PIT @ PHI

NHL Xfinity Mobile Arena ·{'fr': 'Philadelphie', 'default': 'Philadelphia'} · SOG PIT 29 · 29 PHI

2–5

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (PHI) / 10 (PIT) games this season

PIT away

home PHI

45% 55%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 4-2

PIT

Away

Metric

PHI

Home

41-43

Record

45-39

49%

Win %

54%

3.5

GF/G

3.0

3.3

GA/G

2.9

LLLLL

WWWWW

Team totals

PIT

PHI

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
E Malkin	1	0	1	2	0	0
B Rust	0	1	1	3	2	-1
T Novak	0	1	1	1	2	-3
R Rakell	0	1	1	3	2	-1
S Crosby	0	1	1	3	1	-1
J Brazeau	0	0	0	0	2	0

Defense

Player	G	+/-	BLK	Hit
E Karlsson	1	-1	0	1
K Letang	0	-1	1	1
P Wotherspoon	0	-1	4	5
S Girard	0	-1	1	3
R Shea	0	0	1	0
C Clifton	0	-2	0	1

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Silovs	0	0		0
S Skinner	24	28	0.857	4

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
T Zegras	1	1	2	2	3	0
N Cates	1	1	2	3	1	1
S Couturier	0	2	2	3	2	2
O Tippett	1	0	1	1	11	1
P Martone	0	1	1	2	6	1
G Hathaway	0	0	0	1	4	1

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
T Sanheim	0	0	0	2	0
R Ristolainen	1	0	1	1	1
C York	0	0	1	1	1
J Drysdale	0	2	0	3	1
N Seeler	1	0	2	1	3
N Juulsen	0	2	2	1	2

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
D Vladar	27	29	0.931	2
S Ersson	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-14) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	P Martone	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.34	0.40	2.9	1.5	9.2
2	S Ersson	goal	PHI vs MTL					7.3
3	T Foerster	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.27	0.29	2.1	1.2	6.8
4	M Michkov	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.22	0.32	2.0	0.6	6.4
5	N Cates	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.18	0.25	2.0	1.7	5.7
6	N Seeler	defe	PHI vs MTL	0.04	0.12	0.8		4.4
7	D Barkey	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.13	0.23	1.3	1.0	4.3
8	A Bump	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.13	0.14	1.3	1.3	3.7
9	L Glendening	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.10	0.13	1.2	1.7	3.3
10	E Andrae	defe	PHI vs MTL	0.03	0.09	0.7		3.0
11	N Juulsen	defe	PHI vs MTL	0.04	0.09	0.7		2.9
12	C Grundstrom	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.10	0.08	1.1	2.6	2.8
13	J Gaucher	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.07	0.08	1.2	0.9	2.8
14	D.Jiricek	defe	PHI vs MTL	0.04	0.09	0.7		2.8
15	G Hathaway	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.08	0.09	0.9	3.8	2.5

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.