NHL games

WPG @ UTA

NHL Delta Center ·{'default': 'Salt Lake City'} · SOG WPG 24 · 36 UTA
35
Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (UTA) / 10 (WPG) games this season
WPG away
home UTA
33% 67%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-0
WPG
Away
Metric
UTA
Home
35-45
Record
42-38
44%
Win %
52%
2.8
GF/G
3.3
3.1
GA/G
2.9
LLWWW
L5
LLWWW

Team totals

WPG
UTA
24
Shots
36
17
Hits
19
15
Blocks
8
3
Takeaways
6
14
Giveaways
18
10
PIM
6

Box score

Forwards
PlayerGAPSOGHit+/-
M Scheifele11220-1
K Connor11262-1
G Vilardi022100
I Rosen10110-1
B Yager000100
C Koepke000040
Defense
PlayerGA+/-BLKHit
J Morrissey00-220
D Samberg00-102
D DeMelo00012
J Bryson00-122
C Miller00021
V Heinola00101
Goalie
PlayerSavesShotsSV%GA
C Hellebuyck000
E Comrie31350.8864

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game () · per-position MultiOutput regressor
# Player Pos Team G A SOG Hit DK
1 M Scheifele forw WPG vs VGK 0.32 0.84 2.3 0.5 10.4
2 K Connor forw WPG vs VGK 0.35 0.60 2.7 0.7 10.0
3 J Morrissey defe WPG vs VGK 0.17 0.59 2.1 9.2
4 C Hellebuyck goal WPG vs VGK 8.2
5 G Vilardi forw WPG vs VGK 0.25 0.44 1.8 0.4 7.1
6 D Samberg defe WPG vs VGK 0.07 0.24 1.4 6.5
7 C Perfetti forw WPG vs VGK 0.20 0.29 1.7 1.2 5.7
8 N Chibrikov forw WPG vs VGK 0.38 0.08 1.0 1.4 5.1
9 D DeMelo defe WPG vs VGK 0.05 0.19 1.1 4.8
10 C Miller defe WPG vs VGK 0.08 0.14 1.0 4.3
11 C Koepke forw WPG vs VGK 0.14 0.14 1.6 2.4 4.3
12 A Lowry forw WPG vs VGK 0.14 0.19 1.3 2.8 4.1
13 J Toews forw WPG vs VGK 0.10 0.17 1.2 0.4 3.5
14 H Fleury defe WPG vs VGK 0.03 0.08 0.6 3.4
15 N Niederreiter forw WPG vs VGK 0.10 0.14 1.1 1.0 3.3
16 B Lambert forw WPG vs VGK 0.11 0.10 1.1 1.7 3.1
17 J Bryson defe WPG vs VGK 0.03 0.11 0.6 2.8
18 I Rosen forw WPG vs VGK 0.06 0.10 0.8 0.7 2.2

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.