OTT @ CAR
NHL
Lenovo Center
·{'default': 'Raleigh'}
·
SOG OTT 39 · 49 CAR
2–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (CAR) / 10 (OTT) games this season
OTT
away
home
CAR
44%
56%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 3-1OTT
Away
Metric
CAR
Home
44-39
Record
54-29
53%
Win %
65%
3.3
GF/G
3.6
3.0
GA/G
2.9
LWLWW
L5
WWLWW
Team totals
OTT
CAR
39
Shots
49
52
Hits
43
26
Blocks
27
11
Takeaways
7
27
Giveaways
30
4
PIM
8
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Batherson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| D Cozens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| R Greig | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| B Tkachuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 |
| S Pinto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
| T Stützle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Sanderson | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| T Chabot | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0 |
| J Spence | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| N Matinpalo | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| D Gilbert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| L Thomson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Reimer | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| L Ullmark | 46 | 49 | 0.939 | 3 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L Stankoven | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.35 | 0.36 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8.1 |
| 2 | N Ehlers | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.31 | 0.42 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 8.1 |
| 3 | J Blake | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.26 | 0.47 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 7.6 |
| 4 | S Gostisbehere | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.09 | 0.27 | 1.5 | 6.0 | |
| 5 | J Martinook | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.17 | 0.26 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4.9 |
| 6 | A Nikishin | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.05 | 0.20 | 1.1 | 4.7 | |
| 7 | S Brind'Amour | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.15 | 0.20 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4.1 |
| 8 | B Bussi | goal | CAR vs NYI | 4.1 | ||||
| 9 | M Reilly | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.06 | 0.13 | 1.1 | 4.0 | |
| 10 | C Legault | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.05 | 0.13 | 1.0 | 3.9 | |
| 11 | J Nystrom | defe | CAR vs NYI | 0.05 | 0.16 | 1.0 | 3.7 | |
| 12 | B Nadeau | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.12 | 0.13 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 13 | M Jankowski | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 14 | E Robinson | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.11 | 0.12 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| 15 | J Kotkaniemi | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 16 | W Carrier | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 17 | N Deslauriers | forw | CAR vs NYI | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.