NJD @ BOS

NHL TD Garden ·{'default': 'Boston'} · SOG NJD 21 · 26 BOS

0–4

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (BOS) / 10 (NJD) games this season

NJD away

home BOS

47% 53%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-1

NJD

Away

Metric

BOS

Home

42-39

Record

44-37

52%

Win %

54%

2.8

GF/G

3.3

3.1

GA/G

3.1

WWLLW

WLLLL

Team totals

NJD

BOS

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	SOG	+/-	DK
C Glass	2	0	3.75
N Hischier	0	0	9.02
C Brown	1	-1	7.74
M McLaughlin	0	-2	2.09
T Meier	0	0	9.02
E Dadonov	1	-2	2.81

Defense

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
S Nemec	-1	1	0	5.67
J Siegenthaler	-3	2	0	4.83
J Kovacevic	0	1	0	4.43
B Dillon	-1	1	2	3.82
D Hamilton	-3	1	0	6.9
T Vilen	0	0	0	—

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
N Daws	22	26	0.846	4
J Allen	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
M Kastelic	2	0	2	4	2	2	3.27
S Kuraly	0	2	2	2	0	2	4.38
M Geekie	1	0	1	2	0	1	7.12
V Arvidsson	1	0	1	1	0	1	7.71
P Zacha	0	1	1	0	0	1	7.61
T Jeannot	0	1	1	2	2	2	2.91

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
M Lohrei	1	4	1	0	4.06
J Aspirot	0	0	3	1	4.14
A Peeke	0	0	3	1	5.07
H Lindholm	1	4	1	0	5.19
N Zadorov	0	0	1	0	4.79
C McAvoy	0	0	5	0	8.61

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Swayman	21	21	1.000	0
J Korpisalo	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	J Hughes	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.55	0.84	3.9	0.4	14.7
2	D Pastrnak	forw	BOS vs NJD	0.39	0.73	2.8	0.7	11.2
3	N Hischier	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.30	0.55	2.5	0.7	9.0
4	T Meier	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.32	0.42	2.8	1.5	9.0
5	C McAvoy	defe	BOS vs NJD	0.12	0.48	1.9		8.6
6	J Bratt	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.30	0.49	2.4	0.9	8.6
7	D Mercer	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.33	0.42	2.4	0.4	8.6
8	J Swayman	goal	BOS vs NJD					8.5
9	C Brown	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.29	0.44	2.1	0.7	7.7
10	V Arvidsson	forw	BOS vs NJD	0.30	0.37	2.2	0.6	7.7
11	P Zacha	forw	BOS vs NJD	0.26	0.45	2.1	0.8	7.6
12	E Lindholm	forw	BOS vs NJD	0.27	0.39	2.0	0.7	7.3
13	M Geekie	forw	BOS vs NJD	0.29	0.32	2.0	0.9	7.1
14	D Hamilton	defe	NJD vs BOS	0.11	0.37	1.7		6.9
15	F Minten	forw	BOS vs NJD	0.22	0.29	1.9	1.0	6.2
16	S Nemec	defe	NJD vs BOS	0.06	0.20	1.2		5.7
17	H Lindholm	defe	BOS vs NJD	0.07	0.22	1.1		5.2
18	A Peeke	defe	BOS vs NJD	0.06	0.17	1.0		5.1
19	M Khusnutdinov	forw	BOS vs NJD	0.17	0.26	1.5	0.6	5.0
20	J Siegenthaler	defe	NJD vs BOS	0.06	0.15	0.9		4.8
21	N Zadorov	defe	BOS vs NJD	0.07	0.20	1.1		4.8
22	J Kovacevic	defe	NJD vs BOS	0.05	0.20	0.9		4.4
23	S Kuraly	forw	BOS vs NJD	0.14	0.17	1.6	1.2	4.4
24	J Aspirot	defe	BOS vs NJD	0.04	0.14	0.9		4.1
25	M Lohrei	defe	BOS vs NJD	0.05	0.16	0.9		4.1

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.