NYR @ TBL

NHL Benchmark International Arena ·{'default': 'Tampa'} · SOG NYR 21 · 31 TBL

4–2

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (TBL) / 10 (NYR) games this season

NYR away

home TBL

51% 49%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-1

NYR

Away

Metric

TBL

Home

33-48

Record

50-31

41%

Win %

62%

2.9

GF/G

3.6

3.1

GA/G

2.8

LLLWW

WWLLL

Team totals

NYR

TBL

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
T Kartye	2	1	3	3	2	1
M Zibanejad	1	1	2	3	0	1
J Miller	0	2	2	2	0	0
G Perreault	1	0	1	3	0	1
A Lafrenière	0	1	1	1	0	1
C Sheary	0	1	1	2	0	-1

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
V Gavrikov	1	0	2	0
A Fox	0	0	1	0
B Schneider	0	-1	1	1
M Robertson	0	2	1	2
W Borgen	0	1	4	1
D Fortescue	0	0	1	0

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
D Garand	29	31	0.935	2
I Shesterkin	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
C Perry	1	0	1	4	0	1
O Bjorkstrand	1	0	1	2	2	1
M Chaffee	0	1	1	0	5	0
S Sabourin	0	1	1	1	2	1
Z Girgensons	0	1	1	0	1	1
N Paul	0	0	0	3	0	-1

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
C D'Astous	0	-1	0	1
D Raddysh	0	-1	2	1
D Carlile	0	-2	0	0
M Crozier	0	0	0	1
E Lilleberg	1	1	1	0
S Santini	0	0	1	1

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
B Halverson	17	21	0.810	4
A Vasilevskiy	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-13) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	J Guentzel	forw	TBL vs DET	0.40	0.69	3.0	0.9	11.3
2	N Kucherov	forw	TBL vs DET	0.38	0.61	2.6	0.5	10.2
3	M Zibanejad	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.40	0.53	2.6	0.7	9.9
4	A Fox	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.14	0.69	2.2		9.8
5	A Vasilevskiy	goal	TBL vs DET					9.4
6	A Lafrenière	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.32	0.43	2.3	0.2	8.3
7	J Miller	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.30	0.50	2.1	0.8	8.2
8	B Point	forw	TBL vs DET	0.29	0.44	2.2	0.4	7.9
9	J Quick	goal	NYR vs FLA					7.6
10	A Cirelli	forw	TBL vs DET	0.28	0.35	1.9	0.9	7.0
11	V Trocheck	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.26	0.39	1.6	1.9	6.6
12	V Gavrikov	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.09	0.35	1.4		6.3
13	W Cuylle	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.24	0.24	1.9	3.0	6.1
14	B Schneider	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.07	0.27	1.3		6.1
15	G Goncalves	forw	TBL vs DET	0.20	0.32	1.7	1.2	5.8
16	C D'Astous	defe	TBL vs DET	0.07	0.31	1.4		5.7
17	G Perreault	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.20	0.27	1.6	0.4	5.4
18	J Moser	defe	TBL vs DET	0.06	0.27	1.2		5.2
19	Y Gourde	forw	TBL vs DET	0.18	0.20	1.7	1.9	5.1
20	R McDonagh	defe	TBL vs DET	0.05	0.23	1.0		5.0
21	E Lilleberg	defe	TBL vs DET	0.06	0.22	1.2		4.9
22	M Robertson	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.06	0.23	1.2		4.8
23	C Sheary	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.18	0.21	1.4	0.4	4.7
24	W Borgen	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.06	0.23	0.9		4.6
25	C Perry	forw	TBL vs DET	0.17	0.19	1.4	0.5	4.5

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.