NHL games

CAR @ VGK

NHL T-Mobile Arena ·{'default': 'Paradise'}
Puck drop

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (VGK) / 10 (CAR) games this season
CAR away
home VGK
66% 34%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 4-3
CAR
Away
Metric
VGK
Home
68-32
Record
53-50
68%
Win %
51%
3.6
GF/G
3.3
2.8
GA/G
3.0
WWLWL
L5
LLWLW

Box score

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game () · per-position MultiOutput regressor
# Player Pos Team G A SOG Hit DK
1 S Jarvis forw CAR vs VGK 0.36 0.45 2.6 2.0 9.1
2 P Dorofeyev forw VGK vs CAR 0.29 0.72 1.8 0.1 8.7
3 C Hart goal VGK vs CAR 8.6
4 T Hall forw CAR vs VGK 0.32 0.40 2.6 1.6 8.6
5 J Blake forw CAR vs VGK 0.33 0.47 2.3 1.2 8.5
6 S Aho forw CAR vs VGK 0.31 0.45 2.3 1.5 8.4
7 N Ehlers forw CAR vs VGK 0.33 0.43 2.3 0.7 8.4
8 J Chatfield defe CAR vs VGK 0.09 0.39 1.7 7.9
9 S Theodore defe VGK vs CAR 0.14 0.33 1.2 7.8
10 M Marner forw VGK vs CAR 0.23 0.55 2.1 0.9 7.8
11 L Stankoven forw CAR vs VGK 0.30 0.32 2.2 2.4 7.5
12 A Svechnikov forw CAR vs VGK 0.29 0.32 2.2 3.3 7.4
13 K Miller defe CAR vs VGK 0.11 0.34 1.7 7.4
14 J Eichel forw VGK vs CAR 0.22 0.36 2.0 0.6 6.7
15 R Andersson defe VGK vs CAR 0.05 0.39 1.3 6.7
16 S Walker defe CAR vs VGK 0.08 0.28 1.6 6.7
17 J Staal forw CAR vs VGK 0.28 0.28 1.8 4.0 6.5
18 N Hanifin defe VGK vs CAR 0.05 0.21 1.2 6.4
19 J Slavin defe CAR vs VGK 0.07 0.29 1.3 6.2
20 S Gostisbehere defe CAR vs VGK 0.07 0.32 1.4 5.9
21 B Bussi goal CAR vs VGK 5.7
22 W Karlsson forw VGK vs CAR 0.22 0.27 1.6 0.6 5.6
23 J Martinook forw CAR vs VGK 0.21 0.21 1.8 2.0 5.5
24 M Stone forw VGK vs CAR 0.20 0.24 1.6 2.5 5.3
25 B Howden forw VGK vs CAR 0.22 0.23 1.5 2.7 5.2

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.