Wednesday, August 5, 2020

PGA Championship

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Collin Morikawa	-13	69	69	65	64	267.0
—	Paul Casey	-11	68	67	68	66	269.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-11	69	67	65	68	269.0
—	Matthew Wolff	-10	69	68	68	65	270.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-10	68	70	66	66	270.0
—	Tony Finau	-10	67	70	67	66	270.0
—	Jason Day	-10	65	69	70	66	270.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-10	66	71	65	68	270.0
—	Justin Rose	-9	66	68	70	67	271.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-8	69	68	68	67	272.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-8	66	70	69	67	272.0
—	Cameron Champ	-8	71	64	67	70	272.0
—	Jon Rahm	-7	70	69	68	66	273.0
—	Patrick Reed	-7	68	70	69	66	273.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-7	69	68	68	68	273.0
—	Daniel Berger	-7	67	67	70	69	273.0
—	Brendon Todd	-6	65	70	72	67	274.0
—	Haotong Li	-6	67	65	73	69	274.0
—	Harris English	-5	69	71	69	66	275.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-5	67	73	68	67	275.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-5	68	68	71	68	275.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-4	72	69	71	64	276.0
—	Brendan Steele	-4	66	71	72	67	276.0
—	Alex Noren	-4	67	69	73	67	276.0
—	Victor Perez	-4	70	69	69	68	276.0
—	Adam Scott	-4	68	70	70	68	276.0
—	Ian Poulter	-4	73	68	66	69	276.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-4	70	67	69	70	276.0
—	Doc Redman	-3	73	67	70	67	277.0
—	Harold Varner III	-3	72	66	69	70	277.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-3	70	64	70	73	277.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-3	66	68	69	74	277.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-2	68	71	73	66	278.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-2	70	71	70	67	278.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-2	70	69	71	68	278.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-2	70	67	70	71	278.0
—	Tiger Woods	-1	68	72	72	67	279.0
—	Russell Henley	-1	71	69	71	68	279.0
—	Bud Cauley	-1	66	71	73	69	279.0
—	Justin Thomas	-1	71	70	68	70	279.0
—	Nate Lashley	-1	69	70	70	70	279.0
—	Webb Simpson	-1	71	68	68	72	279.0
—	Ryan Palmer	E	74	66	76	64	280.0
—	Billy Horschel	E	69	71	71	69	280.0
—	Abraham Ancer	E	69	70	72	69	280.0
—	Cameron Smith	E	71	69	70	70	280.0
—	Keith Mitchell	E	68	72	68	72	280.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	E	73	68	66	73	280.0
—	Bernd Wiesberger	E	68	68	70	74	280.0
—	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	E	66	68	72	74	280.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+1	71	70	74	66	281.0
—	Adam Long	+1	73	68	72	68	281.0
—	Joost Luiten	+1	71	68	73	69	281.0
—	Luke List	+1	72	69	70	70	281.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+1	70	71	70	70	281.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+1	68	72	70	71	281.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+1	72	66	72	71	281.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+1	73	68	—	—	141.0
—	Tom Hoge	+2	72	68	72	70	282.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+2	69	70	73	70	282.0
—	Gary Woodland	+2	67	72	73	70	282.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+2	73	68	69	72	282.0
—	Brian Harman	+2	68	71	71	72	282.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+2	73	68	68	73	282.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+2	68	71	70	73	282.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+2	70	69	70	73	282.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Jason Dufner	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Zach Johnson	+2	66	76	—	—	142.0
—	Ryo Ishikawa	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Talor Gooch	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Shaun Norris	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Jim Furyk	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+2	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Chan Kim	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Marc Leishman	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+3	73	67	74	69	283.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+3	71	70	72	70	283.0
—	Sepp Straka	+3	70	71	71	71	283.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+3	70	70	70	73	283.0
—	Shane Lowry	+3	68	72	69	74	283.0
—	Andrew Landry	+3	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Michael Thompson	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Steve Stricker	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Lucas Glover	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+3	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Tom Lewis	+3	67	76	—	—	143.0
