COL @ CGY

NHL Scotiabank Saddledome ·{'default': 'Calgary'} · SOG COL 38 · 31 CGY

3–1

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (CGY) / 10 (COL) games this season

COL away

home CGY

61% 39%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 0-2

COL

Away

Metric

CGY

Home

53-27

Record

33-47

66%

Win %

41%

3.7

GF/G

2.6

2.5

GA/G

3.2

WLWWL

WLLLW

Team totals

COL

CGY

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
G Landeskog	1	0	1	5	2	2
A Lehkonen	1	0	1	3	0	0
N MacKinnon	1	0	1	4	0	2
M Necas	0	1	1	5	1	2
V Nichushkin	0	0	0	1	0	0
P Kelly	0	0	0	1	0	0

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
C Makar	3	2	0	0
B Kulak	1	1	1	1
S Malinski	1	1	2	1
B Burns	0	0	1	0
N Blankenburg	0	0	0	1
J Ahcan	0	0	0	0

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
S Wedgewood	0	0		0
M Blackwood	30	31	0.968	1

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
B Coleman	1	0	1	4	2	-1
M Backlund	0	1	1	2	0	-1
R Kerins	0	0	0	0	1	0
M Frost	0	0	0	2	2	-1
Y Sharangovich	0	0	0	3	0	-1
A Suniev	0	0	0	4	0	-1

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit
O Maatta	-1	2	0
H Brzustewicz	0	0	2
Z Parekh	-3	1	0
B Pachal	1	1	1
A Wiebe	1	0	1
Z Whitecloud	-1	3	1

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
D Cooley	0	0		0
D Wolf	35	37	0.946	2

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2026-04-14) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	N MacKinnon	forw	COL vs EDM	0.44	0.67	3.5	1.0	12.3
2	M Necas	forw	COL vs EDM	0.41	0.61	2.6	0.8	10.4
3	S Wedgewood	goal	COL vs EDM					9.0
4	B Nelson	forw	COL vs EDM	0.30	0.49	2.1	0.4	8.2
5	S Malinski	defe	COL vs EDM	0.13	0.35	1.7		7.3
6	V Nichushkin	forw	COL vs EDM	0.22	0.36	2.0	0.8	6.7
7	D Toews	defe	COL vs EDM	0.08	0.31	1.4		6.3
8	B Burns	defe	COL vs EDM	0.12	0.28	1.5		6.2
9	B Kulak	defe	COL vs EDM	0.07	0.26	1.3		5.6
10	G Landeskog	forw	COL vs EDM	0.17	0.22	1.7	1.3	5.0
11	P Kelly	forw	COL vs EDM	0.16	0.18	1.5	0.9	4.5
12	N Roy	forw	COL vs EDM	0.14	0.20	1.4	0.9	4.3
13	J Drury	forw	COL vs EDM	0.14	0.19	1.4	1.0	4.2
14	J Ahcan	defe	COL vs EDM	0.04	0.20	0.7		3.5
15	R Colton	forw	COL vs EDM	0.12	0.12	1.1	1.6	3.3
16	N Blankenburg	defe	COL vs EDM	0.04	0.10	0.7		3.1
17	L O'Connor	forw	COL vs EDM	0.09	0.14	0.9	1.1	2.9
18	J Kiviranta	forw	COL vs EDM	0.07	0.12	0.9	1.0	2.5
19	Z Bardakov	forw	COL vs EDM	0.07	0.11	0.7	0.8	2.3

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.