DET @ FLA

NHL Amerant Bank Arena ·{'default': 'Sunrise'} · SOG DET 26 · 28 FLA

1–8

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (FLA) / 10 (DET) games this season

DET away

home FLA

54% 46%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-1

DET

Away

Metric

FLA

Home

41-40

Record

39-42

51%

Win %

48%

3.0

GF/G

3.0

3.1

GA/G

3.4

LLWLL

WWLLL

Team totals

DET

FLA

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
A DeBrincat	1	1	1	0	-1
J Compher	0	0	1	0	-2
D Perron	0	0	1	1	-1
P Kane	0	0	2	0	-3
M Kasper	0	0	2	2	-2
E Finnie	0	0	0	1	0

Defense

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
J Faulk	1	0	-1	0	0
B Chiarot	0	1	-1	1	0
T Hamonic	0	0	-1	0	5
M Seider	0	0	-4	1	0
A Sandin-Pellikka	0	0	0	1	1
A Johansson	0	0	-2	0	0

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
C Talbot	9	13	0.692	4
J Gibson	11	15	0.733	4

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
L Kunin	2	1	3	5	2	2
C Reinhardt	1	1	2	3	2	2
M Tkachuk	0	2	2	0	0	1
W Skoog	0	2	2	2	0	2
A Greer	1	0	1	1	4	1
V Hinostroza	1	0	1	2	0	2

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK
M Benning	2	0	2	3
M Alscher	0	2	1	3
T Bjornfot	0	0	2	0
D Sebrango	0	1	3	1
M Hovorka	0	1	2	1
L Jansson	0	1	2	2

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
D Tarasov	25	26	0.962	1
S Bobrovsky	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-13) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	M Seider	defe	DET vs TBL	0.22	0.89	2.1		11.8
2	D Larkin	forw	DET vs TBL	0.44	0.58	3.1	1.0	11.3
3	A DeBrincat	forw	DET vs TBL	0.41	0.53	3.1	0.5	10.7
4	C Talbot	goal	DET vs TBL					10.3
5	P Kane	forw	DET vs TBL	0.35	0.51	2.4	0.5	9.1
6	L Raymond	forw	DET vs TBL	0.29	0.45	2.2	0.7	8.0
7	G Forsling	defe	FLA vs NYR	0.13	0.40	1.9		8.0
8	D Tarasov	goal	FLA vs NYR					7.0
9	S Edvinsson	defe	DET vs TBL	0.10	0.28	1.4		7.0
10	J Faulk	defe	DET vs TBL	0.10	0.25	1.4		6.6
11	E Luostarinen	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.22	0.35	1.9	0.7	6.5
12	A Copp	forw	DET vs TBL	0.23	0.40	1.6	0.8	6.4
13	A Greer	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.23	0.27	1.9	1.8	6.1
14	M Samoskevich	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.23	0.25	2.0	1.2	6.1
15	J Compher	forw	DET vs TBL	0.20	0.31	1.5	0.3	5.5
16	B Chiarot	defe	DET vs TBL	0.06	0.15	1.0		4.9
17	E Finnie	forw	DET vs TBL	0.16	0.23	1.4	1.6	4.6
18	J Boqvist	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.16	0.18	1.5	1.2	4.6
19	D Sebrango	defe	FLA vs NYR	0.05	0.18	1.1		4.5
20	M Benning	defe	FLA vs NYR	0.04	0.15	0.9		4.0
21	N Gregor	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.13	0.14	1.4	1.0	3.9
22	D Perron	forw	DET vs TBL	0.14	0.16	1.3	1.5	3.9
23	A Johansson	defe	DET vs TBL	0.05	0.14	0.8		3.7
24	V Hinostroza	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.11	0.17	1.3	0.7	3.7
25	A Sandin-Pellikka	defe	DET vs TBL	0.06	0.16	0.8		3.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.