Wednesday, June 10, 2020

Charles Schwab Challenge

PGA ·148 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Daniel Berger	-15	65	67	67	66	269.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-14	64	67	67	67	270.0
—	Jason Kokrak	-14	67	70	65	64	266.0
—	Justin Rose	-14	63	69	68	66	266.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-14	65	65	70	66	266.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-14	65	66	66	69	266.0
—	Bubba Watson	-13	68	66	68	65	267.0
—	Patrick Reed	-13	68	69	63	67	267.0
—	Gary Woodland	-12	65	67	66	70	268.0
—	Sungjae Im	-11	66	69	67	67	269.0
—	J.T. Poston	-11	68	66	67	68	269.0
—	Justin Thomas	-11	64	68	66	71	269.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-11	65	65	68	71	269.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-10	68	68	69	65	270.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-10	67	68	70	65	270.0
—	Peter Uihlein	-10	69	65	69	67	270.0
—	Cameron Champ	-10	66	71	65	68	270.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-10	64	70	66	70	270.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-9	68	65	70	68	271.0
—	Corey Conners	-9	66	67	67	71	271.0
—	Harold Varner III	-9	63	66	70	72	271.0
—	Branden Grace	-9	66	66	66	73	271.0
—	Lucas Glover	-8	67	70	69	66	272.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-8	70	68	68	66	272.0
—	Brian Harman	-8	65	69	70	68	272.0
—	Tony Finau	-8	68	69	67	68	272.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	-8	68	67	69	68	272.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-8	70	68	64	70	272.0
—	Bud Cauley	-7	71	67	67	68	273.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-7	67	69	68	69	273.0
—	Ian Poulter	-7	66	70	67	70	273.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	-6	72	65	72	65	274.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-6	68	69	68	69	274.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-6	68	68	69	69	274.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-6	69	69	67	69	274.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-6	69	69	66	70	274.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-6	68	63	69	74	274.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	-5	68	70	70	67	275.0
—	Harry Higgs	-5	70	65	71	69	275.0
—	Billy Horschel	-5	68	68	70	69	275.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-5	65	70	70	70	275.0
—	Matt Jones	-5	66	70	69	70	275.0
—	Brian Stuard	-4	68	70	74	64	276.0
—	Adam Schenk	-4	66	72	72	66	276.0
—	Talor Gooch	-4	68	70	69	69	276.0
—	Zach Johnson	-4	72	66	69	69	276.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-4	65	71	68	72	276.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-4	67	68	67	74	276.0
—	Pat Perez	-3	69	69	70	69	277.0
—	Andrew Landry	-3	68	70	69	70	277.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-3	70	67	70	70	277.0
—	Charles Howell III	-3	70	67	66	74	277.0
—	Jim Furyk	-3	67	69	67	74	277.0
—	Matthew Wolff	-2	67	69	71	71	278.0
—	Zac Blair	-1	71	65	75	68	279.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-1	69	69	69	72	279.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-1	68	69	69	73	279.0
—	Graeme McDowell	-1	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Kevin Na	-1	72	67	—	—	139.0
—	Max Homa	-1	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Harris English	-1	72	67	—	—	139.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-1	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Tom Lehman	-1	65	74	—	—	139.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-1	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Sepp Straka	-1	66	73	—	—	139.0
—	Jazz Janewattananond	-1	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-1	71	68	—	—	139.0
—	Sergio García	-1	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	John Senden	-1	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Doc Redman	E	67	70	73	70	280.0
—	Richy Werenski	E	72	66	70	72	280.0
—	Phil Mickelson	E	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Jim Herman	E	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Bernhard Langer	E	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Kevin Streelman	E	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Ryan Moore	E	66	74	—	—	140.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	E	66	74	—	—	140.0
—	Danny Lee	E	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Tom Lewis	E	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	E	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Tyler McCumber	E	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Matt Wallace	E	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Sung Kang	E	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Jon Rahm	E	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Scott Brown	E	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+1	64	74	73	70	281.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+1	67	71	69	74	281.0
—	Chris Kirk	+1	68	70	68	75	281.0
—	Alex Noren	+1	67	71	67	76	281.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Marc Leishman	+1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Brice Garnett	+1	67	74	—	—	141.0
—	Brian Gay	+1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Doug Ghim	+1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Nate Lashley	+1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Cam Davis	+1	73	68	—	—	141.0
—	Scott Piercy	+2	67	71	73	71	282.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+2	67	71	71	73	282.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Steve Stricker	+2	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Chad Campbell	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Adam Long	+2	75	67	—	—	142.0
—	Cameron Smith	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Brendon Todd	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+2	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	C.T. Pan	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Webb Simpson	+2	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Jason Day	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Andy Ogletree	+2	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+3	70	68	73	72	283.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+3	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Chez Reavie	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Danny Willett	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Scott McCarron	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	J.J. Henry	+4	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Brendan Steele	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Troy Merritt	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Shane Lowry	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+4	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Josh Teater	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Jason Dufner	+5	68	69	70	78	285.0
—	Bill Haas	+5	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	K.H. Lee	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Robby Shelton	+5	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Victor Perez	+5	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Nick Watney	+5	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Tom Hoge	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Russell Knox	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+6	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+6	69	77	—	—	146.0
—	Sam Ryder	+7	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Franklin Corpening	+7	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Kevin Tway	+9	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Beau Hossler	+10	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Scott Harrington	+10	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	+10	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+10	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Olin Browne	+12	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Keith Clearwater	+15	76	79	—	—	155.0
—	David Frost	+15	77	78	—	—	155.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Matt Wallace	63.78	6%	0%	70.00	—
2	Corey Conners	65.35	4%	0%	67.75	—
3	Graeme McDowell	67.89	8%	1%	69.50	—
4	Steve Stricker	68.64	2%	0%	71.00	—
5	Jason Dufner	68.67	4%	0%	71.25	—
6	Denny McCarthy	68.74	4%	0%	70.75	—
7	Robby Shelton	68.80	3%	0%	72.50	—
8	Bill Haas	68.80	2%	0%	72.50	—
9	Nick Watney	68.84	3%	0%	72.50	—
10	Patton Kizzire	68.85	2%	0%	71.50	—
11	Chris Kirk	68.86	2%	0%	70.25	—
12	Doc Redman	68.94	4%	0%	70.00	—
13	Phil Mickelson	69.09	4%	0%	70.00	—
14	Doug Ghim	69.10	2%	0%	70.50	—
15	Brian Gay	69.10	2%	0%	70.50	—
16	Rafa Cabrera Bello	69.11	4%	0%	68.00	—
17	Pat Perez	69.28	2%	0%	69.25	—
18	Zac Blair	69.30	5%	0%	69.75	—
19	Richy Werenski	69.31	3%	0%	70.00	—
20	Kevin Tway	69.31	3%	0%	74.50	—
21	Danny Lee	69.31	4%	0%	70.00	—
22	Lucas Glover	69.34	3%	0%	68.00	—
23	Rory McIlroy	69.38	13%	0%	68.50	—
24	Patrick Rodgers	69.41	8%	0%	67.50	—
25	Daniel Berger	69.41	46%	79%	53.80	—
26	Brice Garnett	69.41	3%	0%	70.50	—
27	Zach Johnson	69.42	4%	0%	69.00	—
28	Scott Brown	69.43	4%	0%	70.00	—
29	Harold Varner III	69.43	4%	0%	67.75	—
30	Harry Higgs	69.46	7%	0%	68.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.