	2%	0%	73.00	—
6	Alex Noren	68.49	12%	1%	71.50	—
7	J.T. Poston	68.66	5%	0%	70.75	—
8	Brian Stuard	68.67	8%	0%	72.00	—
9	Adam Hadwin	68.71	7%	0%	70.75	—
10	Charl Schwartzel	68.77	9%	1%	70.75	—
11	Brooks Koepka	68.88	11%	1%	74.00	—
12	Danny Lee	68.90	6%	0%	72.75	—
13	Charles Howell III	68.94	13%	1%	73.50	—
14	Troy Merritt	69.00	6%	0%	73.25	—
15	Tyler Duncan	69.01	8%	0%	72.50	—
16	Si Woo Kim	69.14	25%	2%	72.00	—
17	Michael Kim	69.14	2%	0%	72.25	—
18	Harry Higgs	69.22	9%	0%	72.75	—
19	Jon Rahm	69.23	54%	1%	70.00	—
20	Tony Finau	69.24	25%	2%	69.75	—
21	Patrick Reed	69.27	28%	10%	68.50	—
22	Beau Hossler	69.30	4%	0%	72.00	—
23	James Hahn	69.33	5%	0%	74.50	—
24	Max Homa	69.34	8%	1%	70.75	—
25	Patrick Rodgers	69.35	7%	0%	73.00	—
26	Adam Scott	69.39	9%	1%	70.25	—
27	Hunter Mahan	69.41	2%	0%	73.50	—
28	Ryan Palmer	69.42	24%	1%	69.75	—
29	Tom Hoge	69.43	8%	1%	74.00	—
30	Charley Hoffman	69.43	6%	0%	46.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.