CAR @ OTT
NHL
Canadian Tire Centre
·{'default': 'Ottawa'}
·
SOG CAR 27 · 22 OTT
2–1
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (OTT) / 10 (CAR) games this season
CAR
away
home
OTT
56%
44%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-4CAR
Away
Metric
OTT
Home
55-29
Record
44-40
65%
Win %
52%
3.6
GF/G
3.3
2.9
GA/G
3.0
WWWLW
L5
LLWLW
Team totals
CAR
OTT
27
Shots
22
30
Hits
45
17
Blocks
18
3
Takeaways
4
20
Giveaways
15
8
PIM
6
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Hall | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| J Blake | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| L Stankoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| E Robinson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| S Aho | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| S Jarvis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Slavin | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 |
| K Miller | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| J Chatfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S Walker | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| S Gostisbehere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| A Nikishin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Bussi | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| F Andersen | 21 | 22 | 0.955 | 1 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L Stankoven | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.35 | 0.36 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8.1 |
| 2 | N Ehlers | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.31 | 0.42 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 8.1 |
| 3 | J Blake | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.26 | 0.47 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 7.6 |
| 4 | S Gostisbehere | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.09 | 0.27 | 1.5 | 6.0 | |
| 5 | J Martinook | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.17 | 0.26 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4.9 |
| 6 | A Nikishin | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.05 | 0.20 | 1.1 | 4.7 | |
| 7 | S Brind'Amour | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.15 | 0.20 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4.1 |
| 8 | B Bussi | goal | CAR vs NYI | 4.1 | ||||
| 9 | M Reilly | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.06 | 0.13 | 1.1 | 4.0 | |
| 10 | C Legault | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.05 | 0.13 | 1.0 | 3.9 | |
| 11 | J Nystrom | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.05 | 0.16 | 1.0 | 3.7 | |
| 12 | B Nadeau | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.12 | 0.13 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 13 | M Jankowski | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 14 | E Robinson | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.11 | 0.12 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| 15 | J Kotkaniemi | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 16 | W Carrier | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 17 | N Deslauriers | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.