PIT @ STL

NHL Enterprise Center ·{'default': 'St. Louis'} · SOG PIT 23 · 31 STL

5–7

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (STL) / 10 (PIT) games this season

PIT away

home STL

53% 47%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 0-1

PIT

Away

Metric

STL

Home

41-40

Record

35-45

51%

Win %

44%

3.6

GF/G

2.7

3.2

GA/G

3.1

LLWWW

WWLLW

Team totals

PIT

STL

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
A Hayes	2	0	2	3	2	1
A Mantha	1	1	2	3	0	-1
K Hayes	0	2	2	2	0	3
R McGroarty	1	0	1	1	0	0
E Soderblom	1	0	1	1	1	-1
B Kindel	0	1	1	1	0	0

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
J Livanavage	0	-2	1	0
R Shea	1	0	0	0
J St. Ivany	0	-1	0	4
C Clifton	0	0	1	1
I Solovyov	0	0	1	2
R Graves	0	0	1	5

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
S Skinner	17	21	0.810	4
A Silovs	7	9	0.778	2

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
J Snuggerud	2	2	4	3	1	2
D Holloway	2	1	3	5	1	2
R Thomas	0	2	2	1	0	2
J Neighbours	0	2	2	1	2	0
O Sundqvist	1	0	1	1	4	0
P Buchnevich	1	0	1	2	0	-1

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
C Parayko	0	0	0	3	1
C Fowler	0	0	0	2	0
P Broberg	0	1	3	0	0
L Mailloux	1	1	1	1	0
T Tucker	0	0	0	0	0
M Kessel	0	0	-1	4	2

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Hofer	0	0		0
J Binnington	18	23	0.783	5

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-14) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	D Holloway	forw	STL vs MIN	0.48	0.62	3.3	1.2	12.1
2	J Snuggerud	forw	STL vs MIN	0.38	0.48	2.8	0.7	9.9
3	R Thomas	forw	STL vs MIN	0.36	0.60	2.2	0.4	9.4
4	J Hofer	goal	STL vs MIN					8.0
5	C Parayko	defe	STL vs MIN	0.11	0.34	1.7		7.6
6	P Broberg	defe	STL vs MIN	0.11	0.45	1.5		7.1
7	J Kyrou	forw	STL vs MIN	0.21	0.33	1.7	0.5	6.0
8	P Buchnevich	forw	STL vs MIN	0.22	0.34	1.6	0.4	6.0
9	L Mailloux	defe	STL vs MIN	0.07	0.29	1.3		5.9
10	J Neighbours	forw	STL vs MIN	0.18	0.29	1.6	1.2	5.4
11	C Fowler	defe	STL vs MIN	0.07	0.25	1.2		5.1
12	D Dvorsky	forw	STL vs MIN	0.17	0.24	1.4	0.5	4.8
13	J Drouin	forw	STL vs MIN	0.17	0.25	1.4	0.6	4.8
14	T Lindstein	defe	STL vs MIN	0.06	0.18	1.1		4.5
15	P Suter	forw	STL vs MIN	0.15	0.25	1.3	0.6	4.5
16	T Tucker	defe	STL vs MIN	0.05	0.19	0.9		4.0
17	A Toropchenko	forw	STL vs MIN	0.14	0.15	1.3	2.4	3.9
18	O Stenberg	forw	STL vs MIN	0.12	0.19	1.2	1.1	3.8
19	J Finley	forw	STL vs MIN	0.09	0.11	0.9	2.3	2.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.