Wednesday, August 19, 2020

THE NORTHERN TRUST

PGA ·123 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Dustin Johnson	-30	67	60	64	63	254.0
—	Harris English	-19	64	66	66	69	265.0
—	Daniel Berger	-18	66	66	67	67	266.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-17	65	66	70	66	267.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-17	70	59	67	71	267.0
—	Jon Rahm	-16	69	67	67	65	268.0
—	Webb Simpson	-16	70	64	68	66	268.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-15	67	67	68	67	269.0
—	Alex Noren	-15	69	68	64	68	269.0
—	Russell Henley	-15	64	67	70	68	269.0
—	Brian Harman	-14	67	66	73	64	270.0
—	Harry Higgs	-14	67	66	66	71	270.0
—	Robby Shelton	-13	66	71	71	63	271.0
—	Jason Kokrak	-13	68	68	70	65	271.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-13	68	68	66	69	271.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-13	65	68	68	70	271.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-13	65	65	68	73	271.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-12	68	70	68	66	272.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-12	65	71	69	67	272.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-12	69	69	66	68	272.0
—	Talor Gooch	-12	66	72	65	69	272.0
—	Cameron Smith	-12	69	68	66	69	272.0
—	Bubba Watson	-12	65	68	67	72	272.0
—	Danny Lee	-12	66	64	69	73	272.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-11	68	71	67	67	273.0
—	Justin Rose	-11	69	70	67	67	273.0
—	Corey Conners	-11	72	65	69	67	273.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-11	67	71	63	72	273.0
—	Troy Merritt	-10	72	67	70	65	274.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-10	69	69	69	67	274.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-10	67	72	67	68	274.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-10	68	71	67	68	274.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-10	67	71	68	68	274.0
—	Scott Piercy	-10	65	70	70	69	274.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-10	70	69	65	70	274.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-10	68	67	69	70	274.0
—	K.H. Lee	-10	67	68	69	70	274.0
—	Cam Davis	-10	64	65	72	73	274.0
—	Kevin Na	-9	71	65	73	66	275.0
—	Adam Schenk	-9	70	66	71	68	275.0
—	Ian Poulter	-9	66	67	73	69	275.0
—	J.T. Poston	-9	71	67	66	71	275.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-9	68	64	70	73	275.0
—	Matthew Wolff	-8	65	67	77	67	276.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-8	66	69	71	70	276.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-8	69	64	73	70	276.0
—	Charles Howell III	-8	66	70	68	72	276.0
—	Brendan Steele	-8	68	67	69	72	276.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-7	67	70	71	69	277.0
—	Patrick Reed	-7	68	71	68	70	277.0
—	Adam Long	-7	68	67	72	70	277.0
—	Paul Casey	-7	70	69	67	71	277.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-7	69	68	69	71	277.0
—	Justin Thomas	-7	68	67	71	71	277.0
—	Beau Hossler	-7	73	66	66	72	277.0
—	Chez Reavie	-7	68	70	67	72	277.0
—	Zach Johnson	-7	69	69	67	72	277.0
—	Tiger Woods	-6	68	71	73	66	278.0
—	Adam Scott	-6	66	70	75	67	278.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-6	68	68	70	72	278.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-5	69	68	72	70	279.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-5	67	71	70	71	279.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-5	64	71	73	71	279.0
—	Brendon Todd	-4	70	66	70	74	280.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-2	69	70	74	69	282.0
—	Scott Harrington	-2	68	67	76	71	282.0
—	Harold Varner III	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Cameron Champ	-2	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Max Homa	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Andrew Landry	-1	69	70	69	75	283.0
—	Brian Stuard	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Scott Brown	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Nick Taylor	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Tom Hoge	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Tony Finau	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Shane Lowry	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Adam Hadwin	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Gary Woodland	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Phil Mickelson	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Henrik Norlander	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Sungjae Im	E	75	67	—	—	142.0
—	Brice Garnett	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Scott Stallings	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Richy Werenski	+1	69	67	75	74	285.0
—	Bud Cauley	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Sepp Straka	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Billy Horschel	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+1	77	66	—	—	143.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Sam Ryder	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Sam Burns	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Luke List	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Matt Jones	+2	68	71	76	71	286.0
—	Nate Lashley	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Bo Hoag	+2	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Tom Lewis	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Ryan Moore	+2	28	—	—	—	28.0
—	Sung Kang	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Jason Day	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Jim Herman	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Lucas Glover	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Pat Perez	+3	71	54	—	—	125.0
—	Doc Redman	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Michael Thompson	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Brian Gay	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Marc Leishman	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Zac Blair	+6	68	80	—	—	148.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+7	71	67	76	77	291.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+7	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Ryan Armour	+9	74	77	—	—	151.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Harry Higgs	65.91	3%	0%	67.50	—
2	Scott Harrington	65.97	3%	0%	70.50	—
3	Graeme McDowell	67.25	4%	0%	74.50	—
4	Brian Gay	67.74	4%	0%	73.00	—
5	Sung Kang	67.93	5%	0%	72.50	—
6	Keegan Bradley	67.94	4%	0%	68.50	—
7	Sebastián Muñoz	68.15	5%	0%	68.00	—
8	Talor Gooch	68.20	7%	0%	68.00	—
9	K.H. Lee	68.25	5%	0%	68.50	—
10	Xinjun Zhang	68.28	5%	0%	71.50	—
11	Sepp Straka	68.49	8%	1%	71.50	—
12	Cameron Smith	68.49	5%	0%	68.00	—
13	Keith Mitchell	68.51	5%	0%	69.75	—
14	Tom Hoge	68.53	6%	0%	70.50	—
15	Troy Merritt	68.54	5%	0%	68.50	—
16	Sam Ryder	68.70	6%	0%	71.50	—
17	Patrick Rodgers	68.81	10%	2%	72.75	—
18	Tyler Duncan	68.82	8%	2%	68.50	—
19	Matt Jones	68.84	6%	0%	71.50	—
20	Charley Hoffman	68.86	6%	0%	67.75	—
21	Brandt Snedeker	68.92	6%	0%	72.50	—
22	Pat Perez	68.98	5%	0%	62.50	—
23	Rickie Fowler	69.02	7%	1%	69.25	—
24	Zac Blair	69.03	4%	0%	74.00	—
25	Lanto Griffin	69.04	8%	1%	69.50	—
26	Andrew Landry	69.04	6%	0%	70.75	—
27	Nate Lashley	69.05	3%	0%	72.00	—
28	Byeong Hun An	69.08	9%	1%	75.00	—
29	Luke List	69.08	6%	0%	71.50	—
30	Matt NeSmith	69.08	6%	0%	70.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.