Wednesday, February 5, 2020

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Nick Taylor	-19	63	66	69	70	268.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-15	69	67	68	68	272.0
—	Phil Mickelson	-14	68	64	67	74	273.0
—	Jason Day	-11	67	64	70	75	276.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-9	72	72	66	68	278.0
—	Daniel Berger	-9	70	69	70	69	278.0
—	Matt Jones	-9	68	73	65	72	278.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	-9	67	66	73	72	278.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-8	70	71	71	67	279.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-8	67	68	71	73	279.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-7	68	71	69	72	280.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-7	66	69	72	73	280.0
—	Peter Malnati	-7	70	69	66	75	280.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-6	71	73	67	70	281.0
—	J.B. Holmes	-6	71	72	67	71	281.0
—	Kevin Na	-6	75	67	68	71	281.0
—	Max Homa	-6	67	69	71	74	281.0
—	Zac Blair	-5	69	69	73	71	282.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-5	71	70	69	72	282.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-5	71	67	72	72	282.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-5	68	71	70	73	282.0
—	Harry Higgs	-5	66	69	74	73	282.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	-5	69	69	69	75	282.0
—	Scott Piercy	-5	68	66	72	76	282.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-4	69	73	70	71	283.0
—	Troy Merritt	-4	69	70	73	71	283.0
—	Ben Martin	-4	72	68	70	73	283.0
—	Tim Wilkinson	-4	69	70	70	74	283.0
—	Chez Reavie	-4	67	69	73	74	283.0
—	Kevin Chappell	-4	68	67	74	74	283.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-4	68	69	71	75	283.0
—	Alex Cejka	-3	69	73	70	72	284.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-3	69	67	76	72	284.0
—	Tyler McCumber	-3	71	70	69	74	284.0
—	Alex Noren	-3	69	67	74	74	284.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-3	69	65	72	78	284.0
—	Matt Every	-3	70	66	68	80	284.0
—	Cam Davis	-2	71	72	69	73	285.0
—	Rob Oppenheim	-2	68	74	70	73	285.0
—	Vince Whaley	-2	71	73	67	74	285.0
—	Stewart Cink	-2	69	72	70	74	285.0
—	Séamus Power	-2	72	68	71	74	285.0
—	Brandon Wu	-2	69	66	76	74	285.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-2	72	68	70	75	285.0
—	Beau Hossler	-2	68	72	70	75	285.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-2	70	71	68	76	285.0
—	Chris Baker	-2	69	64	76	76	285.0
—	Brian Gay	-2	72	68	68	77	285.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-2	70	68	70	77	285.0
—	Bo Hoag	-2	71	75	67	—	213.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-2	74	72	67	—	213.0
—	Jim Furyk	-2	74	70	69	—	213.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	-2	72	71	70	—	213.0
—	Arjun Atwal	-2	75	67	71	—	213.0
—	Robert Streb	-2	67	74	72	—	213.0
—	Nick Watney	-2	73	66	74	—	213.0
—	Richy Werenski	-2	66	72	75	—	213.0
—	Lucas Glover	-1	70	76	66	74	286.0
—	Doc Redman	-1	73	67	72	74	286.0
—	Chase Seiffert	-1	66	76	69	75	286.0
—	Adam Schenk	-1	68	69	74	75	286.0
—	Sean O'Hair	-1	73	65	71	77	286.0
—	Michael Thompson	-1	73	74	67	—	214.0
—	Scott Stallings	-1	73	73	68	—	214.0
—	Andrew Landry	-1	76	69	69	—	214.0
—	Chris Kirk	-1	72	72	70	—	214.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	-1	73	71	70	—	214.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-1	74	69	71	—	214.0
—	Harold Varner III	-1	67	76	71	—	214.0
—	Smylie Kaufman	-1	75	66	73	—	214.0
—	K.J. Choi	-1	74	66	74	—	214.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	-1	73	67	74	—	214.0
—	Doug Ghim	-1	68	72	74	—	214.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-1	67	72	75	—	214.0
—	Justin Suh	-1	67	70	77	—	214.0
—	Michael Gligic	E	72	71	69	75	287.0
—	Luke Donald	E	72	71	69	75	287.0
—	Wes Roach	E	69	73	70	75	287.0
—	Jim Herman	E	67	73	70	77	287.0
—	Cameron Champ	E	71	66	71	79	287.0
—	Scott Brown	E	77	72	66	—	215.0
—	Kris Ventura	E	71	76	68	—	215.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	E	72	74	69	—	215.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	E	74	72	69	—	215.0
—	Johnson Wagner	E	70	74	71	—	215.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	E	76	68	71	—	215.0
—	Mark Anderson	E	73	70	72	—	215.0
—	Branden Grace	E	73	70	72	—	215.0
—	Peter Uihlein	E	73	70	72	—	215.0
—	Steve Stricker	E	74	68	73	—	215.0
