LAK @ CGY

NHL Scotiabank Saddledome ·{'default': 'Calgary'} · SOG LAK 28 · 20 CGY

1–3

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (CGY) / 10 (LAK) games this season

LAK away

home CGY

58% 42%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-1

LAK

Away

Metric

CGY

Home

35-46

Record

33-48

43%

Win %

41%

2.8

GF/G

2.6

3.0

GA/G

3.2

LWWWW

LWLLL

Team totals

LAK

CGY

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
Q Byfield	1	0	1	2	0	0	10.75
T Moore	0	1	1	7	0	1	9.63
A Laferriere	0	1	1	2	1	0	11.53
M Joseph	0	0	0	1	1	-1	2.69
S Laughton	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.81
J Armia	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.87

Defense

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
D Doughty	0	1	3	7.96
M Anderson	0	2	2	6.35
B Clarke	0	3	0	7.56
C Ceci	0	3	0	4.62
J Edmundson	0	0	1	6.6
B Dumoulin	-1	1	0	4.21

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Forsberg	17	19	0.895	2
D Kuemper	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
M Frost	1	0	1	2	0	1	6.38
J Farabee	1	0	1	5	0	1	6.46
R Strome	0	1	1	0	0	0	4.87
M Coronato	0	1	1	2	2	0	7.65
M Gridin	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.62
M Backlund	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.91

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
O Maatta	0	0	0	4	0	7.84
Z Parekh	1	0	2	1	3	6.27
Z Whitecloud	0	2	2	6	3	6.93
H Brzustewicz	0	0	0	1	0	4.7
B Pachal	0	0	-1	4	0	4.18
A Wiebe	0	0	-1	0	1	2.89

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Sergeev	27	28	0.964	1
D Wolf	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	A Laferriere	forw	LAK vs CGY	0.45	0.61	3.1	2.5	11.5
2	A Kempe	forw	LAK vs CGY	0.48	0.57	3.0	0.8	11.5
3	Q Byfield	forw	LAK vs CGY	0.45	0.55	2.8	1.0	10.8
4	A Panarin	forw	LAK vs CGY	0.37	0.73	2.3	0.2	10.2
5	T Moore	forw	LAK vs CGY	0.38	0.51	2.6	0.9	9.6
6	B Coleman	forw	CGY vs LAK	0.37	0.41	2.8	1.6	9.4
7	A Kopitar	forw	LAK vs CGY	0.31	0.55	2.0	0.4	8.3
8	D Doughty	defe	LAK vs CGY	0.12	0.50	2.0		8.0
9	A Forsberg	goal	LAK vs CGY					7.9
10	O Maatta	defe	CGY vs LAK	0.07	0.56	1.5		7.8
11	M Coronato	forw	CGY vs LAK	0.27	0.45	2.1	0.4	7.7
12	B Clarke	defe	LAK vs CGY	0.07	0.38	1.5		7.6
13	Z Whitecloud	defe	CGY vs LAK	0.07	0.32	1.3		6.9
14	M Backlund	forw	CGY vs LAK	0.25	0.39	1.9	0.3	6.9
15	S Laughton	forw	LAK vs CGY	0.26	0.32	2.0	1.7	6.8
16	M Gridin	forw	CGY vs LAK	0.23	0.36	1.9	0.4	6.6
17	J Edmundson	defe	LAK vs CGY	0.09	0.39	1.4		6.6
18	J Farabee	forw	CGY vs LAK	0.25	0.32	1.8	0.3	6.5
19	M Frost	forw	CGY vs LAK	0.25	0.28	1.9	1.3	6.4
20	M Anderson	defe	LAK vs CGY	0.08	0.35	1.1		6.4
21	Z Parekh	defe	CGY vs LAK	0.08	0.28	1.5		6.3
22	J Armia	forw	LAK vs CGY	0.20	0.26	1.9	1.3	5.9
23	V Olofsson	forw	CGY vs LAK	0.18	0.24	1.7	0.4	5.2
24	Y Sharangovich	forw	CGY vs LAK	0.18	0.24	1.6	0.4	5.1
25	R Strome	forw	CGY vs LAK	0.19	0.21	1.5	0.6	4.9

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.