ANA @ NSH
NHL
Bridgestone Arena
·{'default': 'Nashville'}
·
SOG ANA 40 · 21 NSH
5–4
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (NSH) / 10 (ANA) games this season
ANA
away
home
NSH
54%
46%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-1ANA
Away
Metric
NSH
Home
42-39
Record
38-43
52%
Win %
47%
3.3
GF/G
3.0
3.5
GA/G
3.3
LLWLL
L5
LWLWL
Team totals
ANA
NSH
40
Shots
21
16
Hits
10
11
Blocks
16
5
Takeaways
5
12
Giveaways
14
6
PIM
12
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Granlund | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8.25 |
| A Killorn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5.73 |
| T Terry | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10.02 |
| C Gauthier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8.5 |
| R Poehling | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5.33 |
| L Carlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9.65 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J LaCombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| J Trouba | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 7.28 |
| J Carlson | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9.4 |
| P Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.49 |
| T Hinds | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4.79 |
| T Luneau | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Husso | 17 | 21 | 0.810 | 4 |
| L Dostal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J Saros | goal | NSH vs ANA | 10.4 | ||||
| 2 | T Terry | forw | ANA vs NSH | 0.38 | 0.43 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 10.0 |
| 3 | L Carlsson | forw | ANA vs NSH | 0.38 | 0.42 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 9.7 |
| 4 | S Stamkos | forw | NSH vs ANA | 0.38 | 0.43 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 9.6 |
| 5 | J Carlson | defe | ANA vs NSH | 0.16 | 0.48 | 2.3 | 9.4 | |
| 6 | R O'Reilly | forw | NSH vs ANA | 0.28 | 0.65 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 8.8 |
| 7 | C Gauthier | forw | ANA vs NSH | 0.29 | 0.35 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 8.5 |
| 8 | J LaCombe | defe | ANA vs NSH | 0.16 | 0.50 | 1.8 | 8.3 | |
| 9 | M Granlund | forw | ANA vs NSH | 0.25 | 0.57 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 8.3 |
| 10 | F Forsberg | forw | NSH vs ANA | 0.32 | 0.46 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8.2 |
| 11 | V Husso | goal | ANA vs NSH | 8.1 | ||||
| 12 | B Sennecke | forw | ANA vs NSH | 0.25 | 0.37 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 7.6 |
| 13 | J Trouba | defe | ANA vs NSH | 0.10 | 0.33 | 1.7 | 7.3 | |
| 14 | C Kreider | forw | ANA vs NSH | 0.22 | 0.42 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 7.1 |
| 15 | L Evangelista | forw | NSH vs ANA | 0.23 | 0.30 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 6.5 |
| 16 | B Skjei | defe | NSH vs ANA | 0.09 | 0.26 | 1.3 | 6.4 | |
| 17 | T Jost | forw | NSH vs ANA | 0.23 | 0.28 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6.3 |
| 18 | A Killorn | forw | ANA vs NSH | 0.18 | 0.33 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5.7 |
| 19 | P Mintyukov | defe | ANA vs NSH | 0.06 | 0.23 | 1.3 | 5.5 | |
| 20 | R Poehling | forw | ANA vs NSH | 0.18 | 0.26 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 5.3 |
| 21 | N Perbix | defe | NSH vs ANA | 0.05 | 0.20 | 1.0 | 4.9 | |
| 22 | A Wilsby | defe | NSH vs ANA | 0.06 | 0.23 | 1.2 | 4.9 | |
| 23 | M McTavish | forw | ANA vs NSH | 0.16 | 0.21 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4.8 |
| 24 | T Hinds | defe | ANA vs NSH | 0.05 | 0.17 | 1.2 | 4.8 | |
| 25 | Z L'Heureux | forw | NSH vs ANA | 0.17 | 0.18 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 4.6 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.