SJS @ CHI
NHL
United Center
·{'default': 'Chicago'}
·
SOG SJS 17 · 24 CHI
2–5
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (CHI) / 10 (SJS) games this season
SJS
away
home
CHI
48%
52%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-1SJS
Away
Metric
CHI
Home
38-42
Record
28-53
48%
Win %
35%
3.0
GF/G
2.6
3.6
GA/G
3.4
WLLLW
L5
LLLLW
Team totals
SJS
CHI
17
Shots
24
26
Hits
13
10
Blocks
14
8
Takeaways
3
15
Giveaways
11
6
PIM
8
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Sherwood | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| M Misa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| W Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| A Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L Cagnoni | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 |
| V Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| M Ferraro | 1 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 1 |
| D Orlov | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 2 |
| S Mukhamadullin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| S Dickinson | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 3 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Nedeljkovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Y Askarov | 19 | 24 | 0.792 | 5 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M Celebrini | forw | SJS vs NSH | 0.42 | 0.74 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 12.2 |
| 2 | C Bedard | forw | CHI vs BUF | 0.41 | 0.56 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 11.0 |
| 3 | A Frondell | forw | CHI vs BUF | 0.35 | 0.47 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 9.4 |
| 4 | S Knight | goal | CHI vs BUF | 8.6 | ||||
| 5 | F Nazar | forw | CHI vs BUF | 0.33 | 0.36 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 8.1 |
| 6 | T Bertuzzi | forw | CHI vs BUF | 0.30 | 0.42 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.7 |
| 7 | A Wennberg | forw | SJS vs NSH | 0.29 | 0.47 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 7.6 |
| 8 | W Smith | forw | SJS vs NSH | 0.25 | 0.46 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 7.5 |
| 9 | D Orlov | defe | SJS vs NSH | 0.14 | 0.43 | 1.7 | 7.3 | |
| 10 | A Nedeljkovic | goal | SJS vs NSH | 7.0 | ||||
| 11 | I Mikheyev | forw | CHI vs BUF | 0.27 | 0.34 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 6.9 |
| 12 | W Eklund | forw | SJS vs NSH | 0.20 | 0.31 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 6.1 |
| 13 | L Crevier | defe | CHI vs BUF | 0.07 | 0.27 | 1.3 | 5.8 | |
| 14 | C Graf | forw | SJS vs NSH | 0.19 | 0.28 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5.8 |
| 15 | K Sherwood | forw | SJS vs NSH | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 5.6 |
| 16 | A Vlasic | defe | CHI vs BUF | 0.06 | 0.26 | 1.2 | 5.5 | |
| 17 | M Ferraro | defe | SJS vs NSH | 0.05 | 0.22 | 1.1 | 5.4 | |
| 18 | R Greene | forw | CHI vs BUF | 0.19 | 0.27 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5.3 |
| 19 | W Kaiser | defe | CHI vs BUF | 0.06 | 0.27 | 1.2 | 5.3 | |
| 20 | T Toffoli | forw | SJS vs NSH | 0.16 | 0.24 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 5.1 |
| 21 | S Rinzel | defe | CHI vs BUF | 0.06 | 0.19 | 1.2 | 5.1 | |
| 22 | R Donato | forw | CHI vs BUF | 0.18 | 0.22 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 5.0 |
| 23 | T Teravainen | forw | CHI vs BUF | 0.18 | 0.26 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 5.0 |
| 24 | V Desharnais | defe | SJS vs NSH | 0.04 | 0.21 | 1.1 | 4.9 | |
| 25 | S Dickinson | defe | SJS vs NSH | 0.05 | 0.20 | 1.2 | 4.7 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.