Wednesday, June 17, 2020

RBC Heritage

PGA ·151 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Webb Simpson	-22	65	65	68	64	262.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-21	69	64	65	65	263.0
—	Daniel Berger	-20	67	69	63	65	264.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-20	71	64	63	66	264.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	-19	69	68	63	65	265.0
—	Sergio García	-19	70	65	65	65	265.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-18	67	66	68	65	266.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-17	65	69	71	62	267.0
—	Justin Thomas	-17	72	66	66	63	267.0
—	J.T. Poston	-17	67	69	66	65	267.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-17	67	64	70	66	267.0
—	Michael Thompson	-17	65	69	66	67	267.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-17	65	67	66	69	267.0
—	Justin Rose	-16	70	67	66	65	268.0
—	Ian Poulter	-16	64	69	67	68	268.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-16	66	66	68	68	268.0
—	Harris English	-15	67	70	68	64	269.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-15	70	63	69	67	269.0
—	Brice Garnett	-15	65	71	65	68	269.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-15	68	66	67	68	269.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-14	70	67	68	65	270.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-14	65	71	68	66	270.0
—	Doc Redman	-14	72	66	65	67	270.0
—	Lucas Glover	-14	69	68	66	67	270.0
—	Alex Noren	-14	69	66	66	69	270.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-14	66	68	66	70	270.0
—	Corey Conners	-14	68	63	69	70	270.0
—	Brian Harman	-13	70	67	69	65	271.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-13	67	69	68	67	271.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-13	65	69	69	68	271.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-13	71	63	68	69	271.0
—	Chris Stroud	-13	68	69	63	71	271.0
—	Jim Herman	-12	68	69	69	66	272.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-12	66	67	73	66	272.0
—	Sepp Straka	-12	67	71	67	67	272.0
—	Jon Rahm	-12	71	67	66	68	272.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-12	64	72	68	68	272.0
—	Tony Finau	-12	66	68	68	70	272.0
—	Andrew Landry	-12	68	67	66	71	272.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-12	69	67	63	73	272.0
—	Max Homa	-11	67	69	69	68	273.0
—	Jason Dufner	-11	69	66	70	68	273.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	-11	71	67	66	69	273.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-11	72	65	67	69	273.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-11	72	65	66	70	273.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-11	70	66	67	70	273.0
—	Sam Ryder	-11	69	65	68	71	273.0
—	Ernie Els	-10	67	67	72	68	274.0
—	Bill Haas	-10	71	66	68	69	274.0
—	Scott Stallings	-10	70	68	65	71	274.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-10	68	68	63	75	274.0
—	Bubba Watson	-9	69	68	73	65	275.0
—	Brian Stuard	-9	68	70	70	67	275.0
—	Harry Higgs	-9	69	68	70	68	275.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	-9	67	69	70	69	275.0
—	C.T. Pan	-9	68	68	70	69	275.0
—	Matt Jones	-9	69	69	66	71	275.0
—	Bernhard Langer	-8	69	67	71	69	276.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-8	72	66	66	72	276.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-8	68	68	68	72	276.0
—	Branden Grace	-7	69	69	67	72	277.0
—	Gary Woodland	-6	69	68	71	70	278.0
—	Stewart Cink	-6	68	68	72	70	278.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-5	72	66	75	66	279.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-5	68	69	68	74	279.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-5	68	66	70	75	279.0
—	Matt Wallace	-5	68	68	66	77	279.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-4	66	70	75	69	280.0
—	Wesley Bryan	-4	69	68	73	70	280.0
—	Danny Lee	-3	68	67	76	70	281.0
—	Troy Merritt	-3	70	68	72	71	281.0
—	Peter Malnati	-3	71	67	69	74	281.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-3	66	68	69	78	281.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-3	71	68	—	—	139.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-3	67	72	—	—	139.0
—	Kyle Stanley	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-3	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-3	67	72	—	—	139.0
—	Nate Lashley	-3	72	67	—	—	139.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-3	71	68	—	—	139.0
—	Tom Hoge	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Billy Horschel	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Pat Perez	-3	73	66	—	—	139.0