—	Scott Harrington	E	68	72	75	—	215.0
—	Russell Knox	E	74	65	76	—	215.0
—	Tom Hoge	+1	69	73	69	77	288.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+1	71	70	68	79	288.0
—	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	+1	73	79	64	—	216.0
—	Zack Sucher	+1	72	74	70	—	216.0
—	James Hahn	+1	71	70	75	—	216.0
—	Greg Chalmers	+1	67	73	76	—	216.0
—	George McNeill	+1	68	71	77	—	216.0
—	Fabián Gómez	+1	73	66	77	—	216.0
—	Ricky Barnes	+1	66	72	78	—	216.0
—	Aaron Wise	+2	68	74	70	77	289.0
—	Jason Dufner	+2	73	70	68	78	289.0
—	Dominic Bozzelli	+2	76	71	70	—	217.0
—	Chad Campbell	+2	74	72	71	—	217.0
—	Michael Gellerman	+2	73	73	71	—	217.0
—	Patrick Martin	+2	73	71	73	—	217.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+2	70	73	74	—	217.0
—	Nelson Ledesma	+2	73	70	74	—	217.0
—	Sebastian Cappelen	+2	72	70	75	—	217.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+2	73	68	76	—	217.0
—	Ben Taylor	+2	73	67	77	—	217.0
—	Brice Garnett	+2	70	70	77	—	217.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	+2	67	72	78	—	217.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	+3	71	74	67	78	290.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+3	71	69	71	79	290.0
—	Paul Casey	+3	71	65	73	81	290.0
—	Brian Stuard	+3	73	77	68	—	218.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+3	70	75	73	—	218.0
—	Adam Long	+3	74	66	78	—	218.0
—	Nate Lashley	+3	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	D.A. Points	+4	77	70	72	—	219.0
—	David Lingmerth	+4	72	74	73	—	219.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+4	70	74	75	—	219.0
—	Josh Teater	+4	70	72	77	—	219.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+4	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	John Senden	+5	71	71	67	83	292.0
—	Pat Perez	+5	71	75	74	—	220.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+5	73	73	74	—	220.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+5	73	68	79	—	220.0
—	J.J. Henry	+6	74	76	71	—	221.0
—	Chris Stroud	+6	76	70	75	—	221.0
—	Ryan Armour	+6	70	74	77	—	221.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+7	76	73	73	—	222.0
—	Martin Trainer	+7	73	75	74	—	222.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+7	77	71	74	—	222.0
—	Rod Pampling	+7	73	73	76	—	222.0
—	Bill Haas	+7	71	75	76	—	222.0
—	D.J. Trahan	+7	71	75	76	—	222.0
—	Rhein Gibson	+7	74	69	79	—	222.0
—	Austin Cook	+8	78	71	74	—	223.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	+8	75	74	74	—	223.0
—	David Hearn	+8	75	73	75	—	223.0
—	Roberto Castro	+8	74	74	75	—	223.0
—	Isaiah Salinda	+8	74	73	76	—	223.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+10	73	69	68	87	297.0
—	Hunter Mahan	+10	74	77	74	—	225.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+10	74	77	74	—	225.0
—	Tim Herron	+11	78	74	74	—	226.0
—	Sung Kang	+11	74	73	79	—	226.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+11	69	78	79	—	226.0
—	Scott de Borba	+12	75	78	74	—	227.0
—	Robert Garrigus	+12	74	77	76	—	227.0
—	Sam Saunders	+20	77	78	80	—	235.0
—	Kevin Stadler	+20	77	76	82	—	235.0
—	David Duval	+24	84	69	—	—	153.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Kevin Stadler	66.13	3%	0%	78.33	—
2	Bo Van Pelt	66.81	3%	0%	74.33	—
3	Kramer Hickok	66.88	2%	0%	49.00	—
4	Keith Mitchell	66.98	5%	0%	71.00	—
5	Matt Every	67.54	3%	0%	71.00	—
6	Satoshi Kodaira	67.56	3%	0%	74.00	—
7	Lanto Griffin	67.60	6%	0%	69.75	—
8	Martin Trainer	67.69	3%	0%	74.00	—
9	Ryan Armour	67.74	2%	0%	73.67	—
10	Chesson Hadley	67.76	4%	0%	70.50	—
11	Zac Blair	67.79	7%	0%	70.50	—
12	Ryan Brehm	68.03	3%	0%	74.25	—
13	Scott Harrington	68.03	3%	0%	71.67	—
14	Kris Ventura	68.14	3%	0%	71.67	—
15	Jimmy Walker	68.22	6%	0%	73.33	—
16	Wyndham Clark	68.23	3%	0%	70.50	—
17	Aaron Baddeley	68.30	3%	0%	70.75	—
18	Zack Sucher	68.37	3%	0%	72.00	—
19	Rhein Gibson	68.38	3%	0%	74.00	—
20	Nick Taylor	68.40	6%	22%	67.00	—
21	Scott Brown	68.43	3%	0%	71.67	—
22	Aaron Wise	68.45	3%	0%	72.25	—
23	Michael Gellerman	68.47	3%	0%	72.33	—
24	Doc Redman	68.56	6%	0%	71.50	—
25	Chris Stroud	68.58	3%	0%	73.67	—
26	Nelson Ledesma	68.58	3%	0%	72.33	—
27	Troy Merritt	68.59	3%	0%	70.75	—
28	Michael Gligic	68.61	4%	0%	71.75	—
29	Austin Cook	68.66	2%	0%	74.33	—
30	Jason Dufner	68.72	5%	0%	72.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.