NHL games

SJS @ CHI

NHL United Center ·{'default': 'Chicago'} · SOG SJS 17 · 24 CHI
25
Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (CHI) / 10 (SJS) games this season
SJS away
home CHI
48% 52%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-1
SJS
Away
Metric
CHI
Home
38-42
Record
28-53
48%
Win %
35%
3.0
GF/G
2.6
3.6
GA/G
3.4
WLLLW
L5
LLLLW

Team totals

SJS
CHI
17
Shots
24
26
Hits
13
10
Blocks
14
8
Takeaways
3
15
Giveaways
11
6
PIM
8

Box score

Forwards
PlayerGAPSOGHit+/-
K Sherwood022060
M Misa101210
W Smith00000-2
A Wennberg000000
B Goodrow000000
C Graf00013-1
Defense
PlayerGA+/-BLKHit
L Cagnoni00-112
V Desharnais00022
M Ferraro10-311
D Orlov01-202
S Mukhamadullin00011
S Dickinson00-213
Goalie
PlayerSavesShotsSV%GA
A Nedeljkovic000
Y Askarov19240.7925

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game () · per-position MultiOutput regressor
# Player Pos Team G A SOG Hit DK
1 M Celebrini forw SJS vs NSH 0.42 0.74 3.3 0.8 12.2
2 C Bedard forw CHI vs BUF 0.41 0.56 3.1 0.3 11.0
3 A Frondell forw CHI vs BUF 0.35 0.47 2.7 0.9 9.4
4 S Knight goal CHI vs BUF 8.6
5 F Nazar forw CHI vs BUF 0.33 0.36 2.4 0.9 8.1
6 T Bertuzzi forw CHI vs BUF 0.30 0.42 2.0 1.0 7.7
7 A Wennberg forw SJS vs NSH 0.29 0.47 1.9 0.4 7.6
8 W Smith forw SJS vs NSH 0.25 0.46 2.1 0.6 7.5
9 D Orlov defe SJS vs NSH 0.14 0.43 1.7 7.3
10 A Nedeljkovic goal SJS vs NSH 7.0
11 I Mikheyev forw CHI vs BUF 0.27 0.34 1.9 0.6 6.9
12 W Eklund forw SJS vs NSH 0.20 0.31 1.9 1.5 6.1
13 L Crevier defe CHI vs BUF 0.07 0.27 1.3 5.8
14 C Graf forw SJS vs NSH 0.19 0.28 1.9 1.3 5.8
15 K Sherwood forw SJS vs NSH 0.19 0.26 1.8 3.7 5.6
16 A Vlasic defe CHI vs BUF 0.06 0.26 1.2 5.5
17 M Ferraro defe SJS vs NSH 0.05 0.22 1.1 5.4
18 R Greene forw CHI vs BUF 0.19 0.27 1.6 0.8 5.3
19 W Kaiser defe CHI vs BUF 0.06 0.27 1.2 5.3
20 T Toffoli forw SJS vs NSH 0.16 0.24 1.7 0.5 5.1
21 S Rinzel defe CHI vs BUF 0.06 0.19 1.2 5.1
22 R Donato forw CHI vs BUF 0.18 0.22 1.6 0.6 5.0
23 T Teravainen forw CHI vs BUF 0.18 0.26 1.5 0.6 5.0
24 V Desharnais defe SJS vs NSH 0.04 0.21 1.1 4.9
25 S Dickinson defe SJS vs NSH 0.05 0.20 1.2 4.7

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.