MIN @ DAL

NHL American Airlines Center ·{'default': 'Dallas'} · SOG MIN 29 · 28 DAL

6–1

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (DAL) / 10 (MIN) games this season

MIN away

home DAL

71% 29%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-2

MIN

Away

Metric

DAL

Home

46-36

Record

50-32

56%

Win %

61%

3.3

GF/G

3.4

2.9

GA/G

2.8

WLLLW

WWWWW

Team totals

MIN

DAL

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
M Boldy	2	1	3	8	2	2
J Eriksson Ek	2	1	3	5	2	1
K Kaprizov	1	2	3	2	2	3
M Zuccarello	0	3	3	1	2	2
R Hartman	1	1	2	1	2	2
Y Trenin	0	0	0	1	13	0

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
B Faber	1	4	1	0
Q Hughes	1	3	1	0
J Brodin	0	0	2	0
J Spurgeon	0	0	1	4
J Middleton	0	1	1	1
Z Bogosian	0	0	2	2

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
F Gustavsson	0	0		0
J Wallstedt	27	28	0.964	1

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
J Robertson	1	0	1	6	0	-1
W Johnston	0	1	1	4	3	-3
S Steel	0	0	0	0	3	-2
C Blackwell	0	0	0	1	3	-1
O Bäck	0	0	0	0	0	0
R Faksa	0	0	0	0	3	-1

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
M Heiskanen	1	-1	0	0
E Lindell	0	0	2	1
T Harley	0	-3	1	1
N Lundkvist	0	-2	2	1
L Bichsel	0	0	0	3
T Myers	0	-1	1	3

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
C DeSmith	0	0		0
J Oettinger	23	28	0.821	5

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-14) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	F Gustavsson	goal	MIN vs STL					6.8
2	V Tarasenko	forw	MIN vs STL	0.19	0.23	1.7	0.7	5.4
3	J Middleton	defe	MIN vs STL	0.05	0.12	0.9		4.9
4	J Spurgeon	defe	MIN vs STL	0.06	0.18	1.0		4.8
5	M Johansson	forw	MIN vs STL	0.14	0.19	1.4	0.8	4.2
6	Y Trenin	forw	MIN vs STL	0.11	0.15	1.4	4.0	3.8
7	M Kiersted	defe	MIN vs STL	0.04	0.13	1.0		3.6
8	J Petry	defe	MIN vs STL	0.05	0.13	0.8		3.5
9	R Fabbri	forw	MIN vs STL	0.12	0.10	1.3	2.1	3.4
10	B Brink	forw	MIN vs STL	0.11	0.16	1.1	0.8	3.4
11	N Aube-Kubel	forw	MIN vs STL	0.10	0.14	1.2	1.0	3.3
12	M McCarron	forw	MIN vs STL	0.09	0.14	1.2	1.2	3.3
13	D Hunt	defe	MIN vs STL	0.04	0.10	0.6		3.1
14	D Yurov	forw	MIN vs STL	0.09	0.14	1.1	1.1	3.1
15	N Foligno	forw	MIN vs STL	0.09	0.12	1.1	2.1	3.0
16	B Jones	forw	MIN vs STL	0.10	0.08	1.1	1.7	2.9
17	H Haight	forw	MIN vs STL	0.09	0.11	1.1	1.0	2.9
18	N Sturm	forw	MIN vs STL	0.08	0.10	0.9	1.4	2.5

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.