Wednesday, July 15, 2020

the Memorial Tournament pres. by Nationwide

PGA ·131 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Jon Rahm	-9	69	67	68	75	279.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-6	67	68	73	74	282.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-5	75	66	74	68	283.0
—	Matt Wallace	-4	72	70	70	72	284.0
—	Jason Day	-4	73	66	72	73	284.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-3	74	66	73	72	285.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-3	74	66	71	74	285.0
—	Tony Finau	-2	66	69	73	78	286.0
—	Kevin Na	-1	74	69	71	73	287.0
—	Patrick Reed	E	71	76	70	71	288.0
—	Luke List	E	70	68	79	71	288.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	E	72	73	70	73	288.0
—	Xander Schauffele	+1	78	69	72	70	289.0
—	Billy Horschel	+1	76	71	70	72	289.0
—	Harris English	+1	70	73	74	72	289.0
—	Brendan Steele	+1	68	75	71	75	289.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+1	70	70	74	75	289.0
—	Steve Stricker	+2	73	67	77	73	290.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+2	73	73	70	74	290.0
—	Justin Thomas	+2	74	67	75	74	290.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+2	70	72	71	77	290.0
—	Corey Conners	+3	73	74	72	72	291.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+3	72	69	78	72	291.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+3	76	69	73	73	291.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+3	74	71	73	73	291.0
—	Brendon Todd	+3	75	72	68	76	291.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+3	77	68	70	76	291.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+3	73	68	74	76	291.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	+3	71	73	70	77	291.0
—	Gary Woodland	+3	68	70	76	77	291.0
—	Chez Reavie	+3	71	67	74	79	291.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+4	76	67	76	73	292.0
—	Sergio García	+4	72	73	73	74	292.0
—	Bubba Watson	+4	78	68	70	76	292.0
—	Rory McIlroy	+4	70	72	72	78	292.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+4	70	70	73	79	292.0
—	Danny Willett	+4	74	66	70	82	292.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Max Homa	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Paul Casey	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Sungjae Im	+4	78	70	—	—	148.0
—	Shane Lowry	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Adam Long	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Daniel Berger	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Talor Gooch	+4	78	70	—	—	148.0
—	Carl Pettersson	+5	72	72	79	70	293.0
—	Lucas Glover	+5	69	72	74	78	293.0
—	Tom Hoge	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Branden Grace	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Ian Poulter	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Harold Varner III	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Ernie Els	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Justin Rose	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+5	81	68	—	—	149.0
—	Nick Taylor	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Brian Harman	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Ryan Moore	+6	70	75	75	74	294.0
—	Scott Harrington	+6	74	69	76	75	294.0
—	Marc Leishman	+6	72	75	71	76	294.0
—	Tiger Woods	+6	71	76	71	76	294.0
—	Alex Noren	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Jim Herman	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	J.T. Poston	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Brian Stuard	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Webb Simpson	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Peter Kuest	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Nate Lashley	+6	58	—	—	—	58.0
—	C.T. Pan	+7	72	74	75	74	295.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+7	72	73	76	74	295.0
—	Bud Cauley	+7	75	71	73	76	295.0
—	Jason Dufner	+7	72	73	73	77	295.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Bernd Wiesberger	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Haotong Li	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+7	79	—	—	—	79.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+8	76	70	73	77	296.0
—	Charles Howell III	+8	69	77	73	77	296.0
—	Jim Furyk	+8	72	68	79	77	296.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+8	75	70	72	79	296.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+8	74	66	77	79	296.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+8	74	72	70	80	296.0
—	Cameron Champ	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Troy Merritt	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Harry Higgs	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Jason Scrivener	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Doc Redman	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+9	75	71	78	73	297.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+9	72	74	73	78	297.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	+9	72	73	73	79	297.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+9	76	70	70	81	297.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+9	71	82	—	—	153.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+10	75	71	76	76	298.0
—	Zach Johnson	+10	76	70	75	77	298.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+10	72	75	72	79	298.0
—	Zac Blair	+10	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Andrew Landry	+10	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+10	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+10	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Sepp Straka	+11	73	72	79	75	299.0
—	Victor Perez	+11	77	78	—	—	155.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+11	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Vijay Singh	+12	71	74	78	77	300.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+12	70	72	81	77	300.0
—	Scott Piercy	+12	72	73	77	78	300.0
—	Stewart Cink	+12	73	74	74	79	300.0
—	Bo Hoag	+12	75	67	79	79	300.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+12	72	75	73	80	300.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+12	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+13	73	73	77	78	301.0
—	Cameron Smith	+13	74	72	76	79	301.0
—	William McGirt	+13	76	69	73	83	301.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+13	75	71	71	84	301.0
—	Kevin Tway	+13	78	79	—	—	157.0
—	Jazz Janewattananond	+13	79	78	—	—	157.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+14	70	76	76	80	302.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+14	81	77	—	—	158.0
—	Andy Ogletree	+14	77	81	—	—	158.0
—	Danny Lee	+14	80	42	—	—	122.0
—	Sung Kang	+16	74	72	78	80	304.0
—	K.J. Choi	+16	79	81	—	—	160.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+16	80	80	—	—	160.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+18	75	72	78	81	306.0
—	David Lingmerth	+20	82	82	—	—	164.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Vijay Singh	65.14	3%	0%	75.00	—
2	Scott Harrington	66.06	3%	0%	73.50	—
3	Kevin Tway	66.85	3%	0%	78.50	—
4	K.J. Choi	67.56	3%	0%	80.00	—
5	Jazz Janewattananond	68.18	3%	0%	78.50	—
6	Jason Dufner	68.49	6%	0%	73.75	—
7	Steve Stricker	68.58	3%	0%	72.50	—
8	C.T. Pan	68.60	3%	0%	73.75	—
9	Luke List	68.63	4%	0%	72.00	—
10	Jimmy Walker	68.69	4%	0%	75.00	—
11	Emiliano Grillo	68.80	5%	0%	77.00	—
12	Ryan Moore	68.83	6%	0%	73.50	—
13	Vaughn Taylor	68.91	6%	0%	75.00	—
14	Paul Casey	68.98	14%	1%	74.00	—
15	Harris English	68.99	10%	1%	72.25	—
16	Scott Piercy	68.99	7%	0%	75.00	—
17	Louis Oosthuizen	69.01	3%	0%	74.25	—
18	Harry Higgs	69.04	7%	1%	76.00	—
19	Danny Lee	69.09	5%	0%	61.00	—
20	Sebastián Muñoz	69.10	4%	0%	74.00	—
21	Talor Gooch	69.11	8%	1%	74.00	—
22	Tyler Duncan	69.12	6%	0%	75.25	—
23	Charles Howell III	69.14	5%	0%	74.00	—
24	Xinjun Zhang	69.14	4%	0%	72.00	—
25	Rory McIlroy	69.15	20%	2%	73.00	—
26	Carlos Ortiz	69.15	7%	0%	74.00	—
27	Stewart Cink	69.16	5%	0%	75.00	—
28	Zac Blair	69.16	5%	0%	77.00	—
29	Jim Furyk	69.19	4%	0%	74.00	—
30	Sepp Straka	69.22	6%	0%	74.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.