SEA @ VGK

NHL T-Mobile Arena ·{'default': 'Paradise'} · SOG SEA 23 · 26 VGK

1–4

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (VGK) / 10 (SEA) games this season

SEA away

home VGK

37% 63%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 0-3

SEA

Away

Metric

VGK

Home

34-46

Record

38-43

42%

Win %

47%

2.8

GF/G

3.2

GA/G

3.1

LWWLL

WWLWW

Team totals

SEA

VGK

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
S Wright	1	0	1	1	1	0
J Nyman	0	1	1	1	1	-1
M Beniers	0	0	0	0	0	-1
E Tolvanen	0	0	0	2	3	0
R Winterton	0	0	0	4	2	-1
B Catton	0	0	0	1	0	0

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
A Larsson	0	-1	0	2
B Montour	0	-1	1	5
J Mahura	0	0	2	2
V Dunn	0	-1	1	0
J Oleksiak	1	-1	1	2
R Evans	0	-2	0	1

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
N Kokko	22	26	0.846	4
V Ostman	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
R Smith	2	1	3	5	0	2
J Eichel	0	2	2	4	0	3
M Marner	1	0	1	2	0	1
T Hertl	0	1	1	1	2	0
N Dowd	0	1	1	0	2	1
P Dorofeyev	0	0	0	3	0	0

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
N Hanifin	0	0	1	2	0
R Andersson	0	1	1	2	0
B McNabb	0	1	2	3	0
S Theodore	1	0	2	1	0
J Lauzon	0	0	0	0	4
K Korczak	0	1	0	0	5

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Hill	0	0		0
C Hart	22	23	0.957	1

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-14) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	J Eichel	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.41	0.62	2.9	0.5	10.9
2	M Marner	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.38	0.58	2.6	0.4	10.0
3	B McMann	forw	SEA vs LAK	0.37	0.38	3.0	1.5	9.6
4	B Montour	defe	SEA vs LAK	0.19	0.38	2.6		9.3
5	M Stone	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.35	0.50	2.3	0.8	8.9
6	P Dorofeyev	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.31	0.42	2.6	0.4	8.6
7	M Beniers	forw	SEA vs LAK	0.27	0.43	2.2	0.5	7.8
8	R Andersson	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.13	0.32	1.9		7.6
9	J Eberle	forw	SEA vs LAK	0.29	0.39	2.0	0.9	7.5
10	A Larsson	defe	SEA vs LAK	0.09	0.33	1.8		7.2
11	I Barbashev	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.26	0.36	2.1	1.7	7.1
12	C Stephenson	forw	SEA vs LAK	0.28	0.44	1.6	0.3	7.0
13	V Dunn	defe	SEA vs LAK	0.09	0.35	1.7		6.9
14	C Hart	goal	VGK vs WPG					6.9
15	N Hanifin	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.09	0.31	1.6		6.4
16	S Theodore	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.08	0.29	1.5		5.8
17	T Hertl	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.18	0.25	1.9	1.1	5.7
18	B McNabb	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.06	0.22	1.3		5.6
19	F Gaudreau	forw	SEA vs LAK	0.19	0.24	1.5	0.6	5.1
20	J Lauzon	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.08	0.22	1.3		5.1
21	K Kakko	forw	SEA vs LAK	0.17	0.28	1.4	0.6	4.9
22	R Evans	defe	SEA vs LAK	0.04	0.20	0.9		4.8
23	B Howden	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.15	0.22	1.5	1.4	4.6
24	B Catton	forw	SEA vs LAK	0.15	0.23	1.4	0.4	4.6
25	E Tolvanen	forw	SEA vs LAK	0.15	0.18	1.5	1.6	4.4

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.