—	Richy Werenski	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Kevin Na	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+4	73	68	76	67	284.0
—	Bubba Watson	+4	70	71	73	70	284.0
—	Danny Lee	+4	69	71	74	70	284.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+4	72	69	70	73	284.0
—	C.T. Pan	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Alex Beach	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+4	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Scott Piercy	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Sungjae Im	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+4	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+5	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Max Homa	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Corey Conners	+5	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Brian Stuard	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Matt Jones	+5	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Jazz Janewattananond	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Troy Merritt	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Chez Reavie	+6	71	70	75	70	286.0
—	J.T. Poston	+6	67	74	75	70	286.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Bob Sowards	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Ben Cook	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Sergio García	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Benjamin Hebert	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Matt Wallace	+7	71	70	74	72	287.0
—	Jim Herman	+7	71	69	72	75	287.0
—	Danny Willett	+7	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Tom Kim	+7	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	David Muttitt	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Rob Labritz	+7	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	John O'Leary	+8	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Martin Kaymer	+8	66	82	—	—	148.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+8	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Jason Caron	+8	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Nick Taylor	+9	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Michael Auterson	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Shaun Micheel	+9	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Jeff Roth	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Davis Love III	+9	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Sung Kang	+10	70	71	76	73	290.0
—	Danny Balin	+10	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Marty Jertson	+10	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Rich Berberian Jr.	+10	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Ryan Vermeer	+10	79	71	—	—	150.0
—	Ken Tanigawa	+11	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Marcus Kinhult	+11	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Shawn Warren	+11	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Justin Bertsch	+13	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Jeff Hart	+14	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Jorge Campillo	+14	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Rich Beem	+15	80	75	—	—	155.0
—	Rod Perry	+16	75	81	—	—	156.0
—	Alex Knoll	+17	77	80	—	—	157.0
—	Zach J. Johnson	+21	82	79	—	—	161.0
—	Judd Gibb	+21	77	84	—	—	161.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Tiger Woods	66.97	8%	1%	69.75	—
2	Andrew Putnam	68.01	4%	0%	73.00	—
3	Keegan Bradley	68.06	6%	0%	72.50	—
4	Jason Dufner	68.10	8%	0%	71.00	—
5	Jim Furyk	68.23	4%	0%	71.00	—
6	Carlos Ortiz	68.30	6%	0%	71.00	—
7	Steve Stricker	68.35	5%	0%	71.50	—
8	Matthias Schwab	68.47	5%	0%	72.50	—
9	Mark Hubbard	68.52	7%	1%	70.25	—
10	Victor Perez	68.58	3%	0%	69.00	—
11	Sebastián Muñoz	68.62	6%	0%	71.50	—
12	Jimmy Walker	68.68	4%	0%	73.50	—
13	Harold Varner III	68.69	8%	0%	69.25	—
14	Lanto Griffin	68.71	8%	1%	68.75	—
15	Rory Sabbatini	68.72	6%	1%	70.75	—
16	Luke List	68.79	7%	1%	70.25	—
17	C.T. Pan	68.87	3%	0%	72.00	—
18	Talor Gooch	68.87	8%	1%	71.00	—
19	Brian Stuard	68.91	6%	0%	72.50	—
20	Sung Kang	68.92	5%	1%	72.50	—
21	Keith Mitchell	68.93	6%	0%	70.00	—
22	Zach Johnson	68.96	7%	1%	71.00	—
23	Denny McCarthy	68.97	3%	0%	70.50	—
24	Jazz Janewattananond	69.00	3%	0%	72.50	—
25	Davis Love III	69.01	2%	0%	74.50	—
26	Troy Merritt	69.05	6%	0%	72.50	—
27	Matt Jones	69.13	6%	0%	72.50	—
28	Kurt Kitayama	69.16	5%	0%	70.25	—
29	Brian Harman	69.22	7%	0%	70.50	—
30	Jim Herman	69.22	4%	0%	71.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.