Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Arnold Palmer Invitational Pres. By Mastercard

PGA ·121 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-4	68	69	73	74	284.0
—	Marc Leishman	-3	71	69	72	73	285.0
—	Sungjae Im	-2	70	69	74	73	286.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-1	73	71	72	71	287.0
—	Joel Dahmen	E	72	72	73	71	288.0
—	Keith Mitchell	E	68	75	74	71	288.0
—	Danny Lee	E	71	67	75	75	288.0
—	Rory McIlroy	E	66	73	73	76	288.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+1	70	75	75	69	289.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+1	70	71	75	73	289.0
—	Sung Kang	+1	69	68	78	74	289.0
—	Harris English	+1	69	70	74	76	289.0
—	Talor Gooch	+2	67	80	72	71	290.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+2	70	73	74	73	290.0
—	Patrick Reed	+3	70	70	80	71	291.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	+3	67	74	75	75	291.0
—	Tom Hoge	+3	70	70	76	75	291.0
—	Jason Day	+3	74	17	—	—	91.0
—	Danny Willett	+4	71	71	77	73	292.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+4	71	75	72	74	292.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+4	71	70	77	74	292.0
—	Brendon Todd	+4	68	72	78	74	292.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+4	71	72	74	75	292.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+4	68	72	73	79	292.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Corey Conners	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Lee Westwood	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Brendan Steele	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Jim Herman	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Cameron Champ	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Matt Every	+4	65	83	—	—	148.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+5	73	69	80	71	293.0
—	Beau Hossler	+5	73	72	76	72	293.0
—	Adam Long	+5	69	74	78	72	293.0
—	Xander Schauffele	+5	73	74	72	74	293.0
—	Troy Merritt	+5	71	72	75	75	293.0
—	Matt Wallace	+5	69	73	76	75	293.0
—	Max Homa	+5	72	75	70	76	293.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+5	73	70	73	77	293.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Scott Piercy	+5	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Tony Finau	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Adam Scott	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Brian Harman	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Russell Knox	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Ian Poulter	+6	69	77	74	74	294.0
—	Zach Johnson	+6	72	73	74	75	294.0
—	Bud Cauley	+6	71	72	75	76	294.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+6	68	74	76	76	294.0
—	Justin Rose	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Alex Noren	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Brian Stuard	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Sepp Straka	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+6	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Billy Horschel	+7	72	73	77	73	295.0
—	Zac Blair	+7	74	70	77	74	295.0
—	Kevin Na	+7	70	72	79	74	295.0
—	Harold Varner III	+7	70	74	76	75	295.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+7	71	73	76	75	295.0
—	Sam Burns	+7	68	72	76	79	295.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Charles Howell III	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Bubba Watson	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Kevin Tway	+7	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Harry Higgs	+8	72	73	76	75	296.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+8	73	72	76	75	296.0
—	Steve Stricker	+8	72	74	74	76	296.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+8	74	73	72	77	296.0
—	K.H. Lee	+8	72	73	72	79	296.0
—	Kevin Yu	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Nate Lashley	+8	79	73	—	—	152.0
—	Lucas Glover	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+9	72	73	81	71	297.0
—	Scott Harrington	+9	71	70	79	77	297.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+9	70	74	74	79	297.0
—	Stewart Cink	+9	72	70	75	80	297.0
—	Matt Jones	+9	75	68	73	81	297.0
—	Sam Ryder	+9	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Pat Perez	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	C.T. Pan	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Vijay Singh	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Ryan Moore	+10	71	75	82	70	298.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+10	73	73	81	71	298.0
—	Kevin Chappell	+10	72	74	75	77	298.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	+10	70	75	75	78	298.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+10	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+11	73	74	79	73	299.0
—	Robby Shelton	+11	72	75	78	74	299.0
—	Scott Brown	+11	69	76	79	75	299.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+11	71	76	75	77	299.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+11	69	73	80	77	299.0
—	Nick Taylor	+11	73	73	74	79	299.0
—	J.T. Poston	+11	84	71	—	—	155.0
—	Sam Saunders	+12	74	73	78	75	300.0
—	Doc Redman	+12	73	73	79	75	300.0
—	Rod Perry	+12	72	73	79	76	300.0
—	Brian Gay	+12	73	72	78	77	300.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+12	74	82	—	—	156.0
—	Brandon Matthews	+12	75	81	—	—	156.0
—	Davis Love III	+13	72	73	76	80	301.0
—	Jazz Janewattananond	+13	80	77	—	—	157.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	+14	73	73	77	79	302.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+20	74	72	82	80	308.0
—	Robert Gamez	+23	83	84	—	—	167.0
—	Rob Oppenheim	+25	69	78	83	83	313.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Matt Every	66.55	3%	0%	74.00	—
2	Scott Harrington	66.95	2%	0%	74.25	—
3	Steve Stricker	67.44	3%	0%	74.00	—
4	Pat Perez	67.75	4%	0%	76.50	—
5	Brian Gay	67.99	3%	0%	75.00	—
6	Denny McCarthy	68.02	6%	0%	75.50	—
7	Kevin Chappell	68.03	3%	0%	74.50	—
8	Troy Merritt	68.11	4%	0%	73.25	—
9	Hank Lebioda	68.17	4%	0%	77.00	—
10	Charley Hoffman	68.31	5%	0%	72.50	—
11	Anirban Lahiri	68.34	3%	0%	74.00	—
12	Cameron Champ	68.58	8%	1%	74.00	—
13	Stewart Cink	68.59	4%	0%	74.25	—
14	Phil Mickelson	68.59	5%	0%	74.50	—
15	Doc Redman	68.60	5%	0%	75.00	—
16	Keith Mitchell	68.63	5%	0%	72.00	—
17	Sam Saunders	68.67	2%	0%	75.00	—
18	Andrew Putnam	68.76	6%	0%	74.50	—
19	Scott Brown	68.82	4%	0%	74.75	—
20	Zach Johnson	68.84	4%	0%	73.50	—
21	Lucas Glover	68.85	5%	0%	76.00	—
22	Matt Fitzpatrick	68.92	13%	0%	72.25	—
23	Harold Varner III	68.94	6%	0%	73.75	—
24	Danny Lee	68.95	5%	0%	72.00	—
25	Kevin Tway	68.96	5%	0%	75.50	—
26	Jason Day	69.00	15%	1%	45.50	—
27	Si Woo Kim	69.03	3%	0%	75.50	—
28	Scott Piercy	69.04	16%	1%	74.50	—
29	Henrik Norlander	69.06	5%	0%	75.00	—
30	Jason Kokrak	69.06	5%	0%	73.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.