—	Charles Howell III	-3	73	66	—	—	139.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-3	72	67	—	—	139.0
—	Spencer Ralston	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Ryan Armour	-2	69	68	71	74	282.0
—	Chez Reavie	-2	68	70	68	76	282.0
—	Jason Day	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Jim Furyk	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Kevin Chappell	-2	73	67	—	—	140.0
—	Adam Long	-2	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Danny Willett	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Jazz Janewattananond	-2	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Russell Henley	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Brendon Todd	-2	68	72	—	—	140.0
—	Russell Knox	-2	73	67	—	—	140.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-2	73	67	—	—	140.0
—	Harold Varner III	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Cameron Smith	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Vijay Singh	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Bud Cauley	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Davis Love III	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Matthew Wolff	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Shane Lowry	-1	74	67	—	—	141.0
—	Graeme McDowell	-1	75	66	—	—	141.0
—	Michael Kim	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Luke List	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Jason Kokrak	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Kevin Tway	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Patrick Reed	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Andrew Putnam	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Si Woo Kim	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Aaron Wise	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Ryan Moore	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Keith Mitchell	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Sam Burns	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Michael Gligic	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Scott Brown	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Zach Johnson	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Luke Donald	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Roger Sloan	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+1	76	67	—	—	143.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Sungjae Im	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Andy Ogletree	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Talor Gooch	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Brian Gay	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	David Hearn	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Glen Day	+2	76	68	—	—	144.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Nick Watney	+3	74	—	—	—	74.0
—	Matt Every	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	K.H. Lee	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	K.J. Choi	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Austin Cook	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Piercy	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Victor Perez	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Sung Kang	+6	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Adam Schenk	+7	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Martin Trainer	+9	80	71	—	—	151.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	C.T. Pan	64.95	3%	0%	68.75	—
2	Sergio García	66.44	7%	1%	66.25	—
3	Patton Kizzire	67.43	3%	0%	69.50	—
4	Bill Haas	67.77	4%	0%	68.50	—
5	Brooks Koepka	68.02	6%	0%	66.50	—
6	Ian Poulter	68.04	13%	1%	67.00	—
7	Denny McCarthy	68.08	5%	0%	72.50	—
8	Jason Dufner	68.10	6%	0%	68.25	—
9	Nick Watney	68.21	4%	0%	37.00	—
10	Aaron Wise	68.27	2%	0%	71.00	—
11	David Hearn	68.27	2%	0%	72.00	—
12	Brian Gay	68.39	3%	0%	72.00	—
13	Chris Stroud	68.52	2%	0%	67.75	—
14	Doc Redman	68.55	6%	0%	67.50	—
15	Louis Oosthuizen	68.59	4%	0%	73.00	—
16	Pat Perez	68.61	4%	0%	69.50	—
17	Si Woo Kim	68.67	3%	0%	71.00	—
18	Jimmy Walker	68.73	5%	0%	71.50	—
19	Charl Schwartzel	68.74	4%	0%	68.25	—
20	Jim Furyk	68.74	4%	0%	70.00	—
21	Kevin Chappell	68.81	2%	0%	70.00	—
22	Brice Garnett	68.83	5%	0%	67.25	—
23	Bronson Burgoon	68.89	4%	0%	71.00	—
24	Emiliano Grillo	68.90	5%	0%	70.50	—
25	Scott Brown	68.92	4%	0%	71.50	—
26	Stewart Cink	68.93	3%	0%	69.50	—
27	Tyler Duncan	69.00	5%	0%	67.75	—
28	Roger Sloan	69.03	2%	0%	71.50	—
29	Matt Wallace	69.05	5%	0%	69.75	—
30	Luke List	69.07	3%	0%	71.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.