ANA @ MIN
NHL
Grand Casino Arena
·{'default': 'St. Paul'}
·
SOG ANA 37 · 20 MIN
2–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (MIN) / 10 (ANA) games this season
ANA
away
home
MIN
53%
47%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 2-0ANA
Away
Metric
MIN
Home
42-38
Record
45-36
52%
Win %
56%
3.3
GF/G
3.3
3.5
GA/G
2.9
LWLLL
L5
LLLWW
Team totals
ANA
MIN
37
Shots
20
16
Hits
25
7
Blocks
16
4
Takeaways
8
27
Giveaways
10
2
PIM
8
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M McTavish | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| C Gauthier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 |
| M Granlund | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| R Poehling | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 |
| A Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| T Terry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J LaCombe | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 |
| J Carlson | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| J Trouba | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 |
| T Hinds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| D Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| I Moore | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L Dostal | 17 | 20 | 0.850 | 3 |
| V Husso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F Gustavsson | goal | MIN vs STL | 6.8 | ||||
| 2 | V Tarasenko | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.19 | 0.23 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5.4 |
| 3 | J Middleton | defe | MIN vs STL | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.9 | 4.9 | |
| 4 | J Spurgeon | defe | MIN vs STL | 0.06 | 0.18 | 1.0 | 4.8 | |
| 5 | M Johansson | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.14 | 0.19 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 4.2 |
| 6 | Y Trenin | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.11 | 0.15 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| 7 | M Kiersted | defe | MIN vs STL | 0.04 | 0.13 | 1.0 | 3.6 | |
| 8 | J Petry | defe | MIN vs STL | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.8 | 3.5 | |
| 9 | R Fabbri | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.12 | 0.10 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| 10 | B Brink | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.11 | 0.16 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 3.4 |
| 11 | N Aube-Kubel | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3.3 |
| 12 | M McCarron | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.09 | 0.14 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| 13 | D Hunt | defe | MIN vs STL | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.6 | 3.1 | |
| 14 | D Yurov | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.09 | 0.14 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| 15 | N Foligno | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.09 | 0.12 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.0 |
| 16 | B Jones | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.10 | 0.08 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| 17 | H Haight | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.9 |
| 18 | N Sturm | forw | MIN vs STL | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.5 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.