Wednesday, February 12, 2020

The Genesis Invitational

PGA ·120 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Adam Scott	-11	72	64	67	70	273.0
—	Scott Brown	-9	71	68	68	68	275.0
—	Sung Kang	-9	69	67	70	69	275.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-9	64	69	70	72	275.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-8	71	72	64	69	276.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-8	68	70	69	69	276.0
—	Max Homa	-8	72	69	65	70	276.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-8	68	71	66	71	276.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-8	68	67	68	73	276.0
—	Chez Reavie	-7	69	68	71	69	277.0
—	Talor Gooch	-7	70	72	64	71	277.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-7	72	66	67	72	277.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	-6	69	67	74	68	278.0
—	K.H. Lee	-6	67	73	69	69	278.0
—	James Hahn	-6	68	70	70	70	278.0
—	Harold Varner III	-6	67	68	69	74	278.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-5	68	72	71	68	279.0
—	Scott Piercy	-5	70	69	70	70	279.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	-5	68	69	72	70	279.0
—	Jon Rahm	-5	70	68	69	72	279.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-5	67	68	72	72	279.0
—	Russell Henley	-5	67	69	68	75	279.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-4	72	70	69	69	280.0
—	Sam Burns	-4	73	68	69	70	280.0
—	Brian Stuard	-4	72	68	69	71	280.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-3	71	71	69	70	281.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-3	68	70	71	72	281.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-3	73	67	68	73	281.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-3	69	69	70	73	281.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-2	71	71	70	70	282.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-2	69	72	71	70	282.0
—	Ryan Moore	-2	71	71	69	71	282.0
—	J.T. Poston	-2	69	72	70	71	282.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-2	74	69	67	72	282.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-2	71	70	68	73	282.0
—	Luke List	-2	71	68	68	75	282.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-1	69	72	70	72	283.0
—	Sergio García	-1	70	70	71	72	283.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-1	71	70	69	73	283.0
—	Andrew Landry	-1	68	72	70	73	283.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-1	69	69	72	73	283.0
—	Paul Casey	-1	69	69	70	75	283.0
—	Abraham Ancer	E	76	67	70	71	284.0
—	Martin Laird	E	71	71	70	72	284.0
—	Marc Leishman	E	70	72	68	74	284.0
—	Brooks Koepka	E	69	73	68	74	284.0
—	Brian Harman	+1	70	69	74	72	285.0
—	Pat Perez	+1	73	70	69	73	285.0
—	Martin Trainer	+1	72	71	68	74	285.0
—	Adam Schenk	+1	67	73	71	74	285.0
—	Tony Finau	+2	72	71	71	72	286.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+2	69	69	76	72	286.0
—	Bud Cauley	+2	74	69	70	73	286.0
—	Patrick Reed	+2	68	73	71	74	286.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+2	74	69	68	75	286.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Sungjae Im	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Bubba Watson	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Jason Day	+2	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Russell Knox	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Sepp Straka	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Danny Willett	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Adam Long	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Jim Furyk	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Nick Taylor	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Ryan Armour	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Troy Merritt	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Scott Stallings	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Steve Stricker	+3	72	71	71	73	287.0
—	Brendon Todd	+3	73	70	71	73	287.0
—	Justin Rose	+3	69	69	74	75	287.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Chris Stroud	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Kevin Chappell	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Corey Conners	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Kevin Tway	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Danny Lee	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Nick Watney	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Michael Thompson	+3	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Justin Thomas	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Charles Howell III	+4	77	66	75	70	288.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+4	72	68	74	74	288.0
—	Alex Noren	+4	71	70	72	75	288.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+4	72	70	70	76	288.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Jim Herman	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Cameron Smith	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Brian Gay	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Branden Grace	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Peter Malnati	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Na	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Nate Lashley	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	C.T. Pan	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+6	73	69	73	75	290.0
—	Sam Ryder	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Aaron Wise	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Cameron Champ	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Matt Every	+7	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+7	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Matt Jones	+7	79	70	—	—	149.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+8	73	69	79	71	292.0
—	Jason Dufner	+8	75	68	76	73	292.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+8	71	70	78	73	292.0
—	Roger Sloan	+8	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Sean Yu	+9	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+10	71	70	81	72	294.0
—	Kyongjun Moon	+10	80	72	—	—	152.0
—	Tiger Woods	+11	69	73	76	77	295.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Nate Lashley	66.47	5%	0%	73.50	—
2	Matt Every	67.45	3%	0%	74.50	—
3	Ryan Armour	67.48	2%	0%	72.00	—
4	J.J. Spaun	67.75	3%	0%	72.50	—
5	Jimmy Walker	67.83	5%	0%	73.00	—
6	Luke List	67.93	4%	0%	70.50	—
7	Chris Stroud	67.96	3%	0%	72.50	—
8	Kyle Stanley	68.17	3%	0%	73.00	—
9	Danny Lee	68.28	4%	0%	72.50	—
10	Jason Dufner	68.31	5%	0%	73.00	—
11	Nick Watney	68.41	3%	0%	72.50	—
12	James Hahn	68.47	4%	0%	69.50	—
13	Aaron Wise	68.52	3%	0%	74.00	—
14	Brian Gay	68.58	3%	0%	73.00	—
15	Michael Thompson	68.59	3%	0%	72.50	—
16	Brian Stuard	68.64	3%	0%	70.00	—
17	Pat Perez	68.64	3%	0%	71.25	—
18	Harold Varner III	68.64	3%	0%	69.50	—
19	Sung Kang	68.71	6%	0%	68.75	—
20	Martin Laird	68.76	4%	0%	71.00	—
21	Si Woo Kim	68.82	2%	0%	70.75	—
22	Tyler Duncan	68.84	4%	0%	73.00	—
23	Brendon Todd	68.92	14%	1%	71.75	—
24	Martin Trainer	68.96	3%	0%	71.25	—
25	Carlos Ortiz	68.96	6%	0%	70.25	—
26	Rory Sabbatini	69.11	6%	0%	72.00	—
27	Scott Stallings	69.12	5%	0%	72.00	—
28	Aaron Baddeley	69.12	6%	0%	72.00	—
29	Sam Ryder	69.13	6%	0%	74.00	—
30	Chez Reavie	69.14	6%	0%	69.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.