STL @ UTA

NHL Delta Center ·{'default': 'Salt Lake City'} · SOG STL 29 · 23 UTA

5–3

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (UTA) / 10 (STL) games this season

STL away

home UTA

35% 65%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-1

STL

Away

Metric

UTA

Home

36-45

Record

43-38

44%

Win %

53%

2.8

GF/G

3.3

3.1

GA/G

2.9

WWWLL

WLLWW

Team totals

STL

UTA

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
R Thomas	3	0	3	3	0	2
D Holloway	0	2	2	2	2	2
P Buchnevich	1	0	1	2	0	2
J Kyrou	0	1	1	2	0	2
P Suter	0	1	1	1	1	2
J Snuggerud	0	1	1	2	0	2

Defense

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
L Mailloux	1	0	3	1	1
P Broberg	0	1	3	1	0
T Tucker	0	0	-1	1	0
C Fowler	0	1	0	1	0
J Holl	0	0	-1	0	1
C Parayko	0	0	0	0	0

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Binnington	0	0		0
J Hofer	20	23	0.870	3

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
C Keller	0	2	2	1	0	-1
K Yamamoto	1	0	1	2	0	-1
L Crouse	1	0	1	2	4	-2
M Carcone	1	0	1	3	1	1
J Peterka	0	1	1	3	0	-1
B Tanev	0	0	0	1	4	0

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
J Marino	1	0	0	0
M Weegar	2	0	1	1
N DeSimone	0	-1	2	2
N Schmidt	0	0	0	0
I Cole	0	-1	2	0
D Simashev	0	0	1	2

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
V Vanecek	9	10	0.900	1
K Vejmelka	15	18	0.833	3

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-14) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	D Holloway	forw	STL vs MIN	0.48	0.62	3.3	1.2	12.1
2	J Snuggerud	forw	STL vs MIN	0.38	0.48	2.8	0.7	9.9
3	R Thomas	forw	STL vs MIN	0.36	0.60	2.2	0.4	9.4
4	J Hofer	goal	STL vs MIN					8.0
5	C Parayko	defe	STL vs MIN	0.11	0.34	1.7		7.6
6	P Broberg	defe	STL vs MIN	0.11	0.45	1.5		7.1
7	J Kyrou	forw	STL vs MIN	0.21	0.33	1.7	0.5	6.0
8	P Buchnevich	forw	STL vs MIN	0.22	0.34	1.6	0.4	6.0
9	L Mailloux	defe	STL vs MIN	0.07	0.29	1.3		5.9
10	J Neighbours	forw	STL vs MIN	0.18	0.29	1.6	1.2	5.4
11	C Fowler	defe	STL vs MIN	0.07	0.25	1.2		5.1
12	D Dvorsky	forw	STL vs MIN	0.17	0.24	1.4	0.5	4.8
13	J Drouin	forw	STL vs MIN	0.17	0.25	1.4	0.6	4.8
14	T Lindstein	defe	STL vs MIN	0.06	0.18	1.1		4.5
15	P Suter	forw	STL vs MIN	0.15	0.25	1.3	0.6	4.5
16	T Tucker	defe	STL vs MIN	0.05	0.19	0.9		4.0
17	A Toropchenko	forw	STL vs MIN	0.14	0.15	1.3	2.4	3.9
18	O Stenberg	forw	STL vs MIN	0.12	0.19	1.2	1.1	3.8
19	J Finley	forw	STL vs MIN	0.09	0.11	0.9	2.3	2.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.