OTT @ CAR

NHL Lenovo Center ·{'default': 'Raleigh'} · SOG OTT 22 · 29 CAR

0–2

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (CAR) / 10 (OTT) games this season

OTT away

home CAR

42% 58%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-1

OTT

Away

Metric

CAR

Home

44-38

Record

53-29

54%

Win %

65%

3.4

GF/G

3.6

3.0

GA/G

2.9

WLWWW

Team totals

OTT

CAR

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	SOG	Hit	+/-
S Pinto	2	3	-2
T Stützle	4	1	0
D Batherson	3	4	0
F Zetterlund	0	3	-1
N Cousins	0	1	0
M Amadio	1	1	-1

Defense

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit
J Sanderson	0	3	2
T Chabot	-2	3	1
J Spence	-1	1	1
N Matinpalo	-1	0	1
D Gilbert	0	1	4
A Zub	0	0	3

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
L Ullmark	27	29	0.931	2
J Reimer	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
T Hall	1	1	2	5	2	2
L Stankoven	1	1	2	6	6	2
J Blake	0	2	2	0	0	2
E Robinson	0	0	0	0	4	0
M Jankowski	0	0	0	0	1	0
J Staal	0	0	0	2	4	0

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit
J Slavin	0	1	0
S Walker	0	1	5
S Gostisbehere	2	0	2
J Chatfield	0	1	1
K Miller	0	0	3
A Nikishin	2	1	1

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
B Bussi	0	0		0
F Andersen	22	22	1.000	0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-14) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	L Stankoven	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.35	0.36	2.2	0.7	8.1
2	N Ehlers	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.31	0.42	2.3	0.4	8.1
3	J Blake	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.26	0.47	2.0	0.2	7.6
4	S Gostisbehere	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.09	0.27	1.5		6.0
5	J Martinook	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.17	0.26	1.5	0.8	4.9
6	A Nikishin	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.05	0.20	1.1		4.7
7	S Brind'Amour	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.15	0.20	1.2	1.0	4.1
8	B Bussi	goal	CAR vs NYI					4.1
9	M Reilly	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.06	0.13	1.1		4.0
10	C Legault	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.05	0.13	1.0		3.9
11	J Nystrom	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.05	0.16	1.0		3.7
12	B Nadeau	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.12	0.13	1.1	1.8	3.4
13	M Jankowski	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.12	0.14	1.0	0.8	3.2
14	E Robinson	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.11	0.12	1.0	1.2	3.0
15	J Kotkaniemi	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.10	0.11	0.9	1.2	2.8
16	W Carrier	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.09	0.10	0.9	2.2	2.6
17	N Deslauriers	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.07	0.08	0.7	3.4	2.0

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.