WSH @ CBJ

NHL Nationwide Arena ·{'default': 'Columbus'} · SOG WSH 21 · 28 CBJ

2–1

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (CBJ) / 10 (WSH) games this season

WSH away

home CBJ

39% 61%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 0-3

WSH

Away

Metric

CBJ

Home

42-39

Record

40-41

52%

Win %

49%

3.2

GF/G

3.1

3.0

GA/G

3.1

WWWLW

LWLWL

Team totals

WSH

CBJ

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
A Beauvillier	1	0	1	3	0	0	5.62
A Ovechkin	0	1	1	4	1	-1	9.19
T Wilson	0	1	1	2	0	0	8.04
R Leonard	0	0	0	2	2	1	6.62
D Strome	0	0	0	2	0	-1	6.38
A Protas	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.2

Defense

Player	G	A	BLK	Hit	DK
J Chychrun	1	0	0	0	7.5
T van Riemsdyk	0	1	2	0	5.33
M Roy	0	0	1	0	5.46
C Hutson	0	0	1	3	6.43
M Fehérváry	0	0	2	0	5.71
D McIlrath	0	0	2	3	2.98

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
L Thompson	0	0		0
C Stevenson	27	28	0.964	1

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
B Jenner	1	0	1	4	0	1	5.86
M Marchment	0	1	1	3	0	1	7.58
D Heinen	0	1	1	1	0	1	3.42
C Garland	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.4
S Monahan	0	0	0	1	1	0	5.64
C Coyle	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.87

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
Z Werenski	-1	2	0	10.23
I Provorov	1	1	0	8.12
D Fabbro	0	2	1	4.4
E Gudbranson	1	4	0	4.43
D Mateychuk	0	0	0	5.2
J Christiansen	-1	1	0	2.62

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Greaves	19	21	0.905	2
E Merzlikins	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	Z Werenski	defe	CBJ vs WSH	0.17	0.74	2.0		10.2
2	K Marchenko	forw	CBJ vs WSH	0.34	0.52	2.7	1.0	9.5
3	A Ovechkin	forw	WSH vs CBJ	0.34	0.39	2.9	1.4	9.2
4	A Fantilli	forw	CBJ vs WSH	0.35	0.43	2.7	2.1	9.1
5	I Provorov	defe	CBJ vs WSH	0.19	0.36	1.9		8.1
6	T Wilson	forw	WSH vs CBJ	0.32	0.44	2.1	1.5	8.0
7	J Greaves	goal	CBJ vs WSH					7.8
8	M Marchment	forw	CBJ vs WSH	0.28	0.40	2.1	1.2	7.6
9	C McMichael	forw	WSH vs CBJ	0.29	0.42	2.0	0.8	7.6
10	J Chychrun	defe	WSH vs CBJ	0.11	0.39	1.7		7.5
11	A Protas	forw	WSH vs CBJ	0.27	0.39	2.0	0.3	7.2
12	I Protas	forw	WSH vs CBJ	0.26	0.37	1.9	0.3	6.9
13	C Coyle	forw	CBJ vs WSH	0.26	0.40	1.8	1.7	6.9
14	C Stevenson	goal	WSH vs CBJ					6.6
15	R Leonard	forw	WSH vs CBJ	0.26	0.27	2.0	1.8	6.6
16	C Hutson	defe	WSH vs CBJ	0.11	0.35	1.7		6.4
17	D Strome	forw	WSH vs CBJ	0.25	0.36	1.6	0.2	6.4
18	B Jenner	forw	CBJ vs WSH	0.21	0.26	1.9	2.4	5.9
19	M Fehérváry	defe	WSH vs CBJ	0.07	0.22	1.0		5.7
20	S Monahan	forw	CBJ vs WSH	0.20	0.27	1.7	0.7	5.6
21	A Beauvillier	forw	WSH vs CBJ	0.19	0.32	1.6	0.7	5.6
22	J Sourdif	forw	WSH vs CBJ	0.20	0.31	1.6	0.8	5.6
23	M Roy	defe	WSH vs CBJ	0.07	0.21	1.0		5.5
24	T van Riemsdyk	defe	WSH vs CBJ	0.07	0.21	1.1		5.3
25	D Mateychuk	defe	CBJ vs WSH	0.07	0.21	1.2		5.2

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.