UTA @ VGK

NHL T-Mobile Arena ·{'default': 'Paradise'} · SOG UTA 29 · 21 VGK

3–2

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (VGK) / 10 (UTA) games this season

UTA away

home VGK

47% 53%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-2

UTA

Away

Metric

VGK

Home

43-40

Record

40-43

52%

Win %

48%

3.3

GF/G

3.2

2.9

GA/G

3.0

LLWLL

WWWWL

Team totals

UTA

VGK

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
D Guenther	1	1	2	5	2	2
K Yamamoto	0	2	2	0	3	2
L Cooley	1	0	1	3	3	2
N Schmaltz	0	0	0	3	0	1
C Keller	0	0	0	1	2	1
B Tanev	0	0	0	1	3	0

Defense

Player	G	+/-	BLK	Hit
M Sergachev	0	2	4	2
M Weegar	1	1	0	4
J Marino	0	0	2	0
N Schmidt	0	1	1	1
S Durzi	0	0	0	0
I Cole	0	0	0	2

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
K Vejmelka	19	21	0.905	2
V Vanecek	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
J Eichel	0	2	2	1	1	-1
M Stone	1	0	1	2	1	0
I Barbashev	1	0	1	2	4	-2
M Marner	0	1	1	1	1	0
C Smith	0	0	0	0	3	0
B Howden	0	0	0	2	1	0

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit
S Theodore	-2	0	1
N Hanifin	-2	3	1
R Andersson	-1	3	0
B McNabb	-1	2	2
J Lauzon	1	2	1
K Korczak	1	0	2

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Hill	0	0		0
C Hart	27	29	0.931	3

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-14) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	J Eichel	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.41	0.62	2.9	0.5	10.9
2	M Marner	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.38	0.58	2.6	0.4	10.0
3	M Stone	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.35	0.50	2.3	0.8	8.9
4	P Dorofeyev	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.31	0.42	2.6	0.4	8.6
5	R Andersson	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.13	0.32	1.9		7.6
6	I Barbashev	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.26	0.36	2.1	1.7	7.1
7	C Hart	goal	VGK vs WPG					6.9
8	N Hanifin	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.09	0.31	1.6		6.4
9	S Theodore	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.08	0.29	1.5		5.8
10	T Hertl	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.18	0.25	1.9	1.1	5.7
11	B McNabb	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.06	0.22	1.3		5.6
12	J Lauzon	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.08	0.22	1.3		5.1
13	B Howden	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.15	0.22	1.5	1.4	4.6
14	R Smith	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.15	0.17	1.4	0.5	4.2
15	C Sissons	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.11	0.19	1.2	1.2	3.7
16	N Dowd	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.10	0.15	1.1	1.3	3.3
17	K Korczak	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.03	0.08	0.7		3.0
18	K Kolesar	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.07	0.12	1.0	2.2	2.7
19	C Smith	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.08	0.11	0.9	2.8	2.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.