VAN @ EDM
NHL
Rogers Place
·{'default': 'Edmonton'}
·
SOG VAN 12 · 35 EDM
1–6
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (EDM) / 10 (VAN) games this season
VAN
away
home
EDM
39%
61%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 2-1VAN
Away
Metric
EDM
Home
25-56
Record
40-41
31%
Win %
49%
2.7
GF/G
3.4
3.8
GA/G
3.3
WWWLL
L5
LLWLL
Team totals
VAN
EDM
12
Shots
35
14
Hits
21
19
Blocks
11
2
Takeaways
6
15
Giveaways
9
18
PIM
14
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Mueller | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.22 |
| C Douglas | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.88 |
| J DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.02 |
| L Ohgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4.86 |
| M Rossi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5.37 |
| L Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 4.7 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Hronek | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11.38 |
| Z Buium | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5.5 |
| M Pettersson | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 5.54 |
| K Kudryavtsev | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| T Willander | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 1 | 5.24 |
| E Pettersson | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 2 | 3.54 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Tolopilo | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| K Lankinen | 29 | 35 | 0.829 | 6 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C McDavid | forw | EDM vs VAN | 0.71 | 0.90 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 17.4 |
| 2 | F Hronek | defe | VAN vs EDM | 0.20 | 0.97 | 2.3 | 11.4 | |
| 3 | E Bouchard | defe | EDM vs VAN | 0.22 | 0.75 | 2.2 | 11.3 | |
| 4 | M Savoie | forw | EDM vs VAN | 0.38 | 0.48 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 9.7 |
| 5 | B Boeser | forw | VAN vs EDM | 0.36 | 0.46 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 9.0 |
| 6 | D Nurse | defe | EDM vs VAN | 0.23 | 0.27 | 1.7 | 8.8 | |
| 7 | C Ingram | goal | EDM vs VAN | 8.5 | ||||
| 8 | E Pettersson | forw | VAN vs EDM | 0.30 | 0.43 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 8.2 |
| 9 | R Nugent-Hopkins | forw | EDM vs VAN | 0.29 | 0.46 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 8.1 |
| 10 | J DeBrusk | forw | VAN vs EDM | 0.29 | 0.32 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 8.0 |
| 11 | Z Hyman | forw | EDM vs VAN | 0.31 | 0.44 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 8.0 |
| 12 | K Lankinen | goal | VAN vs EDM | 7.6 | ||||
| 13 | V Podkolzin | forw | EDM vs VAN | 0.27 | 0.32 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 7.0 |
| 14 | M Ekholm | defe | EDM vs VAN | 0.14 | 0.26 | 1.1 | 6.7 | |
| 15 | J Roslovic | forw | EDM vs VAN | 0.24 | 0.28 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6.4 |
| 16 | C Murphy | defe | EDM vs VAN | 0.06 | 0.24 | 1.1 | 5.9 | |
| 17 | M Pettersson | defe | VAN vs EDM | 0.06 | 0.23 | 1.0 | 5.5 | |
| 18 | Z Buium | defe | VAN vs EDM | 0.06 | 0.26 | 1.3 | 5.5 | |
| 19 | M Rossi | forw | VAN vs EDM | 0.20 | 0.28 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5.4 |
| 20 | D O'Connor | forw | VAN vs EDM | 0.19 | 0.23 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5.4 |
| 21 | T Willander | defe | VAN vs EDM | 0.05 | 0.20 | 1.1 | 5.2 | |
| 22 | T Blueger | forw | VAN vs EDM | 0.18 | 0.25 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5.1 |
| 23 | J Walman | defe | EDM vs VAN | 0.06 | 0.22 | 1.1 | 5.0 | |
| 24 | L Ohgren | forw | VAN vs EDM | 0.18 | 0.26 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 4.9 |
| 25 | K Kapanen | forw | EDM vs VAN | 0.17 | 0.22 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4.8 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.