Wednesday, January 29, 2020

Waste Management Phoenix Open

PGA ·132 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Webb Simpson	-18	71	63	64	69	270.0
—	Tony Finau	-17	69	66	62	70	271.0
—	Justin Thomas	-14	68	68	69	65	270.0
—	Bubba Watson	-14	69	66	69	66	270.0
—	Nate Lashley	-14	66	67	69	68	270.0
—	Max Homa	-13	72	67	64	68	271.0
—	Scott Piercy	-13	67	65	68	71	271.0
—	Adam Long	-12	66	68	66	72	272.0
—	Daniel Berger	-11	69	71	66	67	273.0
—	Branden Grace	-11	67	67	70	69	273.0
—	Billy Horschel	-11	63	68	73	69	273.0
—	Jon Rahm	-11	67	68	68	70	273.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-11	65	66	70	72	273.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-11	69	68	64	72	273.0
—	Hudson Swafford	-11	66	67	66	74	273.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-10	67	74	65	68	274.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-10	67	69	70	68	274.0
—	Russell Knox	-10	71	67	67	69	274.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-10	68	70	67	69	274.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-10	68	67	70	69	274.0
—	Harris English	-10	65	72	68	69	274.0
—	Brandon Hagy	-10	67	69	69	69	274.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-10	67	67	66	74	274.0
—	J.B. Holmes	-10	64	65	70	75	274.0
—	Xinjun Zhang	-9	69	72	68	66	275.0
—	Bud Cauley	-9	65	72	70	68	275.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-9	71	69	67	68	275.0
—	Danny Lee	-9	68	69	69	69	275.0
—	Harry Higgs	-9	70	68	68	69	275.0
—	James Hahn	-9	69	67	69	70	275.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-9	69	67	68	71	275.0
—	Tom Hoge	-9	65	71	67	72	275.0
—	Luke List	-9	70	69	64	72	275.0
—	Doc Redman	-8	69	67	71	69	276.0
—	Sungjae Im	-8	66	72	68	70	276.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-8	61	69	74	72	276.0
—	J.T. Poston	-7	70	68	71	68	277.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-7	74	65	69	69	277.0
—	Kevin Tway	-7	72	67	68	70	277.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-6	68	70	72	68	278.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-6	69	67	72	70	278.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-6	71	70	67	70	278.0
—	Gary Woodland	-6	70	67	69	72	278.0
—	John Huh	-6	71	66	66	75	278.0
—	Corey Conners	-5	71	69	71	68	279.0
—	Andrew Landry	-5	69	72	69	69	279.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-4	70	71	69	70	280.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-4	70	71	68	71	280.0
—	Nick Taylor	-3	70	70	71	70	281.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-3	67	70	71	73	281.0
—	Brian Harman	-3	71	68	67	75	281.0
—	Brice Garnett	-2	72	67	72	71	282.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-2	70	69	70	73	282.0
—	Sung Kang	-2	67	72	69	74	282.0
—	K.J. Choi	-1	66	75	71	71	283.0
—	Martin Laird	-1	72	67	73	71	283.0
—	Grayson Murray	-1	70	68	73	72	283.0
—	Sam Ryder	-1	71	66	74	72	283.0
—	Denny McCarthy	E	71	70	72	71	284.0
—	Chesson Hadley	E	73	68	68	75	284.0
—	Matt Jones	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Harold Varner III	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Colt Knost	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Jason Kokrak	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Chris Stroud	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Kevin Streelman	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Peter Malnati	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Zach Johnson	E	67	75	—	—	142.0
—	Tyler Duncan	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Ryan Palmer	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Andrew Putnam	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Kevin Na	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Cameron Tringale	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Sebastian Cappelen	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Viktor Hovland	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+1	70	71	74	70	285.0
—	Talor Gooch	+1	68	73	69	75	285.0
—	Russell Henley	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Aaron Wise	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Ryan Moore	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Sam Burns	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Brian Stuard	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Adam Schenk	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+1	70	71	73	—	214.0
—	Luke Donald	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Brendan Steele	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Sepp Straka	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Kyle Westmoreland	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	K.H. Lee	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Chez Reavie	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Roger Sloan	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+3	71	70	72	74	287.0
—	C.T. Pan	+3	69	66	75	77	287.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+3	69	71	69	78	287.0
—	Robby Shelton	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Jamie Lovemark	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Lucas Bjerregaard	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Greg Chalmers	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	+3	77	68	—	—	145.0
—	Matt Every	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Patrick Flavin	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Troy Merritt	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Zack Sucher	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Alex Smalley	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Chappell	+4	69	77	—	—	146.0
—	Austin Cook	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Beau Hossler	+5	68	72	77	72	289.0
—	Chris Kirk	+5	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Harrington	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+5	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Cameron Smith	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Brian Gay	+6	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Marty Jertson	+6	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Ryan Armour	+7	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Kevin Stadler	+8	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	S.Y. Noh	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Martin Trainer	+10	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+10	74	78	—	—	152.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Robby Shelton	65.93	3%	0%	72.50	—
2	Nate Lashley	66.69	5%	0%	67.50	—
3	Luke List	67.63	3%	0%	68.75	—
4	Doc Redman	68.35	5%	0%	69.00	—
5	Chesson Hadley	68.41	4%	0%	71.00	—
6	Xinjun Zhang	68.62	3%	0%	68.75	—
7	Scott Harrington	68.67	3%	0%	73.50	—
8	Jimmy Walker	68.71	7%	0%	71.75	—
9	Patton Kizzire	68.76	2%	0%	71.25	—
10	J.J. Spaun	68.80	3%	0%	70.00	—
11	Carlos Ortiz	68.83	3%	0%	68.75	—
12	Brandon Hagy	68.91	4%	0%	68.50	—
13	Kyle Stanley	68.96	3%	0%	73.00	—
14	Peter Malnati	69.39	4%	0%	71.00	—
15	K.H. Lee	69.47	4%	0%	72.00	—
16	Russell Knox	69.50	15%	1%	68.50	—
17	Chez Reavie	69.54	6%	0%	72.00	—
18	Sam Ryder	69.55	6%	0%	70.75	—
19	Sebastián Muñoz	69.57	6%	0%	70.00	—
20	Tyler Duncan	69.59	6%	0%	71.00	—
21	Max Homa	69.61	24%	1%	67.75	—
22	J.T. Poston	69.62	8%	0%	69.25	—
23	Collin Morikawa	69.63	20%	2%	68.75	—
24	Rory Sabbatini	69.65	7%	0%	72.50	—
25	Adam Long	69.67	6%	0%	68.00	—
26	Patrick Rodgers	69.69	8%	11%	68.50	—
27	Harry Higgs	69.69	7%	1%	68.75	—
28	Mackenzie Hughes	69.70	3%	0%	73.00	—
29	Tom Hoge	69.73	13%	2%	68.75	—
30	Talor Gooch	69.73	8%	1%	71.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.