SJS @ WPG
NHL
Canada Life Centre
·{'default': 'Winnipeg'}
·
SOG SJS 33 · 27 WPG
6–1
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (WPG) / 10 (SJS) games this season
SJS
away
home
WPG
34%
66%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 0-2SJS
Away
Metric
WPG
Home
38-43
Record
35-46
47%
Win %
43%
3.0
GF/G
2.8
3.6
GA/G
3.1
LWLLL
L5
LLLWW
Team totals
SJS
WPG
33
Shots
27
15
Hits
10
10
Blocks
7
7
Takeaways
4
10
Giveaways
15
16
PIM
8
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W Eklund | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5.57 |
| M Celebrini | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11.6 |
| W Smith | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7.11 |
| I Chernyshov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5.05 |
| C Graf | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5.14 |
| M Misa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3.45 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Mukhamadullin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4.75 |
| M Ferraro | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5.2 |
| S Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4.53 |
| J Klingberg | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4.57 |
| L Cagnoni | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — |
| D Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.86 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Nedeljkovic | 26 | 27 | 0.963 | 1 |
| Y Askarov | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M Scheifele | forw | WPG vs SJS | 0.35 | 1.05 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 12.1 |
| 2 | K Connor | forw | WPG vs SJS | 0.42 | 0.68 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 11.9 |
| 3 | M Celebrini | forw | SJS vs WPG | 0.40 | 0.74 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 11.6 |
| 4 | J Morrissey | defe | WPG vs SJS | 0.16 | 0.61 | 2.3 | 9.6 | |
| 5 | G Vilardi | forw | WPG vs SJS | 0.30 | 0.54 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 8.4 |
| 6 | E Comrie | goal | WPG vs SJS | 7.9 | ||||
| 7 | A Nedeljkovic | goal | SJS vs WPG | 7.2 | ||||
| 8 | W Smith | forw | SJS vs WPG | 0.24 | 0.45 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 7.1 |
| 9 | D Samberg | defe | WPG vs SJS | 0.09 | 0.30 | 1.6 | 6.9 | |
| 10 | D Orlov | defe | SJS vs WPG | 0.14 | 0.34 | 1.6 | 6.9 | |
| 11 | C Perfetti | forw | WPG vs SJS | 0.23 | 0.30 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6.1 |
| 12 | D DeMelo | defe | WPG vs SJS | 0.17 | 0.16 | 1.1 | 5.9 | |
| 13 | K Sherwood | forw | SJS vs WPG | 0.20 | 0.28 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 5.6 |
| 14 | W Eklund | forw | SJS vs WPG | 0.20 | 0.29 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5.6 |
| 15 | M Ferraro | defe | SJS vs WPG | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1.1 | 5.2 | |
| 16 | C Graf | forw | SJS vs WPG | 0.18 | 0.27 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5.1 |
| 17 | I Chernyshov | forw | SJS vs WPG | 0.19 | 0.22 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 5.1 |
| 18 | S Mukhamadullin | defe | SJS vs WPG | 0.06 | 0.17 | 1.1 | 4.8 | |
| 19 | A Lowry | forw | WPG vs SJS | 0.17 | 0.21 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 4.7 |
| 20 | V Heinola | defe | WPG vs SJS | 0.07 | 0.18 | 1.2 | 4.6 | |
| 21 | J Klingberg | defe | SJS vs WPG | 0.05 | 0.21 | 1.1 | 4.6 | |
| 22 | C Koepke | forw | WPG vs SJS | 0.16 | 0.17 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 4.5 |
| 23 | S Dickinson | defe | SJS vs WPG | 0.05 | 0.20 | 1.0 | 4.5 | |
| 24 | P Kurashev | forw | SJS vs WPG | 0.14 | 0.23 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4.3 |
| 25 | J Toews | forw | WPG vs SJS | 0.14 | 0.22 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 4.2 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.