ANA @ EDM

NHL Rogers Place ·{'default': 'Edmonton'} · SOG ANA 28 · 37 EDM

6–4

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (EDM) / 10 (ANA) games this season

ANA away

home EDM

69% 31%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 3-1

ANA

Away

Metric

EDM

Home

43-40

Record

42-41

52%

Win %

51%

3.3

GF/G

3.4

3.5

GA/G

3.3

LWLLW

WWLLW

Team totals

ANA

EDM

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
C Gauthier	2	1	3	4	1	1
A Killorn	1	2	3	4	0	0
R Poehling	2	0	2	2	1	1
T Terry	0	1	1	0	0	1
M McTavish	0	0	0	2	5	-1
C Kreider	0	0	0	1	1	-1

Defense

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
J Trouba	1	0	1	2	3
J Carlson	0	0	0	3	0
J LaCombe	0	3	1	2	0
P Mintyukov	0	0	-1	1	1
T Hinds	0	0	0	1	4
I Moore	0	0	0	0	2

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
V Husso	0	0		0
L Dostal	33	37	0.892	4

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
L Draisaitl	1	1	2	3	1	-1
Z Hyman	1	0	1	6	5	-3
J Samanski	1	0	1	2	1	1
J Roslovic	0	1	1	2	2	1
V Podkolzin	0	1	1	3	5	1
R Nugent-Hopkins	0	1	1	0	0	-1

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
E Bouchard	0	0	-2	0	1
M Ekholm	0	1	-1	3	0
D Nurse	0	0	2	2	2
C Murphy	1	0	1	1	1
J Walman	0	1	0	2	1
T Emberson	0	0	1	1	2

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
T Jarry	0	0		0
C Ingram	22	27	0.815	5

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-17) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	C McDavid	forw	EDM vs VAN	0.71	0.90	4.6	0.3	17.4
2	E Bouchard	defe	EDM vs VAN	0.22	0.75	2.2		11.3
3	T Terry	forw	ANA vs NSH	0.38	0.43	3.1	0.4	10.0
4	M Savoie	forw	EDM vs VAN	0.38	0.48	2.7	0.2	9.7
5	L Carlsson	forw	ANA vs NSH	0.38	0.42	2.9	0.4	9.7
6	J Carlson	defe	ANA vs NSH	0.16	0.48	2.3		9.4
7	D Nurse	defe	EDM vs VAN	0.23	0.27	1.7		8.8
8	C Gauthier	forw	ANA vs NSH	0.29	0.35	2.9	0.8	8.5
9	C Ingram	goal	EDM vs VAN					8.5
10	J LaCombe	defe	ANA vs NSH	0.16	0.50	1.8		8.3
11	M Granlund	forw	ANA vs NSH	0.25	0.57	2.2	0.8	8.3
12	R Nugent-Hopkins	forw	EDM vs VAN	0.29	0.46	2.2	0.3	8.1
13	V Husso	goal	ANA vs NSH					8.1
14	Z Hyman	forw	EDM vs VAN	0.31	0.44	2.1	1.4	8.0
15	B Sennecke	forw	ANA vs NSH	0.25	0.37	2.4	1.1	7.6
16	J Trouba	defe	ANA vs NSH	0.10	0.33	1.7		7.3
17	C Kreider	forw	ANA vs NSH	0.22	0.42	2.1	1.1	7.1
18	V Podkolzin	forw	EDM vs VAN	0.27	0.32	2.0	1.8	7.0
19	M Ekholm	defe	EDM vs VAN	0.14	0.26	1.1		6.7
20	J Roslovic	forw	EDM vs VAN	0.24	0.28	2.0	1.2	6.4
21	C Murphy	defe	EDM vs VAN	0.06	0.24	1.1		5.9
22	A Killorn	forw	ANA vs NSH	0.18	0.33	1.7	1.2	5.7
23	P Mintyukov	defe	ANA vs NSH	0.06	0.23	1.3		5.5
24	R Poehling	forw	ANA vs NSH	0.18	0.26	1.7	0.6	5.3
25	J Walman	defe	EDM vs VAN	0.06	0.22	1.1		5.0

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.