CAR @ NYI

NHL UBS Arena ·{'default': 'Elmont'} · SOG CAR 21 · 30 NYI

2–1

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (NYI) / 10 (CAR) games this season

CAR away

home NYI

55% 45%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 0-2

CAR

Away

Metric

NYI

Home

52-29

Record

43-38

64%

Win %

53%

3.6

GF/G

2.9

3.0

GA/G

3.0

LWWWL

LLWLL

Team totals

CAR

NYI

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
N Ehlers	1	0	1	5	0	1	8.12
M Jankowski	1	0	1	1	1	1	3.16
L Stankoven	0	1	1	2	1	1	8.12
F Unger Sorum	0	1	1	0	0	1	—
W Carrier	0	0	0	1	1	0	2.57
B Nadeau	0	0	0	0	0	0	3.35

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
A Nikishin	1	1	3	0	4.71
M Reilly	0	0	2	0	4.0
C Legault	0	0	1	1	3.85
S Gostisbehere	0	0	0	2	5.99
J Nystrom	1	1	1	1	3.66
R Seeley	0	0	2	0	—

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
B Bussi	29	30	0.967	1

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
B Horvat	1	0	1	2	0	0	9.66
M Barzal	0	1	1	3	0	1	9.09
V Eklund	0	1	1	2	2	0	—
B Schenn	0	0	0	1	2	1	6.68
A Lee	0	0	0	3	1	-1	6.36
L Foudy	0	0	0	1	1	0	—

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
M Schaefer	-1	0	0	20.8
T DeAngelo	-1	0	0	5.94
S Mayfield	0	1	0	3.6
A Pelech	0	0	0	7.2
I George	0	1	0	2.78
C Soucy	0	0	2	3.83

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
I Sorokin	0	0		0
D Rittich	19	21	0.905	2

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	M Schaefer	defe	NYI vs CAR	1.02	1.14	3.0		20.8
2	B Horvat	forw	NYI vs CAR	0.36	0.51	2.7	0.5	9.7
3	M Barzal	forw	NYI vs CAR	0.34	0.51	2.4	0.2	9.1
4	L Stankoven	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.35	0.36	2.2	0.7	8.1
5	N Ehlers	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.31	0.42	2.3	0.4	8.1
6	J Blake	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.26	0.47	2.0	0.2	7.6
7	A Pelech	defe	NYI vs CAR	0.22	0.31	1.4		7.2
8	D Rittich	goal	NYI vs CAR					6.8
9	B Schenn	forw	NYI vs CAR	0.26	0.31	2.0	2.3	6.7
10	A Lee	forw	NYI vs CAR	0.26	0.25	1.9	1.5	6.4
11	C Ritchie	forw	NYI vs CAR	0.23	0.34	1.7	0.4	6.1
12	S Gostisbehere	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.09	0.27	1.5		6.0
13	T DeAngelo	defe	NYI vs CAR	0.08	0.30	1.4		5.9
14	S Holmstrom	forw	NYI vs CAR	0.22	0.27	1.7	0.4	5.7
15	J Pageau	forw	NYI vs CAR	0.18	0.24	1.5	1.4	5.0
16	J Martinook	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.17	0.26	1.5	0.8	4.9
17	A Nikishin	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.05	0.20	1.1		4.7
18	E Heineman	forw	NYI vs CAR	0.15	0.19	1.5	2.1	4.5
19	S Brind'Amour	forw	CAR vs NYI	0.15	0.20	1.2	1.0	4.1
20	B Bussi	goal	CAR vs NYI					4.1
21	C Cizikas	forw	NYI vs CAR	0.14	0.14	1.5	1.9	4.1
22	M Reilly	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.06	0.13	1.1		4.0
23	C Legault	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.05	0.13	1.0		3.9
24	C Soucy	defe	NYI vs CAR	0.03	0.15	0.7		3.8
25	J Nystrom	defe	CAR vs NYI	0.05	0.16	1.0		3.7

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.