NHL games

SEA @ COL

NHL Ball Arena ·{'default': 'Denver'} · SOG SEA 22 · 35 COL
02
Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (COL) / 10 (SEA) games this season
SEA away
home COL
33% 67%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-0
SEA
Away
Metric
COL
Home
34-47
Record
54-27
42%
Win %
67%
2.8
GF/G
3.7
3.2
GA/G
2.5
LLWWL
L5
WWLWW

Team totals

SEA
COL
22
Shots
35
22
Hits
12
19
Blocks
8
6
Takeaways
4
17
Giveaways
12
10
PIM
6

Box score

Forwards
PlayerGAPSOGHit+/-DK
C Stephenson0001005.85
M Beniers0000006.64
E Tolvanen0002304.38
R Winterton00001-24.82
B Catton0000103.9
J Nyman0001002.88
Defense
PlayerGA+/-BLKHitDK
B Montour000209.1
A Larsson00-1317.63
V Dunn00-1237.26
R Evans000324.78
R Lindgren00-1114.21
C Fleury00-1343.54
Goalie
PlayerSavesShotsSV%GA
V Ostman33350.9432
N Kokko000

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor
# Player Pos Team G A SOG Hit DK
1 C Makar defe COL vs SEA 0.20 0.88 2.8 11.9
2 B Nelson forw COL vs SEA 0.32 0.62 2.3 0.2 9.3
3 S Wedgewood goal COL vs SEA 9.2
4 B Montour defe SEA vs COL 0.18 0.35 2.4 9.1
5 S Malinski defe COL vs SEA 0.26 0.36 1.9 8.9
6 B McMann forw SEA vs COL 0.34 0.32 2.9 1.0 8.8
7 A Larsson defe SEA vs COL 0.23 0.26 1.5 7.6
8 V Nichushkin forw COL vs SEA 0.27 0.37 2.2 0.6 7.4
9 V Dunn defe SEA vs COL 0.13 0.26 1.7 7.3
10 D Toews defe COL vs SEA 0.10 0.35 1.8 7.2
11 A Lehkonen forw COL vs SEA 0.27 0.40 1.8 0.3 6.9
12 B Burns defe COL vs SEA 0.16 0.29 1.6 6.8
13 M Beniers forw SEA vs COL 0.22 0.39 1.9 0.1 6.6
14 J Eberle forw SEA vs COL 0.23 0.34 2.0 0.5 6.6
15 C Stephenson forw SEA vs COL 0.19 0.37 1.6 0.1 5.9
16 B Kulak defe COL vs SEA 0.09 0.26 1.4 5.9
17 P Kelly forw COL vs SEA 0.20 0.21 1.6 0.8 5.1
18 R Winterton forw SEA vs COL 0.16 0.16 1.8 1.7 4.8
19 R Evans defe SEA vs COL 0.03 0.16 0.9 4.8
20 N Roy forw COL vs SEA 0.16 0.25 1.4 0.8 4.7
21 F Gaudreau forw SEA vs COL 0.16 0.23 1.4 0.4 4.7
22 J Drury forw COL vs SEA 0.15 0.24 1.4 0.3 4.6
23 K Kakko forw SEA vs COL 0.16 0.27 1.3 0.5 4.6
24 E Tolvanen forw SEA vs COL 0.14 0.18 1.5 1.2 4.4
25 R Lindgren defe SEA vs COL 0.03 0.12 0.8 4.2

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.