PHI @ PIT

NHL PPG Paints Arena ·{'default': 'Pittsburgh'} · SOG PHI 24 · 27 PIT

3–0

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (PIT) / 10 (PHI) games this season

PHI away

home PIT

54% 46%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-3

PHI

Away

Metric

PIT

Home

44-39

Record

41-42

53%

Win %

49%

3.0

GF/G

3.6

3.0

GA/G

3.3

WWWWL

LLLLW

Team totals

PHI

PIT

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
G Hathaway	1	1	2	1	7	2
P Martone	1	0	1	6	2	1
L Glendening	1	0	1	2	1	1
T Konecny	0	1	1	2	6	1
S Couturier	0	1	1	1	0	1
C Dvorak	0	1	1	2	0	1

Defense

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit
T Sanheim	3	2	0
R Ristolainen	2	1	5
C York	1	2	4
J Drysdale	0	2	2
N Seeler	0	4	4
N Juulsen	0	2	3

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
S Ersson	0	0		0
D Vladar	27	27	1.000	0

Player	SOG	Hit	+/-
S Crosby	4	3	-1
E Chinakhov	3	1	-2
N Acciari	2	2	0
B Rust	1	0	-1
B Lizotte	0	3	0
C Dewar	0	3	0

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit
E Karlsson	-1	1	0
K Letang	-2	2	1
P Wotherspoon	0	0	3
S Girard	0	1	0
R Shea	-1	1	1
C Clifton	-1	1	4

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
S Skinner	21	23	0.913	2
A Silovs	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-14) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	P Martone	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.34	0.40	2.9	1.5	9.2
2	S Ersson	goal	PHI vs MTL					7.3
3	T Foerster	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.27	0.29	2.1	1.2	6.8
4	M Michkov	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.22	0.32	2.0	0.6	6.4
5	N Cates	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.18	0.25	2.0	1.7	5.7
6	N Seeler	defe	PHI vs MTL	0.04	0.12	0.8		4.4
7	D Barkey	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.13	0.23	1.3	1.0	4.3
8	A Bump	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.13	0.14	1.3	1.3	3.7
9	L Glendening	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.10	0.13	1.2	1.7	3.3
10	E Andrae	defe	PHI vs MTL	0.03	0.09	0.7		3.0
11	N Juulsen	defe	PHI vs MTL	0.04	0.09	0.7		2.9
12	C Grundstrom	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.10	0.08	1.1	2.6	2.8
13	J Gaucher	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.07	0.08	1.2	0.9	2.8
14	D.Jiricek	defe	PHI vs MTL	0.04	0.09	0.7		2.8
15	G Hathaway	forw	PHI vs MTL	0.08	0.09	0.9	3.8	2.5

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.