MTL @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·{'default': 'Buffalo'}
·
SOG MTL 25 · 39 BUF
3–2
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (MTL) games this season
MTL
away
home
BUF
35%
65%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 5-5MTL
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
55-40
Record
57-37
58%
Win %
61%
3.4
GF/G
3.5
3.1
GA/G
2.9
LWLWW
L5
WLWLL
Team totals
MTL
BUF
25
Shots
39
28
Hits
21
22
Blocks
11
7
Takeaways
3
20
Giveaways
16
2
PIM
2
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Newhook | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Z Bolduc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
| P Danault | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 |
| A Texier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| N Suzuki | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| I Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Matheson | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| L Hutson | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 |
| A Carrier | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| N Dobson | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 |
| K Guhle | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| A Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Dobes | 37 | 39 | 0.949 | 2 |
| J Fowler | 0 | 0 | 0 |