Wednesday, November 11, 2020

2020 Masters Tournament

PGA ·92 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Dustin Johnson	-20	65	70	65	68	268.0
—	Sungjae Im	-15	66	70	68	69	273.0
—	Cameron Smith	-15	67	68	69	69	273.0
—	Justin Thomas	-12	66	69	71	70	276.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-11	75	66	67	69	277.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-11	65	73	67	72	277.0
—	C.T. Pan	-10	70	66	74	68	278.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-10	70	69	69	70	278.0
—	Jon Rahm	-10	69	66	72	71	278.0
—	Webb Simpson	-9	67	73	71	68	279.0
—	Corey Conners	-9	74	65	71	69	279.0
—	Patrick Reed	-9	68	68	71	72	279.0
—	Marc Leishman	-8	70	72	70	68	280.0
—	Kevin Na	-8	73	68	69	70	280.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-8	68	68	72	72	280.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-8	68	67	69	76	280.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-7	67	73	71	70	281.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-7	70	66	73	72	281.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-6	71	68	72	71	282.0
—	Cameron Champ	-6	68	74	68	72	282.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-6	71	66	71	74	282.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-6	70	68	69	75	282.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-5	68	70	75	70	283.0
—	Justin Rose	-5	67	70	76	70	283.0
—	Ian Poulter	-4	72	71	71	70	284.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	-4	73	71	69	71	284.0
—	Shane Lowry	-4	74	69	68	73	284.0
—	Danny Willett	-4	71	66	74	73	284.0
—	Sung Kang	-3	75	69	71	70	285.0
—	Chez Reavie	-3	71	72	72	70	285.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-3	70	70	75	70	285.0
—	Bernhard Langer	-3	68	73	73	71	285.0
—	Nick Taylor	-3	72	72	69	72	285.0
—	Andy Ogletree	-2	73	70	71	72	286.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-2	70	71	73	72	286.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-2	70	74	69	73	286.0
—	Adam Scott	-2	70	72	71	73	286.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-1	69	73	74	71	287.0
—	Tony Finau	-1	69	75	71	72	287.0
—	Lee Westwood	-1	68	74	71	74	287.0
—	Billy Horschel	-1	70	70	72	75	287.0
—	Tiger Woods	-1	68	71	72	76	287.0
—	Paul Casey	-1	65	74	71	77	287.0
—	Collin Morikawa	E	70	74	70	74	288.0
—	Shugo Imahira	E	72	70	72	74	288.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+1	74	70	73	72	289.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+1	74	70	73	72	289.0
—	Victor Perez	+1	70	71	76	72	289.0
—	Charles Howell III	+1	71	70	74	74	289.0
—	Matt Wallace	+1	69	73	70	77	289.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+1	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Gary Woodland	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Max Homa	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+2	73	71	74	72	290.0
—	Zach Johnson	+2	73	71	73	73	290.0
—	Jazz Janewattananond	+2	69	71	75	75	290.0
—	Mike Weir	+2	71	72	71	76	290.0
—	Justin Harding	+2	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Brendon Todd	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+3	69	70	79	73	291.0
—	John Augenstein	+3	69	72	75	75	291.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Larry Mize	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Bubba Watson	+4	74	69	71	78	292.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+4	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	J.T. Poston	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Jason Day	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+4	76	—	—	—	76.0
—	James Sugrue	+4	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Bernd Wiesberger	+6	71	72	78	73	294.0
—	Fred Couples	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+6	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Lukas Michel	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+7	71	71	79	74	295.0
—	Sandy Lyle	+7	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Lucas Glover	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Nate Lashley	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+8	71	73	76	76	296.0
—	Vijay Singh	+8	75	45	—	—	120.0
—	Yuxin Lin	+8	79	73	—	—	152.0
—	José María Olazábal	+14	78	80	—	—	158.0
—	Andrew Landry	+16	78	82	—	—	160.0
—	Abel Gallegos	+16	79	81	—	—	160.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Graeme McDowell	66.33	3%	0%	48.33	—
2	Francesco Molinari	67.09	4%	0%	50.00	—
3	J.T. Poston	67.27	6%	0%	49.33	—
4	Nick Taylor	67.27	4%	0%	71.25	—
5	Justin Harding	67.27	5%	0%	48.67	—
6	C.T. Pan	67.44	4%	0%	69.50	—
7	Brendon Todd	67.64	12%	2%	48.67	—
8	Andrew Landry	67.94	5%	0%	53.33	—
9	Jazz Janewattananond	68.22	3%	0%	72.50	—
10	Byeong Hun An	68.28	8%	1%	48.33	—
11	Rickie Fowler	68.28	10%	1%	71.25	—
12	Nate Lashley	68.28	3%	0%	50.33	—
13	Tommy Fleetwood	68.31	8%	1%	70.50	—
14	Andrew Putnam	68.36	5%	0%	48.33	—
15	Sebastián Muñoz	68.36	12%	1%	70.50	—
16	Matt Kuchar	68.39	10%	1%	48.33	—
17	Lanto Griffin	68.41	17%	1%	49.00	—
18	Marc Leishman	68.60	5%	0%	70.00	—
19	Henrik Stenson	68.62	3%	0%	48.33	—
20	Corey Conners	68.63	12%	1%	69.75	—
21	Adam Hadwin	68.64	11%	2%	48.33	—
22	Lucas Glover	68.65	7%	0%	50.33	—
23	Dylan Frittelli	68.65	10%	2%	69.25	—
24	Vijay Singh	68.73	2%	0%	60.00	—
25	Sungjae Im	68.74	12%	1%	68.25	—
26	Max Homa	68.77	7%	0%	48.33	—
27	Jason Kokrak	68.77	16%	2%	49.33	—
28	Dustin Johnson	68.78	33%	17%	67.00	—
29	Rafa Cabrera Bello	68.79	4%	0%	72.50	—
30	Phil Mickelson	68.80	8%	0%	72.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.